NFL Handicapping Articles

NFL Handicapping: Time For Ravens to Panic?
by T.O. Whenham - 10/23/2009

After three weeks of the current NFL season it wasn't very hard to make the compelling argument that the Baltimore Ravens were the best team in the NFL. They had taken care of business, and they'd looked pretty good doing it. Fast forward just three weeks, though, and now they are at 3-3, riding a three-game losing streak, and down to third in the tough AFC North.

NFL Handicapping: Most Inconsistent Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 10/23/2009

There is nothing more frustrating for bettors than a team that can't decide how good they are. It's easy to bet on a team like the Rams who are consistently terrible, or one like the Saints which keeps winning and covering spreads thanks to solid defense and explosive offense. The teams that really raise the blood pressure as they deplete the bankroll, though, are the ones that win one week, and look brilliant doing it, and then lose the next week while looking like a bad high school team.

NFL Handicapping: How Teams Respond After One-Sided Games
by T.O. Whenham - 10/23/2009

Last week we witnessed one of the most epic beatdowns in the history of the NFL when the Patriots humiliated the Titans, 59-0. The game was ridiculous on absolutely every level, and it got me thinking about what comes next for both teams.

Free NFL Prop Predictions – Week 7
by Jay Horne - 10/22/2009

The Denver Broncos magic streak stayed alive last week, but QB Kyle Orton was just 15 yards shy of putting us back into the profit margin for the year. Our prop selections took another hit, falling one game under .500 on the year, but we look to right the ship this week. One of the big headlines heading into Week 7 will be the much-anticipated debut of San Francisco wide receiver Michael Crabtree.

NFL Handicapping: Steam Pick of the Week
by Josh Nagel - 10/21/2009

Bears bettors, who evidently believe this is the time to back the erratic club against a similarly unpredictable Bengals club. History, of course, isn't on the side of the Bengals, who looked dreadful in the second half of last Sunday's 28-17 loss to the Houston Texans. However, this is a team that has wins over the Green Bay Packers and the Pittsburgh Steelers to its credit.

NFL Handicapping: Bye Weeks
by T.O. Whenham - 10/20/2009

A funny thing happened in Week 5 of the 2009 NFL season - teams coming off of their bye weeks had a field day. All four teams coming back to work after a brief vacation won, and three of them covered the spread. The less far-sighted among us might embrace that as a trend and start to bet team coming off a bye with reckless abandon.

High NFL Point Spreads
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 10/16/2009

With the way the NFL was shaking down this season, one had to figure this record would be broken eventually. Front office dysfunction, high turnover rates amongst coaches and plain old bad football moves seemed to be in style this year more than ever. And with that, now there is a group of NFL teams all contending to match the Detroit Lions’ dubious distinction of a year ago.

Top 10 NFL Quarterbacks in 2014
by T.O. Whenham - 10/15/2009

There are an amazing number of good young quarterbacks in the league right now. Joe Flacco and Matt Ryan made a name for themselves last year. Mark Sanchez is off to a fast start this year, and Chad Henne showed him up last week. There are still a few veteran QBs at the top of the heap in the league, but they are being chased by the new guys. Since we still have a couple of days left until the next set of NFL games, I thought that it would be fun to look ahead a bit. Way ahead.

Free NFL Prop Predictions – Week 6
by Jay Horne - 10/15/2009

The New York Jets newly acquired Braylon Edwards kept us out of the “green” last week in our prop bet selections. Edwards had a fair opening night, catching five passes for 64 yards, which was just over what we expected. Our props went 1-2 for Week 5, knocking us back to even on the season. However, rest assured we will get back in the profit column again this week.

NFL Handicapping: Steam Pick of the Week
by Josh Nagel - 10/15/2009

Steam moves in sports betting happen when large amounts of money come in on one side of a game, moving the line for that game collectively at sports books around the world. In this weekly feature we will examine an NFL game where a steam move took place and then give reasons to fade, or go against, the steam move.

NFL Handicapping: What Makes the Bad Teams Bad
by Robert Ferringo - 10/14/2009

Each week it’s kind of amazing to watch football in this country sink to new depths and stumble to new lows. And if you’re not sure what I’m talking about you haven’t watched the Oakland Raiders, St. Louis Rams, or several other teams take the field this year.

The Ferringo NFL Report
by Robert Ferringo - 10/13/2009

Week 5 is in the books and I just want to echo what was the clear Story of the Week: congrats to Cincinnati defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer on the victory on Sunday and my sincere condolences for the loss of his wife. I had no idea on Thursday when I released my wager on Baltimore (as part of a teaser) that it had occurred.

Monday Night Football Preview - Jets at Dolphins
by Matt Severance - 10/12/2009

Indeed, the Jets’ Mark Sanchez, the early leading candidate for Rookie of the Year, and the Dolphins’ Chad Henne, a second-round pick last year, have combined for just five starts total. So tonight’s game could have some rough spots in the passing game and be rather low scoring. The Jets are three-point favorites on Bodog with the total at just 37.

NFL Futures That Hold Value Through First Quarter
by Larry Fiske - 10/9/2009

In the early fall of 1980 the Oakland Raiders were deader than Gary Coleman's acting career. The team that figured to contend for a Super Bowl berth had lost at home to Kansas City, its record dropping to 2-3, and starting quarterback Dan Pastorini was lost for the season when he suffered a broken leg in that game. Worse still, backup Jim Plunkett had come on for Pastorini and thrown five interceptions, opening the door to KC's 31-17 triumph.

Free NFL Props Predictions - Week 5
by Jay Horne - 10/9/2009

Brett Farve had a big Monday night performance that kept us from sweeping on our weekly prop selections. However, we were still good enough to get back in the green for the season and look forward to some more action heading into week 5. There have been some big storylines during the week including Braylon Edwards trade to the New York Jets along with the signing of Michael Crabtree is San Francisco.

Denver Broncos Betting: Is Team Real Contender?
by Nicholas Tolomeo - 10/9/2009

They’ve been called the worst 4-0 team ever. They have been underdogs twice out of the first four games. They are underdogs again this week, at home. Oddsmakers put the season win total over/under at seven games.

Best and Worst ATS NFL Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 10/9/2009

To successfully handicap the NFL it is important to be constantly re-evaluating teams to understand how they are actually playing, and how they are performing from a betting perspective. If you don't do that then you can be betting based on how a team was performing, not how it is. That can be costly.

NFL Handicapping: Undefeated Teams
by T.O. Whenham - 10/9/2009

Through four weeks of the regular season in the NFL there are still five undefeated teams remaining. The potential for a team to the run the table has always been compelling, and even New England's undefeated season two years ago hasn't dimmed that - especially because the Patriots stumbled in the Super Bowl that year. Football fans want to see another undefeated team badly. So, is there going to be another one this year? It's obviously not very likely, but let's take a look at the chances each squad has:

Disappointing NFL Teams Against the Spread
by T.O. Whenham - 10/9/2009

Coming into each new NFL season I find it very valuable to look at the rosters, the schedules, and the intangibles to estimate how each team is going to play during the season. That gives you a baseline to start with to help you handicap the early season games. When you're right - like I was this year with San Francisco - then you have a jump on the betting public and you can make some real money.

NFL Handicapping: Steam Pick of the Week
by Josh Nagel - 10/8/2009

Steam moves in sports betting happen when large amounts of money come in on one side of a game, moving the line for that game collectively at sports books around the world. In this weekly feature we will examine an NFL game where a steam move took place and then give reasons to fade, or go against, the steam move.