NFL Handicapping Articles

Best Bets for Teams to Make the NFL Playoffs: Yes or No Props
by Mike Allen - 11/14/2023

As we enter Week 11 of the NFL regular season, the playoff picture remains a mystery for many teams. For some, that's a good thing, and for others, it's not. I guess that's why expectations are generally a net negative in life. For instance, the Buffalo Bills did not expect in Week 11 to have an implied probability of less than 35% to make the playoffs.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 11: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 11/14/2023

The first half of the 2023 NFL regular season is now behind us. The usual suspects are sitting atop their respective divisions. I don’t think there are too many big surprises thus far. The Kansas City Chiefs are an under team this year. That isn’t a giant shock to me, though, because they have slowly been improving on the defensive side of the ball for years now.

NFL Week 10 Circa and Westgate Las Vegas Football Contest Report
by Christopher G. Shepard - 11/9/2023

Entry BigDumbOne-1 moved into first place from third place in week 9 Circa Million to share the lead with WhalesBet-2 at 33.5 points. Both entries went 4-1 with both teams losing to New Orleans -8.5 against Chicago. Vegas legend and two-time back-to-back SuperContest winner Steve Fezzik (Fezzik-3) is in third place with 33-points and went 4-1 last week. Seven entries are within a point of the leader, and I am 2.5-ponts behind the leader in 21st place as I went 4-1 last week with my only loss coming at the hands of the offensively challenged Carolina Panthers. The five consensus picks were 3-2 in Week 9: Cleveland (-7.5), Cincinnati (-1.5), NY Jets (+3.5), Las Vegas (-2), Houston (-2.5)

NFL Season Leaders Betting Odds and Predictions
by Mike Allen - 11/8/2023

The NFL regular season is at its midpoint now as we are entering Week 10. For all of us bettors who projected some of the league's skill position stars to go over their season totals for yards and/or scores, I offer my condolences and apologies. It has been a different game this year with point totals getting lower and lower as the season has progressed. Sportsbooks are doing their best to keep up with the low scores, but unders just keep hitting.

NFL Playoffs No. 1 Seeds: Odds and Betting Predictions
by Mike Allen - 11/7/2023

Happy halfway point to the NFL regular season! The weeks seem to go by faster every year. It is already about that time to start looking ahead to the playoffs. Today, we have some very fun betting odds that have the potential to last you for the entire second half of the regular season. These are new to me. I haven’t seen them posted on any sportsbooks in years past.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 10 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 11/7/2023

Week 9 is in the books, and it’s now time to look ahead at the Week 10 opening lines. Last week, we went 1-2 on our picks, bringing our season record to 14-13. The Washington Commanders won outright as 3-point underdogs, but the Rams and Cowboys failed to keep it close in their respective defeats. The favorites took care of business in Week 10, going 11-2 straight up, and 9-4 ATS. Before we jump into a tantalizing Week 10 slate, here’s the biggest storylines from a season defining Week 9 slate.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 10: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 11/7/2023

We are now at the halfway mark of the NFL regular season, and as we are learning more about each team, the point spreads sharpen and become more difficult to bet. If only there were a way we could manipulate the betting lines to give ourselves a much better chance to win, I think a lot of smart bettors would be down for it. Forgive me if I'm insulting your intelligence, but we can do this with something called a teaser bet.

NFL Week 9 Circa and Westgate Las Vegas Football Contest Report
by Christopher G. Shepard - 11/2/2023

ZeiwBruder-3 is hitting 77% on their picks as they went 3-1-1 in Week 8 for a season long record of 28-8-4 at 26.5 points (76.5%) in the Circa Million V pro football contest. NotSoFast-1 caught up with the leader with a 4-0-1 record ATS and is tied for the lead with ZeiBruder-3 at 30 points. There is a five-way tie in the second quarter $60,000 mini-contest NU3672-1, Studley-1, Bzpoker119-2, Maybach-1, and Emppu-1. My picks went 4-0-1, which brings my season record to 27-12-1 (69.2%) good enough for 31st place in the standings after eight weeks.

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 9: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/31/2023

There are 6-point teasers available from most sportsbooks, and others even have teaser odds up to 10 points or more. Like a parlay, you can tease more than just two teams. While there is nothing wrong with an educated lottery ticket of just a few dollars here and there, we can't get wrapped up in the big numbers.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 9 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/31/2023

We have reached the halfway point of the NFL season, and there is little margin for error for the Super Bowl hopefuls. Last week, we went 2-1 on our picks, bringing the season record to 13-11. After conceding the opening touchdown, the Dolphins stormed back for a 31-17 victory, covering the 9.5 point spread in the process. The Bengals won outright as 5.5-point underdogs, but we failed to complete the sweep as the Bears didn’t cover the 8.5 point spread in their Sunday Night loss to the Chargers.

NFL Week 8 Circa and Westgate Las Vegas Football Contest Report
by Christopher G. Shepard - 10/26/2023

There’s a three-way tie in the standings in the Circa Million V pro football contest between Castlerocker-1, DeadMoney-4, and ZeiwBruder-3 at 26.5 points (76.5%). ZweiBruder-3 (TwoBrothers in German) moved up to the three-way tie for first after going 5-0 in Week 7. Castelrocker-1 went 3-2 and DeadMoney-3 went 4-1, while my picks went 4-1. This brings my season record to 23-12 (65.7%) good enough for 104th place in the standings after seven weeks. The five consensus picks were 1-4 in Week 7: LA Chargers +5.5 (33.5%), Philadelphia -2.5 (32%), LA Rams -3 (32%), Cleveland -3 (32%), Tampa Bay -2.5 (29%).

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 8: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Joey House - 10/25/2023

It is now Week 8 in the NFL, and we are looking to return to our winning ways and move our basic strategy teaser record to 5-3 with a nice (-120) payout to add to your Black Friday fund. On Monday morning of this week, there were 9 potential teams to tease using the basic strategy. The market has helped narrow it down for us with 5 games that we can tease. So, what am I talking about? Let's answer that and move on to our Week 8 basic strategy teaser odds and predictions.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 8 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/24/2023

The Week 8 picks are in, as we look to get back in the win column and keep our season record above .500. I cannot stress enough how critical it is to lock in these lines before kickoff, as there is no guarantee these prices will still be available when kickoff rolls around on Sunday.

NFL Week 7 Circa and Westgate Las Vegas Football Contest Report
by Christopher G. Shepard - 10/19/2023

Week 6 featured a leaderboard shake-up in the standings in the Circa Million V pro football contest. Perpetual leader Onebadmutha-1 dropped to 19th after going 1-4 in Week 6. Jwill-1 went 4-1 and took over sole possession of the lead with a 23-5-2 record (82%). Castlerocker-3 is in second place and avoided all the big upsets to go 5-0 and record a 23-6-1 mark on the season. My entry went 1-4 for a 19-11 record as I dropped to 312 place. The five consensus picks were 2-3 in Week 6: San Francisco -7.5 (43%), Cincinnati -2,5 (37), Baltimore -4 (29%), Tampa Bay +3.5 (28%), Indianapolis +4 (26.5%).

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 7: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/18/2023

We are officially more than one-third of the way through the 2023 NFL regular season. I hope you haven’t been betting a lot of overs this year. Games have been very low-scoring. That made sense to me early on in the year, but I believe most of us thought the offenses would be picking things up by now.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 7 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/17/2023

Week 7 is here, as the NFL hits the middle part of the season, and there is no more time for messing around from the Super Bowl hopefuls. We nailed all 3 of our picks last week, moving our season record to 11-7 against the spread with the sweep. The Ravens got our Sunday started off strong with a relatively sweat free cover in their 24-16 victory over the Titans in London. The Commanders took care of business against the Falcons, winning outright on the road, while the Jets not only covered the +6.5-point spread against the Eagles but took the Eagle's perfect record in a shock victory.

NFL Week 6 Circa and Westgate Las Vegas Football Contest Report
by Christopher G. Shepard - 10/12/2023

One Bad Mutha-1 (21-4), 21-points, is still atop the Circa Million V leaderboard after going 4-1 in Week 5. Ohio McGaha Bros., tied for first last week, went 2-3 this week and dropped to ninth place with 19 points. A total of 162 entries, or 3.1%, went 5-0 In week 5. My entry went 2-3, which was good enough for 17 points, dropping us to 44th place in the standings. The five consensus picks were 3-2 in Week 5: San Francisco (-3.5), Los Angeles Rams (+4.5), Buffalo (-5), Miami (-11.5), Atlanta (-1.5).

Best NFL Teaser Bets Week 6: Basic Strategy Teasers
by Mike Allen - 10/11/2023

I am starting to really enjoy these teaser bets. We got ourselves back on the winning track this past weekend and now sit at 4-1 on the year on our NFL basic strategy teaser bets that pay out at (-120) betting odds. We had the New York Jets and the Houston Texans teased up to 7.5-point underdogs. Both of these teaser legs hit fairly easily, with the Jets winning their game and Houston losing by just two points on a late touchdown.

NFL Betting Predictions: Week 6 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Spencer Toth - 10/10/2023

Five weeks down, 13 weeks to go. The standings are beginning to take shape, as the playoff hope for some teams has already quickly vanished. The favorites went 8-6 straight up in Week 5, and for the second time this season, all the favorites who won also covered the spread. We put together another profitable week, going 2-1 on our picks, moving our record to 8-7 on the season. The Panthers were unable to keep it close, as they got blown out of the water in a 42-24 beatdown at the hands of the Lions.

NFL Week 5 Circa and Westgate Las Vegas Football Contest Report
by Christopher G. Shepard - 10/5/2023

Despite going 3-2, One Bad Mutha-1 (17-3) is still atop the Circa Million V leaderboard, but is tied for the lead with Ohio McGaha Bros., who went 5-0, good enough for 17-points (85%) heading into Week 5. These two entries will split the combined first and second prize ($210,000) for the first quarter. There were four entries tied for third place. A total of 159 entries, or three percent, went 5-0 In Week 4. My entry went 3-2, which was good enough for 16 points at the quarter pole.