NFL Handicapping Articles

Where will Derek Carr Play Next Season? Odds and Expert Predictions
by Sean Barnard - 2/16/2023

At the top of the list of ugly breakups among quarterbacks/teams is Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders. Carr has been the franchise's starter since 2014 and set several records for the organization. However, he was shut down before the season ended and the writing was on the wall for his future in Las Vegas. He was officially released from the organization before his $40.4 million contract became guaranteed and now has begun his search for a new team.

Where will Aaron Rodgers Play Next Season? Odds and Expert Predictions
by Sean Barnard - 2/15/2023

Few players have captured the media's attention (for better or worse) than Aaron Rodgers. The 10-time Pro Bowl quarterback has seemingly made his career decision a key storyline of the offseason in each of the past few seasons. This year is no different. And after a frustrating 8-9 record on the season, with Jordan Love continuing to overlook Rodgers’ shoulder, it is fair to wonder if a location change is in the cards.

NFL Betting Predictions: Championship Weekend Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/23/2023

The conference championship games have been set, as the NFL season approaches its conclusion. In the divisional round, we went 2-1 from a betting perspective. The Bengals easily covered the +5 spread as they demolished the Bills, cashing our +200 moneyline bet in the process. The 49ers defense flexed their muscles on Dallas, covering the 4-point spread, while our only blemish of the week was taking the Chiefs -8.5, as the Jaguars covered the spread thanks to a meaningless field goal with 30 seconds to play.

NFL Betting Predictions: Divisional Weekend Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/17/2023

An eventful Wild Card round of the NFL Playoffs is in the books. The league’s powerhouses all survived. And from a betting perspective, we went 1-2 last week, bringing our season record to 21-18-1. On Saturday, the 49ers trailed at halftime before blowing the Seahawks out of the water, easily covering the 10-point spread. On Sunday, the Vikings lost to the Giants, 31-24, in a close game throughout, losing and failing to cover as slight favorites.

NFL Playoff Predictions 2023: San Francisco 49ers Futures Odds and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/12/2023

The 49ers have had a roller coaster season, starting 3 different quarterbacks yet still finishing 13-4. They come into the postseason with +550 odds attached to their potential Super Bowl victory and are on a 10-game win streak dating back to October 23. They are the No. 2 seed in the NFC and will have their first two playoff games at home, before the NFC championship, which will likely be in Philadelphia. A strong defense and high-quality skilled players have been enough to carry this team despite the carousel at quarterback.

NFL Playoff Predictions 2023: Philadelphia Eagles Futures Odds and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/12/2023

The Philadelphia Eagles enter the postseason with the 3rd best Super Bowl odds at +500 and are the favorites to win the NFC at +160. The Eagles started off the year 8-0, before losing to the Commanders, and then improving to 13-1. They finished the season 14-3, which was good enough to clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC, despite Jalen Hurts’ late season injury. Hurts was the MVP favorite for portions of the year, but his late injury tilted the scales in Patrick Mahomes’ favor.

NFL Playoff Predictions 2023: Buffalo Bills Futures Odds and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/11/2023

The Buffalo Bills enter the postseason with the second-best Super Bowl odds at +400. After being the favorites for the entire season, the Bills have seen their odds tick downwards since the +275 high of Week 7. They locked up the #2 seed in the AFC, ensuring their first two playoff games will be at home, before the AFC Championship game at home or at a neutral site.

NFL Playoff Predictions 2023: Kansas City Chiefs Futures Odds and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/10/2023

The Kansas City Chiefs enter the postseason as the Super Bowl favorites with a +340 price tag attached to their potential win. The Chiefs finished off the season by winning 10 of their last 11 games, securing the crucial No. 1 seed in the AFC. The No 1 seed still comes with the first-round bye. However, if the Bills and Chiefs collide in the AFC Championship, it will be played at a neutral site rather than Arrowhead Stadium. Patrick Mahomes had a MVP caliber season, and the Super Bowl favorites will feel confident they can reach the big game for the 3rd time in the last 4 years.

NFL Betting Predictions: Wild Card Weekend Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/10/2023

The bracket is set, and the NFL playoffs are finally upon us. In the coming weeks, hearts will be broken and dreams will be fulfilled. From a betting perspective, Week 18 was one of our best weeks, as we went a perfect 3-0, moving our season record to 20-16-1. Despite falling to the Jaguars and missing the playoffs, the Titans were able to cover the 6.5-point spread. The Steelers easily covered the 2.5 point spread in their blowout win against the Browns, while the Lions eliminated the Packers from playoff contention, with their outright win as 4.5-point underdogs.

The Top Five US Sportsbooks Views on 2023 Super Bowl Odds
by Dave Schwab - 1/9/2023

Just in time for the NFL postseason to begin, the top five US sports betting sites have weighed in on which team could win it all as far as the Super Bowl of the 2022 NFL season. The unanimous choice is the Kansas City Chiefs, ranging from +330 odds for Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings and PointsBet to +350 odds for BetMGM. FanDuel split the difference with +340 odds the Chiefs make it to the top of the list of the 14 teams entered in the NFL playoffs.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 18 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 1/3/2023

The final week of football is upon us, and there is still lots to play for in both conferences. Both Number 1 seeds are still up for grabs, teams are jostling for playoff positioning, and fighting for their playoff lives. First and foremost, our thoughts and prayers are with Damar Hamlin. Hamlin took a hit and went into cardiac arrest during Monday Night Football and remains in critical condition. The Bills-Bengals game was postponed, and it has yet to be determined how the league will move forward in the final week of the season. This young man's health is far more important than anything that happens on the field, and the entire country is praying for his well-being.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 17 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 12/27/2022

An eventful Week 16 is now behind us, and it’s time to look ahead to Week 17. There are just 2 games to go for the Super Bowl hopefuls to gain steam heading into the playoffs, and there is still plenty to play for. We had our first 0-3 week last week, as the Bears and Seahawks both failed to cover as long underdogs, while the Lions let their playoff hopes fall out of their grasp in a blowout loss to the Panthers. This brings our season record to 15-15-1, with just 2 weeks to go. Before jumping into Week 17, let’s take a look at the biggest storylines from Week 16.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 16 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 12/20/2022

A wild Week 15 is in the books, and it is now time to look ahead at Week 16. We went 1-2 with our bets, moving our record to 15-12-1 this season. The Vikings made a historic comeback but didn’t cover the 4-point spread, while the Rams failed to cover the 7-point spread. The lone victory came from the Raiders, who got the ML victory in another wild ending. Before we get into Week 16, I’ll do my best to recap one of the craziest weeks in NFL history.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 15 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 12/13/2022

Week 14 is in the books. And with just 4 weeks to go, it is time to look at the lines for Week 15. In Week 14, we went 1-2 with our bets, as the Jets covered against the Bills. The Titans and Dolphins came in as short favorites but lost outright. This moves our season record to 14-10-1, as we have been able to churn a consistent profit this year. Before jumping into our picks for Week 15, let’s take a look at the biggest storylines from the previous slate of games.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 14 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 12/6/2022

Week 13 is in the books, leaving us with just five weeks to go in the regular season. The playoff picture is slowly shaping up, and Week 14 will go a long way in telling us who will be in when the season wraps up. From a betting perspective, we went 1-2 last week. The Commanders tied, causing us to lose the -2.5 spread, while the Dolphins failed to cover in their loss to the 49ers. The lone win was sweat free, as the Broncos easily covered the +8. Before we jump into Week 14, let’s take a look at the biggest storylines from Week 13:

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 13 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/29/2022

NFL Week 12 is now behind us, sending us into the final third of the season. Last week, we went 2-1 on our ATS picks, moving our season record to 13-8-1 on the year. The Ravens lost to the Jaguars as 4-point favorites, but the Commanders easily took care of the Falcons, and the Steelers won outright as short dogs on MNF. It feels good to get back into the winning column, but the job is far from over. Before jumping into Week 13, let’s look at the biggest storylines from Week 12.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 12 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/22/2022

Week 11 is in the books, and the NFL playoff race is beginning to take shape. With only 7 weeks left in the season, it is now or never for the playoff hopefuls. Last week, we went 0-2-1 on our bets. The Bills won by 8, falling half a point short of our -8.5 pick, the Bears pushed our +3, and the Vikings got blown out by the Cowboys. Our ATS record drops to 11-7-1 on the year. Before jumping into the opening lines for Week 12, let’s look at the biggest storylines from Week 11.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 11 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/15/2022

An eventful Week 10 is behind us, and it is now time to look ahead to Week 11. Last week, we went 2-1 on our bets. The Chiefs got the 9.5-point cover at home to the Jags, while the 6-point underdog Colts won outright. The lone blemish was the defending Super Bowl champs faltering once again, dropping to 3-6 on the season. This brings our ATS record to 11-5 this season, good for a 69 percent win rate. Before jumping into Week 11, here are the biggest storylines from Week 10.

Top US Sportsbooks Weigh-In on Super Bowl 57 Odds
by Dave Schwab - 11/14/2022

With the Buffalo Bills dealing in losses with the New York Jets and the Minnesota Vikings the past few Sundays, the odds of winning the Super Bowl are shaken up. The Kansas City Chiefs are firmly established as the leading contender after trouncing Jacksonville 27-17 in Week 10 and the Philadelphia Eagles are one step away at third heading into Monday night as 10-point favorites at home against the Washington Commanders.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 10 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/8/2022

Week 9 is in the rearview mirror, as we look ahead to the opening lines for Week 10. We went 1-2 last week, with the Titans covering the mammoth spread with ease, while the Dolphins and Cardinals fell short. This brings our Against the Spread record to 9-4 on the year, and we will be looking to improve on that in Week 10. It’s entering crunch time for the Super Bowl hopefuls, as the division races begin to take shape. Before we jump into Week 10, here are the biggest storylines from Week 9.