NFL Handicapping Articles
Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 11
by Dave Schwab - 11/12/2014
I have been riding Philadelphia the past few weeks in my NFC East “pick of the week,” and it has been paying some huge dividends. This past Monday night’s 45-21 rout against Carolina as a seven-point home favorite raised my overall record on the year to 7-3.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 11 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 11/12/2014
This past week in the NFL, the play on the “over” had a very slight advantage on the total line, with seven of the 13 games going over the closing betting line. I started the second half of the NFL season with a sub-.500 record of 12-14-1 on my weekly total line picks for Doc’s Sports and unfortunately continued to head in the wrong direction with a 1-2 record in last week’s total line picks.
NFL Football Predictions: Week 11 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 11/11/2014
One of my best weeks of the year in Week 10 as I was 4-1 on my selections in this space last Tuesday, hitting on the Lions covering vs. Miami, the Cowboys doing the same against Jacksonville in London, the 49ers pulling an upset in New Orleans -- thanks in part to the Saints' game-winning Hail Mary being called back due to offensive pass interference on Jimmy Graham (it probably was the right call) -- and the Jets upsetting Pittsburgh. Stupidly, however, I thought Oakland could cover a big number at home vs. Denver.
Free NFL Totals Picks for Sunday Over and Under Betting
by CarbonSports - 11/6/2014
In late September these two NFC South rivals met on Thursday Night Football and it was an ugly game for Buccaneers fans from start to finish. Atlanta ended up winning that game 56-14 as they completely dismantled Tampa Bay on their fast indoor track inside the Georgia Dome. Well this week, fresh off a bye, the Falcons head out to Tampa to take on the Bucs in the rematch and I don't believe we will see the points come so easily this time around.
Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 10
by Dave Schwab - 11/5/2014
Philadelphia paid the price in last Sunday’s 31-21 victory over Houston as a two-point road favorite with quarterback Nick Foles lost for six to eight weeks with a broken clavicle, but the win raised my record on the year in my NFC East “pick of the week” to 6-3 through the first nine weeks of the NFL regular season.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 10 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 11/5/2014
The total slightly favored the “over” play in last week’s NFL games, with seven of the 13 games going over the closing total line. I broke even for the week in my top three picks for Doc’s Sports at 1-1-1, but I failed to gain any ground on a sub-.500 record of 12-14-1 through the first half of the NFL regular season.
NFL Teasers Betting: Best Basic Strategy Options for Week 10
by George Monroy - 11/5/2014
The Green Bay Packers will headline this week’s basic strategy teasers wagers as they host the Chicago Bears on Sunday as a 7.5-point favorite. Week 10 will also have two other teasers featuring the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers receiving more than a touchdown’s worth of points at home. Basic strategy teasers are a two-team, six-point teaser that moves certain spreads past the strongest NFL key numbers of three and seven in order to anchor those new lines and create positive expected value. Let’s take a closer look at this week’s teaser options. All odds come from Sportsbook.ag.
NFL Football Predictions: Week 10 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 11/4/2014
New England's surprising blowout of Denver in Week 9's marquee matchup didn't actually change oddsmakers' minds about too much in terms of NFL futures. For example, the Broncos still remain +350 favorites at Bovada to win the Super Bowl. They just might have to win a game in New England now to get there as the Pats hold the potentially huge tiebreaker.
NFL Betting: Handicapping the Dallas Cowboys Losing Streak
by George Monroy - 11/4/2014
In the NFL fortunes can change in a matter of minutes—just ask the Dallas Cowboys. Two weeks ago America’s Team was sitting on a 6-1 record, which had fans and media members wondering how big a potential Super Bowl matchup between Dallas and Denver could become. The team was supposed to easily dispatch the Washington Redskins during a Week 8 “Monday Night Football” matchup, but the grid-iron “gods” had other plans.
NFC West Predictions and Betting Odds for Top Team in Standings
by George Monroy - 11/3/2014
Heading into the season we all knew the NFC West was perhaps the toughest division in the NFL and that it had three potential playoff teams and two Super Bowl contenders. At the end of Week 9 that consensus may have switched quite a bit after both Seattle and San Francisco began to struggle early, but the one thing that may not have changed is the fact that the road to the Super Bowl still runs through the NFC West.
NFL Betting: Best and Worst ATS Records Heading into Week 10
by George Monroy - 11/3/2014
The NFL season has finally reached the halfway point, and with the Denver Broncos getting destroyed at Foxboro on Sunday night, both conferences seem to be wide open for the taking. There must be eight teams with a legitimate shot at making a deep playoff run with chance of playing in the Super Bowl, and fans still have the possibility of the host team (Arizona Cardinals) appearing in the big game for the first time since San Francisco played in Palo Alto in Super Bowl XIX.
Free Sunday NFL Totals Pick for Over and Under Betting
by CarbonSports - 10/31/2014
The Broncos and Patriots is arguably the biggest game on the board this week as NFL fans everywhere get another instalment of the historic Brady vs. Manning rivalry. Manning won the latest chapter in last year's AFC Championship game by a 26-16 score, as it was the first time in five meetings that Denver and New England stayed under the posted total. It was a great revenge win for the Broncos after they blew a 24-0 halftime lead in New England earlier that season, but I suspect this year's regular season tilt will resemble the playoff game more than that 34-31 regular season game.
Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 9
by Dave Schwab - 10/29/2014
The Cowboys’ six-game winning streak came to a sudden halt this past Monday night in a 20-17 loss to Washington, but far more significant than that loss was the fact that the total in that game stayed well “under” the closing 49.5-point line. This just so happened to be my 3-unit NFC East ‘play of the week’ for Doc’s Sports. I am now 5-3 on the year with a two-game winning streak heading into this week’s action.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 9 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/29/2014
The results on the “over/under” betting odds last week in the NFL were fairly even, with eight of 15 games staying under the closing lines, but I slipped a bit further down the rabbit hole on the year with the wrong play in two of my three picks. This leaves me searching for winners with an overall record of 11-13 on the year in my weekly total line picks for Doc’s Sports.
NFL Teasers Betting: Best Basic Strategy Options for Week 9
by George Monroy - 10/29/2014
Week 9 of the NFL season will be a slow one for basic strategy teasers unless lines begin to move toward the end of the week, because as of now there are only two games that qualify under the teaser guidelines. Basic strategy teasers are a specific wager that only uses favorites of 7.5 to 8.5 points and underdogs of 1.5 to 2.5 points and moves those lines across the strongest NFL key numbers of three and seven to anchor those spreads with the most common margin of victories.
NFL Football Predictions: Week 9 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/28/2014
Are the Detroit Lions the luckiest team in the NFL? Do you realize that they have led for a total of 98 seconds in the past two games yet won both? The Atlanta Falcons self-destructed in Week 8 in London, blowing a 21-0 halftime lead and then having some very questionable clock management at the end that allowed Detroit to kick the game-winning field goal -- only after Matt Prater missed the first attempt. He got another with a delay of game call.
Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 8
by Dave Schwab - 10/22/2014
The Giants cost me another one of my weekly picks for the NFC East by failing to cover as seven-point road underdogs in 31-21 loss to Dallas last Sunday. Fortunately, New York has a bye this week as I try and rebuild my overall return on the year.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 8 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/22/2014
I picked the wrong week to favor the “over” in my weekly picks for Doc’s Sports with nine of the 15 games in Week 7 of the NFL regular season staying “under” the closing total line. The result was a 1-2 record in my top three picks which dropped me below .500 on the year at 10-11.
NFL Teasers Betting: Best Basic Strategy Options for Week 8
by George Monroy - 10/22/2014
Heading into Week 8 of NFL action there are three basic strategy teasers to choose from. The wager is a two-team, six-point teaser that moves spread of 7.5- to 8.5-point favorites down past the strongest NFL key number of three and 1.5- to 2.5-point underdogs up past the second-strongest NFL key number of seven. The wager is supposed to be a positive-expected value bet based on the math as blindly moving those spreads should produce a statistical win.
NFL Football Predictions: Week 8 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/21/2014
With all due respect to Peyton Manning throwing his NFL-record 509th career touchdown pass, the most interesting thing to happen in the NFL in Week 7 was the Seattle Seahawks' shocking trade of Percy Harvin to the New York Jets. Seattle gave up three draft picks, including a first-rounder, to get Harvin from the Vikings before the 2013 season even though Harvin had a well-known reputation for being a major locker-room cancer.
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