NFL Handicapping Articles

NFL Totals Betting: Week 7 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/16/2013

Looking back at the total line results for Week 6 in the NFL, it was a good run for higher-than-expected scores, with nine of the 15 games going “over” the closing line. I got back to my winning ways after going 0-3 the week before with a 2-1 record for my top three picks for last Sunday’s games. This raised my year-to-date winning percentage to just over 60 percent.

Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 7
by George Monroy - 10/16/2013

Basic Strategy teasers continue to be one of the best bets in the NFL this season. The two-team, six-point teasers are currently winning at a 77 percent rate through six weeks and 35 games of football. The teasers are a very specific wager that includes only favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 points and underdog of +1.5 to +2.5 points. The wager takes advantage of NFL key numbers and the strength of three- and seven-point margin of victories. Last week basic strategy teasers went 5-1 and are 27-8 on the season.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 10/14/2013

The old cliche' "always take the Jaguars and 27 points" rang true again in Week 6 as Jacksonville rather predictably -- at least to me -- did cover the biggest spread in NFL history in losing 35-19 at Denver. It's rather hard to believe that Jacksonville held Denver to its fewest points of the season, but it was pretty clear that the Broncos were not taking that game too seriously no matter what the players said to the contrary.

NFL Handicapping: New England Patriots Passing Game
by Trevor Whenham - 10/10/2013

There have been a few things we can always be sure of in the NFL. Marvin Lewis will find ways to disappoint and make his team underperform but will still keep his job. The Bills will always find a way to fall below expectations — no matter how meager they might be. And Tom Brady will always be able to pass like crazy. The first two, thankfully, are as true as ever this year. The third, though, has been far from the case, and frankly it has me all disoriented.

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 6
by Dave Schwab - 10/9/2013

The NFC East will have a chance to redeem itself as the worst division in the NFL with two primetime appearances in Week 6 of the NFL season. After compiling a combined record of just 5-14, with three of the wins coming from within the division, any kind of victory this week would be a step in the right direction for this once-powerful division. Denver has owned the NFC East this season, and it has also been a goldmine on the total line bet. I rode them for the second week in a row on the “over” in a 3-unit play to boost my NFC East pick of the week record to 4-1.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 6 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/9/2013

The total line results were split right across the board last week, with seven games going “over” and seven staying “under”. Unfortunately, I was on the wrong side of all three of my picks last week; putting a huge dent in a 75-percent winning percentage over the first four weeks of the NFL season.

NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 6
by George Monroy - 10/9/2013

Basic strategy teasers had a strong showing last week, posting a 6-1 record and netting bettors a solid profit for Week 5 of NFL action. The football season continues to be as intriguing as ever with more than a third of the year already complete. Peyton Manning and the Broncos are producing at an epic offensive pace, while more than a few teams have surprisingly struggled—the New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons are the first teams that come to mind.

NFL Handicapping: Defense a Broncos Weakness?
by Trevor Whenham - 10/9/2013

The euphoria surrounding the Denver Broncos has reached epic heights — they will quite possibly be the biggest favorite in the history of the modern NFL this weekend. While their offense has indeed been a marvel to watch, it is tough not to be concerned about the defense.

NFL Odds: NFC East Betting Predictions
by Darin Zank - 10/9/2013

There's a battle of attrition going on in the NFC East at the moment. Somebody will eventually “win” this division; they might be 8-8 or 7-9 when it's all over, but somebody is going to win this division. It might be like in 2010 when Seattle won the division with a 7-9 record. But, trust me, someone will win this bad boy!

NFL Handicapping: Green Bay Finally has Running Game
by Darin Zank - 10/9/2013

Every NFL season offers up a few early surprises. This year, we've got the Kansas City Chiefs, who are off to a 5-0 start, and the Cleveland Browns are tied for first place heading into October. In another shocking development, the Green Bay Packers may have found themselves a running game to complement their potent passing attack. Think of the implications.

NFL Betting Odds Week 6 with Bookie Leans for Wagering
by CarbonSports - 10/8/2013

We’re hitting that juicy part of the schedule where contenders start to separate from pretenders, and that means that the betting lines are going to be fairer than we’ve seen over the past five weeks. The Atlanta Falcons and Miami Dolphins are the only teams that have the week off. I’ve broken down my favorite bets and non-bets this weekend with some early thoughts on some important matchups. Take a gander and check back with us later in the week.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 10/7/2013

We had some interesting quarterback news out of Week 5, especially from Thursday's Bills-Browns game where both starting QBs, Brian Hoyer and E.J. Manuel, went down with injuries. Hoyer's season is over, a shame with how well he was playing. Cleveland won anyway as Brandon Weeden gets one last chance to prove he's an NFL starter. Manuel will miss a few weeks, meaning former practice squad player Thaddeus Lewis will start this week against Cincinnati, which opened as a seven-point favorite.

Largest Point Spread in NFL History: Jacksonville at Denver
by Trevor Whenham - 10/7/2013

In a development that should come as a surprise to absolutely no one, the Denver Broncos have opened as the biggest favorites in NFL history when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. The game opened at either 27.5 or 28 points, depending on the source. Almost two-thirds of bets in early action have been the Broncos, so there is a chance that the number could climb even higher.

NFL Handicapping: ATS Studs and Duds
by Trevor Whenham - 10/7/2013

The NFL season is still young, but we have seen enough already to have a sense of which teams are strong for bettors and which teams really aren’t. Here’s a look at the studs and duds of the season to date when it comes to covering spreads:

NFL Handicapping: Most Consistent Teams to Bet On or Against
by Trevor Whenham - 10/3/2013

Last week we looked at teams in the NFL that gave me the biggest headaches — their inconsistency making them all but impossible to handicap with any confidence. This year we want to do the opposite, because it feels so much more positive — look at the teams that have been pleasingly consistent and comprehendible through the first month of the season. These are the four teams which, so far at least, have made the handicapper in me smile:

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 5
by David Schwab - 10/2/2013

Ever since the new-look Eagles lit up Washington 33-27 as four-point road underdogs in Week 1 they have been trying to recapture that form in three losses to teams from the AFC West both straight-up and against the spread. It has been a steady progression downward with last Sunday’s lopsided loss to the Broncos being the low point of the season.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 5 Over and Under Predictions
by David Schwab - 10/2/2013

The total line results slightly favored the “over” in Week 4 after nine of 16 games stayed “under” the week before, but the overall year-to-date results on this line are basically even through the first four weeks of the NFL season. I quickly returned to my winning ways with a perfect 3-0 record in last week’s picks to take my overall record to 9-3 on the year.

NFL Handicapping: A Look At The Unbeatens
by T.O. Whenham - 10/2/2013

Through the first quarter of the NFL season we still have five unbeaten NFL teams — a remarkable accomplishment. The further we go with unblemished teams, the more interesting it becomes — as both a fan and a handicapper — to look at how long they might stay unbeaten, and which team is most likely to be the last one standing. In alphabetical order:

NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 5
by George Monroy - 10/1/2013

Wagering on basic strategy teasers has been a fairly straightforward affair through the first five weeks of a still very young NFL season. The teasers have been winning at a 72 percent rate, and that number is probably even higher for those bettors that have played them with caution and are only wagering on the strongest of the bunch. A basic strategy teaser is a two-team combination wager that takes advantage of two of the strongest NFL key numbers of three and seven.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/30/2013

I really don't want to talk about the Denver Broncos as my lead again this week, but they are performing at such an obscene level right now that they are the story line with the NFL regular season at its quarter pole. It's almost hard to comprehend how good Peyton Manning is right now.