NFL Handicapping Articles
Free NFL Picks: Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/9/2016
When the NFL schedule is released each April, you will quickly find a Top-10 (or 15 or whatever number) list of the best regular-season matchups for that coming season at several sports sites, including this one. And good luck finding one of those lists from this past spring that didn't have this Sunday night's Seattle-New England game -- a rematch of Super Bowl XLIX -- at the top. It's the second straight stellar matchup on NBC as in Week 9 it was Denver at Oakland for the AFC West lead, and I correctly backed the Raiders and "over" the total of 43.5.
Free NFL Picks: Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens Odds & Expert Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/8/2016
I'm not going to sit here and hammer the NFL schedule-makers again because I've done that plenty this season amid declining ratings. I totally understand why the league wants every team to get a national spotlight on a Thursday once a season and why you can't put the Patriots or Cowboys in prime time every week because CBS and Fox paid big money for AFC and NFC rights, respectively, and they want to show New England and Dallas during their Sunday window too.
NFL Totals Betting Picks: Week 10 Over and Under Odds and Expert Predictions
by Victor Ryan - 11/8/2016
Past the halfway point in the season and the NFL totals picks in this space continue to turn a profit. Last Sunday resulted in another 3-0 week when Broncos-Raiders finished 30-20 to eclipse the "over/under" of 44.5 as the 5-unit best bet. It was the second perfect week in the previous three, resulting in another 11 units in profits.
NFL Betting Predictions: Week 10 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 11/7/2016
Arguably the most important thing to happen in the NFL this week won't occur on the field but at the ballot boxes in San Diego. Ballot Measure C in that city Tuesday is asking voters whether San Diego's hotel room tax should increase from 12.5 to 16.5 percent, with the proceeds helping fund a new $1.8 billion NFL stadium and convention center complex. The NFL has already promised to put $300 million toward the project, while the Chargers would be expected to put $350 million toward the cost of the stadium.
NFL Odds: Week 9 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 11/4/2016
You hear of teams changing coordinators all the time, but it's when said team is struggling. The Detroit Lions replaced their offensive coordinator during last season, for example. The Buffalo Bills, Baltimore Ravens and Jacksonville Jaguars have done it this year. What those teams had in common was they were all struggling.
NFL Totals Betting Picks: Week 9 Over and Under Odds and Expert Predictions
by Victor Ryan - 11/4/2016
The "over" continued to be a profitable proposition in Week 8 of the NFL season as nine of the 13 games (69.3 percent) sailed over the posted total. For the season, the "over" has rewarded bettors at a healthy 55.5 percent clip. With those numbers in tow, it's time to look forward. Below is analysis, predictions and wagering strategies for select games on the Week 9 slate.
Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 9 NFL Betting Options
by Chris Vasile - 11/4/2016
Week 8 in the National Football League went down as one of those rare weeks where the betting public actually got the better of Las Vegas sportsbooks. Fortunately, for those who follow this column regularly, Week 8 was the Basic Strategy Teasers' fourth consecutive winning week. The system went 2-0 with its top plays and 0-1 with the extra game that qualified but one that I told you to lay off. Those results bring the systems record to a staggering 15-1 (19-3 if you count the extra options. You can check the result for yourself here - Week 5, Week 6, Week 7.
NFL Betting and Wagering Advice: Biggest Mismatches Week 9
by Victor Ryan - 11/3/2016
Each week there are specific statistical mismatches in select NFL games that are wise to identify and analyze. For example, this week there is a really big one when Ezekiel Elliott, the league's leading rusher, takes on the Browns and the NFL's second-worst run defense (143.8 YPG). That's one of the more obvious mismatches of the Week 9 slate, but here are a few more to help with your handicapping.
Free NFL Picks: Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders Odds and Expert Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/2/2016
I think the fairly new NFL overtime rule is much better than the one in college, where each team gets a possession at the opponent's 25. Of course in the pros, if the team that gets possession first kicks a field goal then the game isn't over. The other team gets a shot to tie and if it does, then it's sudden death. But if the club first possessing the ball scores a touchdown or the opposing defense scores, the game is over.
Free NFL Picks: Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds & Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/1/2016
I'm just going to pretend that last Thursday's game between the Jaguars and Titans didn't happen, even though I was right on my spread pick, because that was pretty darn unwatchable -- and not just because of the garish uniforms. I actually think NFL ratings will pick up soon because the MLB playoffs will be over by Wednesday night at the latest and the presidential election will come to a merciful conclusion next Tuesday.
NFL Betting Predictions: Week 9 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/31/2016
So, I was all ready to tell you that the NFL's trade deadline is Tuesday and not to expect anything major. The NFL deadline is nothing like those in the NBA, NHL or Major League Baseball because of salary-cap issues and all those bonuses paid out to players that are stretched out over years in cap form. You don't have those bonus issues in the other sports because those players' contracts are guaranteed. Last year, the biggest name to go around the deadline in the NFL was past-his-prime tight end Vernon Davis.
NFL Odds: Week 8 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 10/28/2016
I would really like to go work for Jacksonville Jaguars owner Shad Khan in any capacity because that guy is incredibly loyal. I could show up to work dressed as a Little Bo Peep and drunk and he probably wouldn't fire me. Not that I would do either.
Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 8 NFL Betting Options
by Chris Vasile - 10/28/2016
I'm running out of great things to say about the Basic Strategy Teaser. After going 3-0 in Week 5 and 3-0 in Week 6, the BST outdid itself in Week 7. It went 2-0 with the top plays and 3-0 with the extra options. If your counting at home, which I know you are, that brings the system's record to a mind-blowing 13-1 (17-2 if you count the extra options). The BST is hitting at a .928 winning percentage, which is higher than I could have imagined when I took on this system.
NFL Totals Betting Picks: Week 8 Over and Under Odds and Expert Predictions
by Victor Ryan - 10/28/2016
The "over" has gone 58-49 through the first seven weeks of the NFL season, a profitable win-rate of 54.2 percent. That would seem to make sense. Mild early-fall weather, fresh athletes and the like would all seem to benefit offensive units. Not to mention the lack of any game tape early on for the league's newcomers, such as this year's unknown young quarterbacks (Prescott, Siemian, Wentz, etc.).
Free NFL Picks: Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys Odds and Expert Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 10/26/2016
I am not supposed to use the word "lock" in any of my prediction stories here at Doc's. And with good reason as there are no locks in sports betting or I'd be a multi-millionaire. But I'm promising you one thing regarding this week's Sunday Night Football game: it will not end in a 6-6 tie like last week's Seahawks-Cardinals matchup did.
NFL Betting and Wagering Advice: Biggest Mismatches Week 8
by Victor Ryan - 10/26/2016
There are a handful of intriguing divisional matchups in Week 8, including the second AFC East battle of the season between the Patriots and Bills. A month ago, Buffalo went into New England and shutout the Tom Brady-less Patriots, 16-0. The rematch, which figures to be vastly different with Brady now back under center, is featured in this week's look at the NFL's biggest mismatches.
Free NFL Picks: Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans Odds & Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 10/25/2016
Look, I get that the NFL wants every team to get one national appearance on Thursday each season. But please stop force-feeding us Jaguars-Titans! This is the third straight year these two downtrodden franchises will meet on Thursday Night Football. And the NFL wonders why ratings are sagging. But even a pretty lousy NFL matchup will draw good ratings and certainly strong betting action at sportsbooks as your only other live betting options on Thursday with no World Series game that night are the NHL, NBA or a couple of Major League Soccer playoff games.
NFL Betting Predictions: Week 8 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/24/2016
OK, I'm now at the point where I actually feel sorry for New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith. Some guys just have bad luck. Smith was such a good player at West Virginia and I thought he might be a good pro some day. He just happened to land with about the worst possible franchise for a quarterback east of Cleveland. And now Smith's Jets career is probably over and perhaps his NFL one.
NFL Odds: Week 7 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 10/21/2016
I was pretty adamant when Tom Brady's four-game suspension was reinstated by the U.S. Court of Appeals that Brady would have no shot of winning a third career NFL MVP Award this season. You can't possibly win an MVP when you play just 75 percent of a season, right?
Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Week 7 NFL Betting Options
by Chris Vasile - 10/21/2016
If you haven't started tailing the Basic Strategy Teaser, I suggest you do so now because this system is on fire. After firing a 3-0 Week 5, the BST produced another unblemished record of 3-0 in Week 6. That brings the system's record to a mind blowing 11-1 (12-2 if you count the "extra options" I mentioned last week, but didn't play).
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