NFL Handicapping Articles

NFL Betting and Wagering Lessons Learned from Week 1
by Trevor Whenham - 9/14/2015

The single biggest thing that bettors need to remember after the first week of the NFL season is that we really don't know much. Casual fans and lazy media members will panic about bad play and embrace strong play in the first week. Smarter people realize that prizes aren't won in September and that it is a long season.

NFL Odds and Betting: Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 9/12/2015

So, have you stopped cursing Pittsburgh Steelers kicker Josh Scobee yet? Scobee, acquired last month in a trade with Jacksonville after the Steelers lost two other kickers to major injury, missed two field goals in Thursday night's NFL Kickoff Game against New England. The Patriots won 28-21. The total in that was 51, and the "over" was taking a huge lean. All Scobee has to do is hit one of those, and presuming all else remained the same obviously the "over" hits.

NFL Props Odds with Expert Betting Picks and Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 9/11/2015

The Pittsburgh Steelers and the New England Patriots kicked off a new season of football in the NFL on Thursday night in a game that ended as a "push" with New England holding on for the seven-point win. Now it is time for bettors to turn their attention to a full slate of games this Sunday.

NFL Betting: Tips and Advice on Using In-Game Wagering
by George Monroy - 9/11/2015

NFL in-game betting is a wagering option that has been around for a few years already and is beginning to gain popularity amongst bettors. The concept is simple yet enticing. During commercials and time outs of NFL football games, new and updated lines are offered for bettors to wager on. For example, if New England begins the game as a seven-point favorite and then scores two straight touchdowns early in matchup, the updated spread would probably have the Patriots as a 10- to 12-point favorite (depending on the opponent).

How to Manage Your Bankroll: Keep Stats and Set Rules for NFL Betting
by George Monroy - 9/10/2015

Bankroll management is one of those boring topics that tends to get overlooked by bettors, but it's of the utmost importance for anyone looking to make a profit by wagering on sports. If you are a serious gambler, managing your money is akin to a business owner managing his or her books. Would you expect any business person to not have detailed records and knowledge of the amount of money they made or lost last year?

Free NFL Betting Predictions: Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos Odds and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/9/2015

It was tough picking which Sunday NFL game to preview for Week 1. Packers-Bears is always interesting, and Green Bay begins life without Pro Bowl receiver Jordy Nelson. MMQB writer Peter King has the Packers as his Super Bowl champions, and I know a lot of other experts feel the same way despite no Nelson.

Yards Per Point: One Simple Stat, Three Winning NFL Systems
by Robert Ferringo - 9/9/2015

The National Football League is state-sanctioned chaos. It's a weekly ritual of violence and speed featuring carbon-fiber-clad sociopaths with hyperactive pituitary glands mauling and maiming one another. It's a bizarre sport and senseless entertainment that has become a pillar of our national consciousness and economy.

Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 1
by Dave Schwab - 9/9/2015

The long wait for a new season in the NFL is finally over, and I am happy to announce that I will once again be covering the NFC East for Doc's Sports. The Dallas Cowboys had a breakout season in 2014 with a 12-4 record and a division title, but the new-look Philadelphia Eagles are primed to reclaim the top spot after winning the NFC East the season before.

NFL Totals Betting: Week 1 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 9/9/2015

The key to success when betting totals is to dig deep into the facts, stats and betting trends for all the matchups on the slate in an effort uncover a few golden opportunities to beat the sportsbooks with a few bad lines. The following are my top three picks for Week 1 of the 2015 NFL regular season based on betting odds by BetOnline.

Week 1 NFL Betting Advice: What to look for when Handicapping Matchups
by Robert Ferringo - 9/9/2015

Week 1 of the NFL season is finally here, and we are ready to rock. But a common mistake that amateur gamblers make is that they are so geeked up that pro football is back that they overexpose themselves and their bankroll in the opening weekend.

NFL Week 1 Betting Cheat Sheet: Closer Look at the Stats and Trends
by George Monroy - 9/9/2015

Approaching the opening week of the NFL season can be more difficult and confusing than any other betting week of the year. The first set of games during the football season are almost a blank slate as most teams are dealing with new roster additions, coaching changes, incorporating draft picks and dealing with heightened or lowered expectations.

Free NFL Betting Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots Odds
by Alan Matthews - 9/8/2015

Great way to kick off the NFL season on Thursday night, and I'm expecting mammoth ratings and betting action as we finally put "Deflategate" past us -- smartly, Commissioner Roger Goodell won't be in attendance on Thursday -- and get to some real football as the Super Bowl champion Patriots host Pittsburgh on NBC. It's two of the best quarterbacks of this era in four-time Super Bowl champion Tom Brady of the Patriots and two-time champ Ben Roethlisberger of the Steelers.

NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Betting Options for Week 1
by George Monroy - 9/8/2015

The 2015 NFL season is only hours away, and at this point most bettors have poured over every single line looking for the best value during Week 1. And while there are quite a few great spots to bet on, another opportunity to find value is by wagering on a basic strategy teaser. The bet takes favorites of 7.5, 8.0, and 8.5 points and teases them down to under three points and takes underdogs of 1.5, 2.0 and 2.5 points and teases them up past the seven-point mark.

NFL Betting Advice: Potential Bad ATS Teams
by Trevor Whenham - 9/7/2015

We are sitting at the start of a long NFL season. Optimism about most teams will never be higher than it is now. For some teams that means that the betting public gets excited - probably more excited than they should given the circumstances. What we are looking at today is teams that the public seems to have high hopes for this year that might not be in a position to deliver on those expectations quite like the betting public hopes they will.

NFL Handicapping: ATS Results for Home Teams in Week 1
by George Monroy - 9/7/2015

The idea of home-field advantage gets a huge amount of attention is sports, and rightfully so. Playing at home gives one team the comfort of sleeping in their own beds, practicing in their own facility and getting cheered on by their own fans. On the other side of that coin, the road team must deal with travel, late-night arrivals, sleeping in hotels and working in an unfamiliar facility. The real question is how much those variables actually play a factor during football games.

First NFL Coach to be Fired Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 9/7/2015

The season hasn't even started yet, and already we are hearing all sorts of discussion about NFL coaches who could be on the hot seat. What a rough way to making a living being a coach must be. Instead of feeling sorry for them, though, our focus here is to understand how hot seats can have a betting impact. Before we look at six guys commonly thought to be on the edge of unemployment, let's look at four factors to consider when figuring out how significant these situations are to bettors:

NFL Football Predictions: Week 1 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/4/2015

Hello friends, it has been about nine months since I have written a weekly NFL opening line report. Man it feels good to be back! So ready for some football, even though my team is going to "rhymes with luck." But, I also don't bet on my team because sometimes I think with my heart and not my head. I am that way in every sport. Usually doesn't end well.

NFL Betting: Odds and Predictions for Player Prop Matchups
by Trevor Whenham - 9/3/2015

BetOnline has a wide range of player matchup props listed. Most deal with quarterbacks, and for good reason - those are always the most interesting to discuss and dissect. As I went through the long list of options, there were seven that stood out for the most important of reasons - they offer value. Let's take a look:

NFL Odds: Updated Numbers with Tom Brady Suspension Overturned
by Alan Matthews - 9/3/2015

On Thursday morning in Manhattan (why did this have to overshadow the opening day of college football?), Judge Richard M. Berman of Federal District Court somewhat surprisingly overturned NFL commissioner Roger Goodell's four-game suspension of Patriots quarterback Tom Brady for his alleged role in the "Deflategate" silliness in the AFC Championship Game in January against the Indianapolis Colts.

NFL Wagering Picks: Quarterback Passing Props Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 9/3/2015

There are few things we love more as football fans than passing. We want yards in bulk. In the NFL right now we are in a golden era for passing. Never have we seen so many guys so good at passing playing in systems that suit their talents so well. Given that, choosing which player is likely to lead the league in passing yards is a tough challenge - but a very fun one. Here's a look at how the prop bet breaks down (Odds are from BetOnline):