NFL Handicapping Articles
UFL Preview – United Football League Betting
by T.O. Whenham - 10/7/2009
Tired of trying to handicap football games with almost unlimited information available? Looking to really gamble? Well, then betting on the United Football League might be just what you are looking for. The UFL's inaugural season starts on Thursday with shockingly little fanfare. Maybe people are just skeptical about new football leagues after the debacle of the XFL.
Monday Night Football - Packers at Vikings Preview
by Matt Severance - 10/5/2009
You may not have heard this, but there’s a current Viking playing in a super-hyped game tonight against his former Packer team. I, of course, speak of Minnesota kicker Ryan Longwell. Supposedly there’s some Favre guy who might see action tonight as well, with the Vikings five-point favorites on Bodog – as of this writing, approximately 64 percent of the betting public is leaning toward Minnesota, and that line has moved as much as two points at some books toward the Vikings since its open.
Free NFL Props Predictions - Week 4
by Jay Horne - 10/2/2009
There were a lot of exciting headlines from last week, like Brett Farve the “magic man” clutch play against the 49ers and Detroit ending their 19 game winless streak to carry us forward. We have some exciting side action including Brett Farve’s anticipated match-up with his former Green Bay Packers along with other profitable bets to consider heading into Week 4 of the NFL
Football Betting: Early Week Line Movements
by Robert Ferringo - 9/29/2009
And a very definitive theme is starting to develop in this space. The early college football movements once again got creamed last week, going just 1-5 against the spread. The NFL, however, softened the blow while posting a perfect 3-0 mark. For the season, the college early line movements are just 8-18 ATS while the NFL moves are a solid 6-2 ATS. Overall, the early big movers are just 14-20 ATS. Here is this week’s action:
NFL Handicapping: Can Winless Teams Rebound?
by T.O. Whenham - 9/25/2009
Some of these teams are going to continue their losing ways, but others are going to turn things around - the Chargers lost their first two last year and still won their division. This is how I would rank the nine winless teams in order of their likelihood of salvaging their season, and of presenting some real value for bettors as they do so:
NFL Betting: Saints Soaring And Scoring
by T.O. Whenham - 9/24/2009
You don't have to dig very hard to find impressive statistics to show the strength of the New Orleans offense. The team has become the first since 2001 to open the season with 40 or more points in their first two games. No team has scored more than the 93 they have tallied in their first two games since 1968. It goes on and on.
NFL Betting: Five Potential Turnaround Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 9/24/2009
Jumping to conclusions can be even more dangerous after two weeks because the public assumes that they are seeing trends, and that the teams really are what they have seen so far. Here's a look at five teams that can be quite reasonably assumed to be better than they have appeared so far this year. Because of the starts they have had the public should start to turn against them - at least relative to the support they normally get. That can create real opportunities for value seekers with a long term view.
Free NFL Props Predictions - Week 3
by Jay Horne - 9/24/2009
However, we will quickly turn our focus to this week’s earliest betting lines and try and jump on some of the side action before they are no longer available with hopes to have another advantageous week against the books. Call this the “Yes Week” based on the predictions:
Ferringo Report On NFL Week 2
by Robert Ferringo - 9/22/2009
Below is the Ferringo Report, which are my random and nonsensical ramblings about last week’s action. I didn’t break down all of the games this week (there were three two that I don’t mention in here) but all of this should just give you a little bit of an idea of some of the things I noticed while either watching the games in real time or breaking down the tape on Monday.
Monday Night Football Preview - Colts at Dolphins
by Matt Severance - 9/21/2009
Since the NFL went to a 12-team playoff format back in 1990, only 22 teams (13.7 percent) have reached the postseason after starting 0-2. Only 10 (6.3 percent) have won their division. But an 0-2 hole sure seems likely for Miami if it doesn’t play better than last week’s 19-7 road loss to Atlanta. Miami, which set an NFL record (matched by the Giants) with just 13 giveaways last year, turned the ball over four times last week, which lead to 10 Falcons points.
NFL Handicapping: Situations Where Alternate Lines Could Give an Edge
by T.O. Whenham - 9/18/2009
For most bettors, alternate NFL lines are viewed as the domain of crackpots. Lots of bettors don't even know that they exist, and if they do they don't see any good reason why you would bet them. The fact is, though, that in many situations, the alternate lines offer you a chance to get much more value from your bets than the regular NFL points spreads and money lines ever offer the casual bettor.
The Ferringo NFL Report
by Robert Ferringo - 9/18/2009
Well boys and girls, the Ferringo Report is back by popular demand. I will have my weekly nonsensical ravings and rants in this space for your viewing pleasure. Week 1 is in the books and, with few exception, things went pretty smoothly and according to script. Don’t worry though: that will change soon enough.
Rams Could Match Lions Record for Futility
by T.O. Whenham - 9/16/2009
The story we kept hearing coming into this season was that new coach Steve Spagnuolo had overhauled the attitude in St. Louis and had the team moving in the right direction. The story I am more interested in concerning the team after their brutal opening shutout to the Seahawks is whether the Rams can win a game at all.
How Major Defensive Injuries Will Affect Steelers-Bears Game
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 9/15/2009
Entering Soldier Field Sunday afternoon you have two teams notorious for vicious defenses but both missing the leaders of those defensive units. While it may seem like a similar situation, the reality is entirely different. The Bears’ 31-year old middle linebacker, six-time pro bowler and former NFL Defensive Player of the Year Brian Urlacher is out for the season with a dislocated wrist.
NFL Handicapping: What McNabb Injury Means for Eagles Bettors
by T.O. Whenham - 9/15/2009
With one ill-conceived and totally unnecessary scramble by Donovan McNabb the Eagles found themselves with a gigantic headache - one that could linger for weeks. Up 31-10 against a painfully inept Carolina team, McNabb left the pocket to scramble three yards for a touchdown. As he entered the endzone a clean hit left him writhing on the ground in pain, grabbing his back.
New NFL Coaches: Bad Results ATS
by T.O. Whenham - 9/15/2009
As has become the norm in professional sports these days there are a whole lot of new faces roaming the sidelines as head coaches this season. Eight head coaches made their debut with their teams this weekend, and six of them were coaching their first game. That's fully a quarter of the league that made a change.
Five NFL Week 1 Dissapointments
by T.O. Whenham - 9/15/2009
We can spend all offseason analyzing the rosters and transactions a team makes, and how they play in the preseason, but we can't know for sure what a team has to offer until we see them play when the games matter. That means that how a team plays can often be significantly worse than we expect them to be. That was certainly the case this year, with several teams with high hopes posting disappointing performances.
Cowboys Need Big Game Against Giants on Sunday
by Larry Fiske - 9/14/2009
Here's the good news for the Dallas Cowboys - they dodged a bullet in Florida and won a game that they should have won, keeping pace, at least temporarily, with Philly and the Giants in the NFC East. They open their brand-new stadium Sunday night against the Giants (Dallas gives three points on the NFL line with an over/under of 44) in a game in which television ratings will be through the roof, or at least as high as the new scoreboard.
NFL Handicapping: Time to Panic for Bears Bettors?
by Matt Severance - 9/14/2009
I hate the clichй of a “must-win” game, but I would argue that’s exactly what the Chicago Bears are facing this Sunday in their home opener against the Steelers – Pittsburgh is a three-point favorite on Bodog.
AFC East: Season Win Totals Predictions
by Dave Busk - 9/11/2009
New England gets Tom Brady back after he was lost for the season in the first game in 2008. As a result of that injury the Patriots missed the postseason for the first time in five years. I like their chances in 2009 mainly because of a weak division. New England just looks much better then the Jets and Buffalo -- two teams that I think will struggle.
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