NFL Handicapping Articles

Will the NFL Super Bowl Feature Another First-Time Winner?
by Paul Buck - 7/27/2019

It has been a very unusual year in the sports world. In many of the major team sports, we had squads that were contenders at various junctures who finally rose to the occasion and won it all in 2019. The Virginia Cavaliers buried the ghosts of Ralph Sampson and last year's first-ever top seed opening-round loss (64 to 68 teams) by winning the prize in college basketball.

NFL Betting: Top Games for the Upcoming Season
by Chris Vasile - 7/26/2019

The 2019-20 NFL season kicks off in just over a week with the annual Hall of Fame Game between the Denver Broncos and Atlanta Falcons. A week later the NFL Preseason officially gets underway, and it couldn't have come at a better time. I was starting to get tired of watching teams crush home runs and allow their bullpens to blow leads in the later innings. The NFL season is the most highly-anticipated season of the year, and we have a slew of storylines to follow heading into the regular season.

NFL Betting Advice: Impact of Offensive Skill Player Moves on Handicapping
by Chris Vasile - 7/26/2019

With all due respect to the NFL, the NBA offseason and free-agency period has you beat by a mile. There was not a single day during the start of free-agency where basketball fans weren't at the edge of their seats refreshing Twitter to see which massive superstar was switching teams. The NBA is a league where that's possible, and unfortunately, football is not.

Strange NFL Betting Trends To Keep an Eye on in 2019
by Trevor Whenham - 6/21/2019

This is a rough time of year for football fans. The start of the regular season - never mind training camps - is a long way off. But all of the interesting stuff - free agency, the draft, the coaching carousel and so on - is all in the rearview mirror. We can pretend that we care about OTAs, but we know that no one actually does. With not a whole lot going on, we are forced to find ways to at least sort of scratch our football itch.

Expert NFL Handicapping: Teams with Best ATS Improvement Last Season
by Trevor Whenham - 6/12/2019

Basically, all I do in the time between the end of one NFL season and the beginning of the next is to look for different angles to break down the upcoming season. Some are truly useful, and I hope that this will fall into that category. Others wind up mostly just helping to fill the time until the start of the next season.

NFL Betting Advice: How Quarterbacks Performed ATS after Signing Big Contracts
by Trevor Whenham - 6/12/2019

This offseason we have seen NFL quarterbacks Russell Wilson (4 years, $140 million), Carson Wentz (4 years, $128 million), Nick Foles (4 years, $88 million) and Ben Roethlisberger (2 years, $68 million) get paid in a big way.

NFL Season Win Totals: Biggest Changes from Last Season
by Trevor Whenham - 5/22/2019

NFL season win totals have been out for a while now - long enough that the initial inaccuracies have been bet out of them, and they are where they are likely to sit until the regular season nears. It's a good time, then, to look at where we are at now, and how that compares to where they were at this time last year.

Oddsmakers Release Odds for 2020 NFL Top Draft Pick
by Trevor Whenham - 5/8/2019

The 2019 NFL Draft has only barely passed us by. That means that the 2020 Draft is still almost a full year away. And that there is both an entire college season for the prospects, and an entire year of the NFL teams making their needs and the urgency of them clear. But because, as sports fans and bettors, we are ridiculous, we can't help ourselves.

Most Interesting Quarterbacks Taken in 2019 NFL Draft
by Trevor Whenham - 5/1/2019

There were 11 quarterbacks selected in the 2019 NFL Draft. Chances are that a few will become good players at some level, perhaps one or two will become stars, and several will be completely forgotten by everyone but their mothers in just a few years.

Expert NFL Handicapping: New England Patriots Chances to Repeat
by Trevor Whenham - 5/1/2019

The New England Patriots have got this whole winning the Super Bowl thing figured out. They have done it three times in the last five years. But now they are faced with trying to do something that they - and everyone else - has failed to do since 2005 as they seek to repeat as champions. They head into the coming season as Super Bowl favorites at BetOnline, but it is lukewarm at best - they are only at +800, with the Rams at +900, and the Chiefs and Saints at +1000.

NFL Teams That Changed Most Through Draft
by Trevor Whenham - 5/1/2019

Our job here today is to look at the NFL teams that saw the most positive change for bettors through the NFL Draft. But before we do that, we have to put things into perspective. The only team that saw their Super Bowl odds change in the days immediately following the draft was Kansas City, and that was much more to do with the Tyreek Hill debacle than anything else.

Expert NFL Handicapping: Do Cleveland Browns Moves Make a Super Bowl Contender?
by Trevor Whenham - 3/19/2019

If you get claustrophobic in tight spaces, then you probably aren't going to enjoy being on the Cleveland Browns bandwagon right now. It's getting mighty crowded up there. It's not a surprise. The franchise has stunningly passionate fans, and those fans have been kicked in the teeth time and time and time again over the years. And now there is hope. Coming from all directions. More than they have seen, well… ever.

Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr. Betting Props with Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 3/19/2019

The NFL offseason finds way to get more and more interesting every year, and this year is already among the best we have ever seen -- and we haven't even got to the draft yet. Partly that is because the Super Bowl was so boring that anything looks better in comparison. But mostly it is because of all the fireworks that have been created, and chief among those have been the two big wide receiver trades.

Potential NFL No. 1 Draft Pick: Props Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/27/2019

The NFL Combine has begun, which means that this is a good time to look ahead to the NFL Draft. Barring a major shock, at this point you can narrow down the list of potential first overall picks to about six guys. And whenever something is as high profile as the first overall pick, and the field can be easily identified, there is a betting opportunity. BetOnline has set odds for the first overall pick, and our job here today is to look at them to see if there is any value.

Kyler Murray NFL Betting Props with Expert NFL Draft Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/27/2019

Kyler Murray is one of the most interesting players to enter the NFL Draft in recent memory. At this time last year, he was just one of two guys who could be in line to replace Heisman winner Baker Mayfield at Oklahoma. He was the slight favorite over Austin Kendall, but he was no lock. Then, in June, the story started getting more complicated. He was the ninth pick in the MLB Draft by Oakland, and he signed a contract with them.

Gronk New England Patriots Betting Prop Odds with Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/12/2019

If you have read any of what I have written over the last many years, you know that I love prop bets. And I may have a new favorite on because it's just so stupid. Stupid in a very good way, to be clear. I'm speaking of the prop at Bovada that allows us to speculate about what the first thing Rob Gronkowski will do when he retires from the NFL. We don't know if that will be now or later down the road - and if I had to choose, I still think he'll be back for more - but the timing doesn't matter.

Bet on Where the Oakland Raiders will Play Next Season: Odds and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 2/11/2019

If you have been in a coma then you will want to sit down because this will come as a shock - the Oakland Raiders have made a mess of a situation. I know, it seems impossible that a franchise run forever by the Davis family -- the organization that gave Jon Gruden full ability to do whatever he wants to do to the team -- could possibly do anything that was less than perfect. But such is the case.

Which NFL Teams are in the Market for a New QB?
by Trevor Whenham - 2/8/2019

The Super Bowl is in the rearview mirror, so it's time for the NFL offseason. And in many ways that is just as interesting as the regular season. And far more interesting than that Super Bowl game was. This year's offseason promises to be an exciting one because there are plenty of teams that need quarterbacks, and quarterbacks mean fireworks. And there are lots of choices on the market - no great ones, but plenty of decent enough ones. Buckle up - this is going to be fun. Here's a quick primer on the market as it stands.

Expert NFL Handicapping: What Does Future Hold for Patriots?
by Trevor Whenham - 2/8/2019

This could be the easiest assignment I ever have. What does the future hold for the New England Patriots? Well, they are probably going to play in the Super Bowl, and they are a good bet to win it. That's as true next year as it was this year. And it will be just as true in 19 years when Tom Brady becomes the first QB in his 60s to win a Super Bowl, and the first living athlete to win more than 20 Super Bowls, and Bill Belichick surpasses that IBM chess computer thingy to become the most successful robot in competitive history.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Can LA Rams Bounce Back?
by Trevor Whenham - 2/8/2019

I hope that the Los Angeles Rams have a giant mirror somewhere in their facility, because there is not a single person on that roster or that staff that doesn't need to look deep into their own eyes and figure out what they are made of after that game. It was a close Super Bowl on the scoreboard, but if there was a moment in which it felt like the Rams were going to win the game, I sure didn't see it.