NFL Handicapping Articles

Week 8 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/16/2024

Week 6 was the most public betting week of the year. Road favorites covered at an all-time high, 9-0. In fact, against the spread. Home-field advantage doesn’t equate to 3 points anymore or even 2. If your bets left you in the green after the weekend, resist the urge to double down your winnings with the current slate of games. Resist recency bias when deciding which teams and or point totals to bet.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 7 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/14/2024

One of the most effective ways to churn a profit when betting on the NFL is by finding Closing Line Value (CLV). The closing spreads for NFL games are usually pretty accurate, but if you can secure CLV from a line only available earlier in the week, you can maximize your chances at a profit. The opening lines report will provide you with three picks you must lock in as soon as possible. There is no guarantee these lines will be available when kickoff rolls around on Sunday.

2025 Super Bowl Predictions with Futures Odds
by Ryan Cobbett - 10/14/2024

After six entertaining and story-filled weeks, now is a good time to look at which teams have the best odds to win the Super Bowl this season. The Kansas City Chiefs top the list (+500), as they are the only undefeated AFC team remaining. In the NFC, the Minnesota Vikings are the only undefeated squad remaining, but they have the third best odds to be the NFC representative. Teams like the 49ers, Rams, and Lions have faced some devastating injuries, while teams like the Browns and Jaguars are severely underperforming.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 10/11/2024
by Joey House - 10/11/2024

Welcome to the 7th edition of the 2024 Public Action Report, where we study the NFL and college football lines for reverse line movement. If you're new to the series, this link will take you to the introductory article that explains what constitutes a reverse line move. Our picks went 1-2 last week, with Miami defeating New England 15-10 as a 1-point favorite. San Francisco continued the upset trend by losing to Arizona 24-23 as a 7.5-point, and Penn State looked flat in the first half of their non-covering 27-11 victory over UCLA as a 28.5-point favorite.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 6: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/10/2024

As the NFL regular season rolls on, the point spreads get sharper by the week. It's about the time of year when many NFL bettors' bankrolls begin to shrink. If you do your homework in the offseason, and keep your attachment levels in check, the first few weeks of the season aren't too difficult to come out ahead, provided you bet responsibly, of course. In Weeks 4-6, more or less, the public player who still does his homework can continue his success.

NFL Week 7 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/9/2024

As bettors, the mountains we overcome, the obstacles we evade, the ego control, and the self-discipline it takes to be profitable are just a few reasons why only 3% are successful. We're also overloaded with information. That is especially true for betting on the NFL. It takes consistent work to stay afloat, and it's easy to get behind. That's why we stay ahead.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 6 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/7/2024

There are few better feelings than securing closing line value on a shifting NFL spread. The opening line can bring up unique betting opportunities that will not necessarily be available when kickoff rolls around. Guaranteeing yourself an extra point or two of value may not seem that important, but every half point matters when attempting to beat the sportsbooks.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 10/4/2024
by Joey House - 10/4/2024

Welcome to Week 6 of the Public Action Report, where we analyze college and NFL lines for reverse line movement. If you're new to the series, this link will take you to the introductory article that explains what constitutes a reverse line move. We went 1-2 last week, with Washington winning outright against Arizona 42-14 as a 3.5-point road dog and a non-covering win with Houston downing Jacksonville 24-20. Carolina battled valiantly but fell to Cincinnati, falling 34-24. The line was 6.5 points when I wrote the column but closed at 4.5, with reverse movement the entire way.

NFL Week 6 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 10/3/2024

In the world of handicapping and sports betting, we stay zoomed in. Yes, it’s a great idea to break down one game at a time. However, zooming out at least once a week and focusing our camera on the following week’s slate of games allows us to see the game from a different perspective.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 5: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/2/2024

Parlays can be a lot of fun…until they aren't. Whether or not you decide to parlay 2 or 3 selections or to go for 5 or 6, you're probably going to lose. When you do, it seems as if you are just one win away from cashing. At least, those are the ones you don't forget. It's hard enough to pick one winner in the NFL, much less several.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 5 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 9/30/2024

The bye weeks are beginning in the NFL, as Week 5 brings another tantalizing slate of NFL football to the table. The opening lines can often be significantly different from the closing lines, and it is crucial to lock in the extra value when possible. Last week, we went 1-1 with a push on our opening lines report, bringing our season record to 4-4-1. The Buccaneers made quick work of the Eagles, but the Saints failed to cover the spread by a single point against the Falcons.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 9/27/2024
by Joey House - 9/27/2024

We followed up our perfect 3-0 NFL week with an 0-2 effort. Chicago outgained Indy but turned over the ball more, leading to their demise. Arizona's defense played better than expected, but their offense was punchless, scoring only 13 points. Nevertheless, both games were very close to cashing tickets for us. We went 1-1 in college, as Clemson blew the breaks off of NC State, but Houston was MIA in Cincinnati, getting shut out.

NFL Week 5 Lookahead Lines: Best Bets and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 9/26/2024

Are you sick and tired of checking the NFL betting odds on Monday or Tuesday morning for the upcoming week only to realize that the early birds scarfed up your worm? It’s hard enough to be on the right side of an NFL bet. So, if we can beat some closing line value with a wager on a lookahead line, why not?

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 4: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 9/24/2024

By a country mile, the NFL is the most popular sport to bet on in the USA. However, sportsbooks can sometimes lose money on one sport but still make so much profit from football that it barely matters. I remember living in Las Vegas and sparring with a professional hockey bettor. At the time, only a couple of the casinos in town offered hockey lines because they were getting beat. He left training and went straight to the Hooters Casino to pace his bets.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 4 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 9/23/2024

Believe it or not, the NFL regular season is already 17% complete as we head into a pivotal Week 4 of games. The opening lines report gives you the best chance of locking in a profit for Week 4, as a single point shift in the line can make all the difference at the end of the week. By locking in your Week 4 NFL picks now, you can avoid worrying about the line shifting before kickoff.

Weekly Public Action Football Betting Report with Predictions 9/19/2024
by Joey House - 9/19/2024

Last week was the first week we analyzed the NFL, and what a week it was, going a perfect 3-0 and earning the PAR's first clean sweep. I don't break down the first week of the NFL season, because those lines had been posted for months and trampled on by the heathens. Our featured selection of Green Bay +3 over Indianapolis hit, as the Packers won 16-10 outright. The two other plays were underdog winners: Cleveland and the New York Jets. The college plays were not as great, as we went 1-2 in our highlighted plays and 4-4 overall.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 3: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 9/18/2024

Sports betting is becoming more popular around the country every year. Football, particularly the NFL, is leading the way in American sports. Once upon a time, we only had the moneyline to bet on, and eventually, the point spread and total came along. With the rise of fantasy football, betting on player performance props each week has become popular and even profitable for some. Betting parlays can be a lot of fun, well, until one of the legs crumbles under you. We don’t generally recommend betting parlays. However, teasers can be good value.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 3 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 9/16/2024

The second week of NFL action is now behind us, and there is no time to waste in locking in your NFL Week 3 picks. A one-point difference between the opening and closing lines may not appear to make a difference, but that critical extra value can be the difference between winning and losing in the long run. By locking in your Week 3 picks now, you can avoid worrying about line movement as the games inch closer.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 2: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 9/10/2024

Making money betting on the NFL is one of the hardest things a human can do. This is especially true when chasing those pesky point spreads every week. The juice is worth the squeeze if you do your homework. However, I'm sure there have been multiple memorable occasions where you were forced to watch your break turn bad in the final minutes of a game.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 2 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 9/9/2024

The first week of NFL action is in the books, and it’s now time to look ahead at Week 2’s opening lines. While the differences between an opening and closing line may only be a point or two, these valuable edges can be the difference-maker when trying to generate a profit throughout the NFL season. By locking in your bet at the best number possible, you can increase your chances when NFL Sunday comes rolling around.