NFL Handicapping Articles
Free NFL Expert Picks: New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts Odds
by Alan Matthews - 10/14/2015
I try to stay away from previewing a team's game in back-to-back weeks, but this is all about winning bets, right? And I was incredibly confident that New England would go into Dallas and take care of business rather easily in Week 5 -- and it did. And there's no way I couldn't preview the Patriots' Week 6 game against Indianapolis, the team that turned in the Pats for allegedly messing with the footballs during last season's AFC Championship Game. That was called "Deflategate". You may have heard of it.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
by Alan Matthews - 10/14/2015
Sometimes a head coach simply stays too long at a job, no matter the sport or how successful he might have been. Now, obviously it hasn't been a problem with someone like Bill Belichick in New England, but you always hear that eventually players will tune out the same voice after a while. That seemed to happen in Atlanta with Mike Smith the previous two seasons. He was hired before the 2008 season, and the Falcons had been very successful under him until the past two years. A change was made this offseason, and Atlanta is 5-0 and can already match its 2014 wins total with a victory Thursday. Dan Quinn, the former Seahawks defensive coordinator, is the +300 favorite at Sportsbook.ag to win NFL Coach of the Year honors.
NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Betting Options for Week 6
by George Monroy - 10/14/2015
Week 6 of the NFL season is filled with multiple basic strategy teaser options on the board. And now that the year is beginning to take form with the bad teams falling behind and the good ones making themselves known, there will be plenty of opportunities to find great wagers and situations to bet on. Let's take a closer look at this week's four basic strategy teaser options and figure out the best way to wager on each game. Here is a rundown on what makes up a basic strategy teaser.
NFL Football Predictions: Week 6 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/12/2015
And with the first pick in the 2016 NFL draft, the Kansas City Chiefs select ... sure, the Detroit Lions are the only team in the NFL without a win yet, but I'm not convinced the Chiefs will win another game this season after they fell at home to a pretty bad Chicago Bears team on Sunday and lost superstar running back Jamaal Charles to a season-ending torn ACL. That's beyond crushing as Charles was easily the most important player on that offense.
NFL Odds and Betting Week 5: Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 10/9/2015
Bovada has an interesting Week 5 special asking whether all six unbeaten teams will make the playoffs. Let's take a look at them and project. New England (3-0): Patriots should get to 4-0 on Sunday with a win at injury-depleted Dallas -- Pats are taking biggest lean of any team in Week 5 -- and they are a lock to make it obviously assuming good health for Tom Brady.
NFL Week 5 Handicapping: Taking a Look at Large Spreads and Home Underdogs
by George Monroy - 10/9/2015
Betting on the NFL can be broken down into so many categories that a gambler could focus on one specific area and probably come away with a profit at the end of the year. If you wanted to focus on double-digit home favorites, or Thursday Night home teams, or underdogs of seven-points or more, you could find value throughout the season and come out ahead if the handicapping was sharp. Two areas that most bettors tend to focus on are home underdogs and large spreads (nine points or more), which seem to happen nearly every week.
NFL Props Odds with Expert Betting Picks and Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/9/2015
When it comes to betting on the NFL, BetOnline sportsbook has you covered with a full set of odds for the games. However, it does not stop there. Each week of the season it also releases a number prop bet odds in conjunction with a few of the matchups on the slate.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
by Alan Matthews - 10/7/2015
My apologies for the Thursday night NFL preview being a day late this week. Usually these are posted on Tuesday, but there was no line for Colts-Texans until Wednesday morning due to the uncertain status of Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck. It looks again like the South is clearly the worst division in the AFC as the Colts should be 0-4 in some ways but are 2-2 and still lead the division as the only team at .500.
NFL Basic Strategy Teasers: Best Betting Options for Week 5
by George Monroy - 10/7/2015
A basic strategy teaser is perhaps the smartest and most profitable way to make a NFL teaser bet. Teasers in general are considered "suckers bets" because most gamblers end up going "crazy" by adding the most points and teams possible into the bet ,and any time you create a situation where a large number of teams have to cover a bet, you are fighting an uphill battle. Basic strategy teasers, however, are two-team, six-point teasers that take advantage of the NFL key numbers of three and seven and anchor spreads around those markers.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 5 Over and Under Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/7/2015
Last week in the NFL was a great opportunity for a play on the "under" when it came to betting the total line, with nine of the 15 games staying under BetOnline's closing NFL betting odds. I was once again below .500 with my top three picks on the total line with a 1-2 record on the day after biting on the "over" in the New York Giants at Buffalo game.
Expert NFL Betting Picks: Weekly NFC East Predictions Week 5
by Dave Schwab - 10/7/2015
The New York Giants are starting to emerge as the team to beat in the NFC East in light of key injuries with Dallas and Philadelphia's unexpected poor start. The one thing you can probably count on when it comes to this division is that things will find a way to remain tight in this race all season long.
NFL Expert Picks Against the Spread: New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys
by Alan Matthews - 10/6/2015
Was originally considering making Seattle-Cincinnati my featured Sunday game, but how can I not do the glamour matchup of New England and Dallas? This could still be a Super Bowl preview, although the Cowboys (2-2) definitely look off track right now with the injuries to stars Tony Romo and Dez Bryant. The good news for them is that the NFC East is incredibly weak.
Handicapping the Undefeated and Winless ATS NFL Teams
by George Monroy - 10/6/2015
Heading into Week 4 of the NFL season there were still 10 undefeated or winless teams against the spread, and after the dust cleared on Sunday only four remained. Arizona and Denver finally dropped a spread, while Detroit and Oakland finally covered one. Baltimore and Pittsburgh-one was coverless and the other undefeated-played to a push on Sunday, and even though their records remain intact, we will skip them in this article. Let's take a closer look at remaining winless and unblemished teams and figure out which streaks will continue and which will not.
NFL Betting Impact of Philbin Firing in Miami
by Trevor Whenham - 10/6/2015
The Miami Dolphins finally stopped the bleeding by firing head coach Joe Philbin after just four games this season. Unfortunately, stopping the bleeding after gallons of blood has already spilled out onto the floor isn't always best for the patient. So, will getting rid of Philbin make for a positive change in Miami? And what does it mean for bettors?
Las Vegas Sportsbooks Get NFL Betting Revenge on Public Week 4
by Raphael Esparza - 10/6/2015
NFL Week 4 is in the books, and if you are keeping score, the Las Vegas sportsbooks and public are evened up now 2-2 going into NFL Week 5. Last week some Las Vegas book directors told me that there were multiple games that got them but that this Sunday was a very quiet weekend with Vegas coming out on top after Monday Night Football.
NFL Football Predictions: Week 5 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 10/5/2015
To help me stay objective when writing for Doc's, I don't actually bet that often. But when there's something I feel very strongly about, I certainly do. And I am happily counting my winnings right now from betting that Miami's Joe Philbin would be the first NFL coach fired this year. He was on Monday, the second straight year that a coach was canned after a Week 4 loss in London and ahead of his team's bye week. In 2014, the Raiders fired coach Dennis Allen after his team was embarrassed by Philbin's Dolphins 38-14 in London.
NFL Odds and Betting Week 4: Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 10/3/2015
If you read my Thursday night preview of Ravens at Steelers, you know I recommended Baltimore at +2.5. And that was a winner but also proves that sometimes it's better to be lucky than good. The Ravens had no right winning that game, but Pittsburgh kicker Josh Scobee missed 49- and 41-yard field goals in the fourth quarter, each of which would have salted it away.
NFL Props Odds with Expert Betting Picks and Predictions
by Dave Schwab - 10/2/2015
Each week of the NFL regular season you can usually count on Bovada to release a few special prop bets centering around the action in Sunday's games as well as for anything else that might be trending with bettors right now. I will take a closer look at what is on the board for Week 4 and give you my "best bet" pick for my top props.
Free NFL Picks: St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals Odds and Predictions
by Alan Matthews - 9/30/2015
I don't think that Rams-Cardinals is the best matchup on what's just a so-so Week 4 of NFL football. But it's definitely time to talk about Arizona, which looks like maybe the best team in the league thus far -- yes better than the New England Patriots or Green Bay Packers by some metrics. And I will admit this: I was totally wrong on the team, at least so far. I expected major regression. And it could happen if Carson Palmer goes down.
NFL Week 4 Underdog Odds and Picks for the Best Money Value Bets
by George Monroy - 9/30/2015
The underdogs struggled last week and managed to win only three games outright and cover four matchups total, which is a steep drop off from Week 2's nine straight up wins. The NFL season is a rollercoaster where the underdogs will surge one week and then struggle the next. We saw the underdog win five total matchups during Week 1 and then nine during Week 2, and then they fell drastically down to earth during Week 3. If this pattern holds true, expect the underdogs to have a better week and grab a few straight up wins and covers.
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