NFL Handicapping Articles

Race to the First Pick in 2014 NFL Draft
by Trevor Whenham - 12/4/2013

The race for the most hotly-contested spot in the NFL this year is intense, deep, and constantly shifting. I’m talking, of course, about the No. 1 overall pick in next year’s draft. There are a lot of teams that are giving their all to prove that there is no worse team than them and that they deserve to be on the clock starting in January. Five squads have the inside track at this point. Here’s how the race breaks out:

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 12/3/2013

It's now clear that the road to the Super Bowl runs through Seattle in the NFC and Denver in the AFC, and what a perfect title game that would be. Two teams who are used to the elements playing in the first outdoor cold-weather Super Bowl. Arguably the NFL's best defense against clearly its best offense. Predictably, Seahawks vs. Broncos is the big Super Bowl matchup favorite at +150 on Sportsbook.ag.

NFL Week 13 Special Props Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/27/2013

I did not do NFL rushing or receiving 2013 leaders stories this summer -- I incorporated individual leaders props into team previews -- but my Doc's colleague Dave Schwab did. Let's revisit what he had, because Bovada has released its updated props on the leaders in each category as part of the sites NFL Week 13 specials.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 13 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 11/27/2013

For the second week in a row the oddsmakers kept the total lines razor-sharp in the NFL, with seven games going “over” the closing line and seven staying “under”. I was also able to duplicate my record on my top three plays at 2-1 to raise my overall mark on the year to 21-14-1. This in turn took my winning percentage back over 58 percent.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 11/26/2013

Is there any doubt at this point that the NFC North is the worst division in the NFL and that the NFC West is the best? I don't think so after what happened in Week 12. Let's start with the “NFC Norris,” as Chris Berman likes to call it. Being that the Detroit Lions were nine-point home favorites against a bad Tampa Bay team, the Bears were only one-point underdogs at a Rams team starting Kellen Clemens at QB, and that the Packers and Vikings were playing one another, well, the division seemed a lock for at least two wins on Sunday.

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 13
by Dave Schwab - 11/26/2013

It took 12 weeks of games, but we are finally starting to get some separation in the race for the NFC East Division title. Dallas and Philadelphia are both over .500 at 6-5, but the Cowboys currently hold the tie-breaker because of an earlier win over the Eagles. New York is two games back at 4-7 after this past Sunday’s loss to Dallas, and Washington’s third loss in a row has it in last place at 3-8.

NFL Week 12 Special Props Odds and Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/22/2013

It was a pretty good Week 11 in terms of Bovada specials that were immediately decided on Sunday. Percy Harvin made his Seahawks debut last week, fittingly against Minnesota, and as I expected his snap count was kept very limited. He did have one nice 58-yard kickoff return that almost ruined my recommendation, but I thought there was no way Harvin would find the end zone, and that paid off at -200. I bet the farm on that.

Pro Football Betting: Week 12 NFL Line Moves
by CarbonSports - 11/22/2013

The Colts and Lions are two teams that everyone seems to be high on despite some weird inconsistencies. They’re also playing two rising teams that are a combined 5-1 SU and ATS in the past three weeks. It’s hard to believe those two teams are Tampa and Arizona. Of course, we couldn’t talk about Week 12 without mentioning the Brady-Manning matchup on Sunday Night, so let’s get to it.

Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 12
by George Monroy - 11/21/2013

Basic Strategy teasers had another solid showing on Sunday and ended with a 2-1 record for the week. The New York Jets were the only team that did not cover their teaser spread as they were blown out by 23 points. Both the Denver Broncos and Tampa Bay Buccaneers easily covered their lines and ended winning by double-digit margin of victories. The teasers have an impressive 44-11 record on the season and are winning at an 80 percent rate.

NFL Handicapping: Have Falcons Given Up?
by Trevor Whenham - 11/21/2013

If you look up disaster in the dictionary, you see a picture of the 2013 Atlanta Falcons. They were viewed as legitimate threats to win the NFC by many, but there are college teams that could give them a run for their money given how they have been playing lately. They are 2-8, and they are lucky to have those two wins.

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 12
by Dave Schwab - 11/20/2013

Philadelphia was finally able to snap a 10-game losing streak at home with a 24-16 victory over Washington this past Sunday as a 2.5-point favorite. The win moved the Eagles into first place in the NFC East at 6-5, but little breathing room exists at the top with Dallas coming off its bye at 5-5 and New York right behind at 4-6 after beating Green Bay 27-13 as a five-point home favorite.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 12 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 11/20/2013

The oddsmakers kept the total lines razor sharp last week in the NFL, with seven games going “over” the closing line and seven staying “under” and one game ending as a “push”. Fortunately, I was able to navigate my way through with a profitable 2-1 record for my top three plays in Week 11 of the NFL season. This raised my overall record on the year to 19-13-1 for a winning percentage of 58 percent.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 11/19/2013

Wow, did Panthers backers catch a major break on Monday night or what? I personally picked Carolina to win that game, so I was glad to see the officials pick up what looked like a flag for defensive pass interference that would have given New England, down 24-20, the ball at the Carolina 1 with no time left.

NFL Week 11 Special Betting Props with Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 11/14/2013

On the one Bovada NFL special that was determined in Week 10, hopefully you followed my advice. That was on Eagles quarterback Nick Foles “over/under” two touchdown passes against Green Bay, and I strongly leaned over at +120. He had three and still hasn't thrown an interception this season with 16 touchdown passes. The site this week has an over/under of how many more TD passes he will throw before his first pick, with a total of 2.5 (over -130, under even).

Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Options for Week 11
by George Monroy - 11/14/2013

Week 11 of NFL action has three excellent basic strategy teasers for bettors to wager on. Two of the three games involve underdogs being pushed past the seven-point mark, and all three present excellent value for bettors to wager on. This season basic strategy teasers have won at an 80 percent rate and have been one of the best NFL bets of the year.

NFC East Weekly NFL Betting Picks: Week 11
by Dave Schwab - 11/13/2013

Philadelphia’s 27-13 victory over Green Bay coupled with the Cowboys’ meltdown against New Orleans last Sunday has both teams tied atop the NFC East at 5-5, with New York and Washington a game and a half back in the standings at 3-6. I predicted that this title race would go down to the final week of the season, with all four teams in the mix, and so far I have been right on the money just like I have been with my NFC East ‘Pick of the Week’. Last Sunday I jumped all over the Eagles against a toothless Packers’ offense for three units to raise my year-to-date record to 8-2 and my total earnings to $1,930 on a $100/unit wager.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 11 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 11/13/2013

After four straight weeks in which the “over” had the edge on the total line, points finally became a bit harder to come by in the NFL with eight of last week’s 14 games staying “under” the closing line. It was a week to forget for my top picks on the total line as all three ended up on the wrong side of the ledger. This performance put a major dent in my year-to-date winning percentage, but I am still well above .500 on the season at 17-12-1.

NFL Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 11/12/2013

If Cowboys owner Jerry Jones doesn't fire himself as the general manager after Sunday night's debacle in New Orleans, then he's never going to, and that's a shame for fans of the team -- but good for those betting against the Cowboys (hint: take the “over”).

2013 NFL MVP Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 11/12/2013

If he can stay healthy and avoid any major pitfalls then Peyton Manning is going to be named MVP when this NFL season ends. There is little doubt of that, and his -600 odds at Sportsbook.ag are a clear indicator of his dominance in this race. In the closing seconds of his last game against San Diego, though, we had a glimpse of perhaps the biggest threat to him winning the hardware — his own body.

NFL Handicapping: Philadelphia Eagles and Nick Foles
by Trevor Whenham - 11/12/2013

Nick Foles shocked the world two weeks back when he tossed seven touchdown passes against the Raiders. It was, at worst, the second-best performance by any quarterback all season. There was some obvious skepticism — was this a one-hit wonder like we say from Matt Flynn two years back?