NFL Handicapping Articles

NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 10
by George Monroy - 11/6/2013

Every week the NFL is filled will great betting situations for gamblers. The Dallas Cowboys are 7-2 against the spread and winning at a 77 percent rate. The San Diego Chargers and New York Jets both have over a 66 percent ATS win rate, while the Denver Broncos have gone “over” in every game they have played this season. If a bettor is doing his homework, there are ample opportunities to make a profit wagering on football this season.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 11/5/2013

For much of the season, I thought a Seattle-Denver Super Bowl was looking likely, but I no longer think there is a truly dominant team in the NFL this season. The Broncos were off in Week 9, but they clearly have defensive issues. As for the Seahawks, maybe they are just playing down to their competition.

NFL Handicapping: Denver Broncos and John Fox
by Trevor Whenham - 11/5/2013

The unfortunate illness of Denver Broncos head coach John Fox has created an interesting handicapping situation. Fox had tried to delay a needed heart procedure until the offseason, but after feeling dizzy on Saturday he was forced to have surgery and will miss at least a month and likely more. Defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio has been named interim coach until Fox can return. Here are six factors to consider when trying to determine what this situation might mean from a betting perspective:

NFL Week 9 Special Props Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/1/2013

I just don't understand Minnesota head coach Leslie Frazier. He has the greatest running back on the planet in Adrian Peterson, and Frazier isn't using him. The Vikings have lost three straight games, and Peterson hasn't had more than 13 carries in any of them. Minnesota was down only seven at Green Bay midway through the third quarter last week, so it's not like the Vikings had to start throwing early in the game.

NFL Week 9 Line Moves: Panthers, Saints Face Increasing Odds
by CarbonSports - 11/1/2013

The Week 9 NFL betting lines have been shuffling all week long and should continue to do so as we approach game time. These five games have experienced the biggest shifts so far. Read on to find out where the smart money is.

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 9
by Dave Schwab - 10/30/2013

So much for respectability in what has rapidly become the weakest division in the NFL. The only reason that all four teams in the NFC East did not lose last Sunday was that New York was playing Philadelphia, so somebody had to win. The Cowboys peeked their head above .500 with a Week 7 victory over the Eagles but quickly returned to form by blowing a big lead against Detroit in Week 8.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 9 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/30/2013

For the third week in a row in the NFL, the “over” has had the advantage on the total line. With only 13 games on last week’s schedule, the total went over in eight of those contests. I was also dead on with my top three “over/under” picks in Week 8 with a perfect 3-0 record. This raised my mark to 7-2 in the last three weeks, and it took my winning percentage on the season up to 67 percent.

NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 9
by George Monroy - 10/30/2013

Week 9 of NFL action has four basic strategy teasers to offer sports bettors this Sunday. Two of the matchups involve home favorites being moved down to a lower number, while the other two involve home underdogs being moved past the seven-point mark. In general, basic strategy teasers have performed very well this season and are winning at a 77 percent rate. The bet, for those that are unfamiliar, are simple two-team six-point teasers that utilize the most common NFL key numbers of three and seven to move spreads past those marks.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 10/29/2013

New York Giants: NFC East Champions. Certainly didn't think I'd be writing that this season just a few weeks ago, but now it is seems very plausible because the division is so bad. New York has won two straight after winning 15-7 at Philadelphia on Sunday to end an eight-game road losing streak.

NFL Week 8 Line Movement: Chiefs, Saints, Packers Seeing Big Shifts
by CarbonSports - 10/25/2013

Usually by the time we hit the midpoint of the season, we have a solid idea of how teams will perform against the odds. However, as we’re seeing in with the Week 8 lines, there’s still a lot that’s left to be decided. There are at least five games that have experienced some seismic shifts in the spread. Let’s try and sort through the chaos to get a better idea of where your money is safest.

NFL Week 8 Special Props Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 10/24/2013

Not much resolution from my Week 7 Bovada specials story as I mostly focused on longer-term props. The one I did look at for last week only was on Broncos linebacker Von Miller in his return from suspension and how many sacks he would have against Indianapolis -- I leaned “under” one. I figured the Colts would focus all their blocking on stopping him, and he was neutralized, finishing with two tackles and, most important, no sacks.

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 8
by Dave Schwab - 10/23/2013

The 4-3 Dallas Cowboys have forged the early lead in the NFC East after last week’s 17-3 victory over Philadelphia. Washington improved to 2-4 with a win over Chicago, and New York posted its first victory of the year by hammering Minnesota 23-7 this past Monday night, which just so happened to be my NFC East Pick of the Week. This raised my year-to-date record to 6-1 with a net profit of $1,770.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 8 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/23/2013

Scoring in the NFL has been on an uptick recently, with nine of the 15 games on the schedule going “over” the closing line for the second week in a row. I was also able to stay in the black on my top three “over/under” picks for the past two weeks with a record of 4-2.This raised my year-to-date winning percentage to 62 percent.

Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 8
by George Monroy - 10/23/2013

Basic strategy teasers continue to be an excellent wager for football bettors every week. Last Sunday the teasers went an astounding 6-1 and are 33-9 on the entire season for a nearly 79 percent win rate. Basic strategy teasers, for those that are not familiar with the wager, are a positive expected value bet—which essentially means that they should turn a profit by blindly wagering on them—that moves spreads past the strongest NFL key numbers of three and seven.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 10/21/2013

You can now cross off the Chicago Bears as a threat to win the NFC North, much less the Super Bowl. No team was perhaps hit harder by injuries in Week 7 than the Bears. It was bad enough that Chicago's defense was terrible in a 45-41 loss at Washington, but the team's two most indispensible players were lost for likely six weeks: quarterback Jay Cutler and linebacker Lance Briggs. Cutler suffered a torn groin muscle (ouch!) in the second quarter when he was slammed to the ground on a sack by Chris Baker.

NFL Week 7 Betting Odds: Biggest Line Movers
by CarbonSports - 10/18/2013

As the money comes in on NFL betting for Week 7, either the line stays steady or it dances around like a desert lizard with hot feet. These are the five most interesting line movers and shakers on the board this coming Sunday. Which movement caught my eye? In some cases it was the lines that didn’t move at all. Read on to find out the best bets for Week 7.

NFL Week 7 Special Props Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 10/17/2013

I've been a little lax this season on hitting on some special week-to-week NFL props that Bovada and a few other sites are excellent at coming up with, so I'm here to remedy that this week. As usual, some of these are things that may happen this week, but some are just built off the news of the day and won't be decided for a while.

NFL Handicapping: Will Broncos or Chiefs Win AFC West?
by Trevor Whenham - 10/17/2013

It would have been absolutely impossible to believe it could happen, but the Denver Broncos have a legitimate threat to win their own division. The Kansas City Chiefs — the same team that had the first overall pick in the NFL Draft last year after a 2-14 disaster of a season — are 6-0 and playing outstanding defense. It has been assumed by many that the Broncos would win the Super Bowl, so their division was a given — an afterthought. However, can an argument be made that the Chiefs could actually finish ahead of the Broncos? Yes. How strong is that argument? Let’s take a look:

NFL Handicapping: Disappointing Falcons and Texans
by Trevor Whenham - 10/17/2013

The two most disappointing teams in the NFL through six weeks have unquestionably been the Falcons and the Texans. Some would argue that the Giants deserve to be in this group as well. The difference, though, is that Atlanta and Houston were both supposed to be among the two or three top teams in their conference, while the Giants were, at best, a fringe contender. The Giants are the worst of the three teams, but the Falcons and Texans have fallen further.

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 7
by Dave Schwab - 10/16/2013

The NFC East reached some level of respectability after last week’s games with both Dallas and Philadelphia evening their mark at 3-3 on the year. This sets up a showdown this Sunday between the two division leaders. Both New York and Washington continued their downward spiral with losses, and they now have a combined record of just 1-10 this year. As far as my NFC East Pick of the Week, I improved to 5-1 with last Sunday’s four-unit play on the Cowboys over the Redskins in a 31-16 win that easily covered the 5.5-point spread.