College Football Handicapping Articles
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks Week 5
by Aaron Smith - 9/29/2015
For the second week in a row, if you faded the Top 25 last week, you did very well. The Top 25 as a whole went 9-13 against the spread. Nos. 1-4 all failed to cover the spread, and that's a trend we've been seeing in recent weeks. It seems that the perception of these top-rated teams is too high, at least for the time being.
NCAA Football Handicapping and Betting: Utah Makes it Look Easy against Oregon
by Trevor Whenham - 9/29/2015
The Utah Utes are the toast of the college football world. That's something you haven't been able to say since the 2008 season when they beat up on Alabama in the Sugar Bowl to finish 13-0. They earned their place in the hearts and minds of college football fans this time around with a shockingly ruthless massacre of the Oregon Ducks. In Eugene, no less. For years now we have thought of Oregon as a behemoth - an offensive superpower that couldn't be tamed. We expected them to beat teams - ones like Utah - by scores of 62-20. We never expected that they would fall from grace so fast and would be losing by such a score. Truly bizarre.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 5 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/28/2015
I'm not saying that the 2015 Heisman Trophy race is over because there are always the possibility of injuries, but it sure feels like it's over. LSU sophomore running back Leonard Fournette is clearly the best player in the country and is now your heavy +150 Bovada favorite to win the Heisman.
NCAA Football Odds: Line Movements & Last-Minute News for Week 4
by Alan Matthews - 9/25/2015
Thank goodness for the Pac-12, or this would be the worst college football weekend of the season. Seriously, have you seen the schedule? Just about every powerhouse is playing a nonconference cupcake before full-on conference play begins: No. 1 Ohio State vs. Western Michigan; No. 2 Michigan State vs. Central Michigan, No. 5 Baylor vs. Rice, No. 6 Notre Dame vs. UMass, No. 7 Georgia vs. Southern, No. 12 Alabama vs. Louisiana-Monroe. And so on.
Free College Football Picks: UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats Odds
by Trevor Whenham - 9/24/2015
I have a good friend who is a lifelong Bruins fan. Poor bastard. After hearing that Myles Jack had been lost for the year this week - the third defensive star to go down for the season - I texted to ask him if losing three starters was a bad thing. I can't print his response. This team just seems cursed. Every time they seem to have turned a corner, they run into another wall. I fully expect Josh Rosen to have an arm fall off this week - it's the next logical step in the torture of UCLA fans.
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks Week 4
by Aaron Smith - 9/22/2015
If you faded the Top 25 in general last week, you did really well. Top 25 teams went 10-14 against the spread last week. No team ranked in the top six of last week's rankings covered the spread. Baylor had the week off, but the other five all lost against the number. Ohio State won by a touchdown as a 35-point favorite. Alabama lost outright to Ole Miss. Michigan State won by only 14 against Air Force. TCU gave up 37 points against SMU and didn't get even close to covering the spread. USC lost outright 41-31 to Stanford on their home field.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 4 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/21/2015
Do we have a quarterback controversy at Ohio State? You almost knew this was going to happen with two such talented guys in Cardale Jones and J.T. Barrett. Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer decided not to commit to either of those guys on Monday. Really, neither has been fantastic yet.
NCAA Football Odds: Line Movements & Last-Minute News for Week 3
by Alan Matthews - 9/18/2015
I live in the South, but I am not an SEC fan. I think SEC coaches and fans are incredibly arrogant -- often with good reason, sadly, because it's the best conference in college football. But sometimes it's overrated. I believe that was the case last season -- just look at the SEC West's bowl results -- and is again in 2015. Last week was not a good one for the SEC.
Free NCAA Football Picks: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
by Trevor Whenham - 9/17/2015
Georgia Tech is averaging 67 points per game! Sure, they haven't really played anyone - Alcorn State and Tulane. Still, 134 points is more than 19 touchdowns. In two games. That is impressive no matter how you slice it. It's no new thing, either - they have scored at least 28 points in their last 10 games, and they put up 49 in their bowl game against Mississippi State last year.
College Football Betting and Handicapping: Ranking the Conferences ATS
by Trevor Whenham - 9/17/2015
There is always a danger in paying too much attention to the performance of conferences as opposed to individual teams. After all, it's the teams that have to play each game, not the conferences as a whole. Still, by evaluating the performance of conferences from a betting perspective we can get a sense of how they are performing - and, most importantly, how that performance matches up to the perception of the betting public.
College Football Handicapping: Michigan Wolverines have Room for Growth
by Trevor Whenham - 9/17/2015
At this point in the college football season people are already locked in on the Top 25 teams and those on the fringes. That only makes sense. It can make it easy for people to overlook teams that are solid if not elite - especially if those teams had a rough opening weekend or two to dim expectations of the squad. Once a team is off the radar, the public often doesn't give them enough credit, and that can lead to pleasant betting opportunities - even on high-profile teams that typically get a lot of public love.
College Football Handicapping: Struggles for the Pac-12
by Trevor Whenham - 9/17/2015
When you are evaluating college football you can't help but compare conferences and their performance. That is especially true at this time of year when conference play, for the most part, hasn't begun yet. In conference play every win by a team means a loss for another team in the conference - it's a zero sum game.
NCAA Football Mid-Major Betting Report: Temple Owls Week 3
by Aaron Smith - 9/16/2015
Time for the Week 3 edition of the college football mid-major betting report. This is the fourth year for this article at Doc's Sports. The goal of this weekly article is to attempt to show that specialization is a profitable betting strategy. For the mid-major betting report, we follow one team throughout the season and make selections on their games on a weekly basis. Temple was picked this year because of the intrigue surrounding the conference as well as their ability to have a breakout season.
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks Week 3
by Aaron Smith - 9/15/2015
The goal of this article is to track how teams in the weekly Top 25 do against the spread. We're here to look a little deeper than most and figure out how the top-ranked teams do at the betting window. In addition, in this weekly article I'll be taking a look at which Top 25 teams I think are best to fade that particular week.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 3 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 9/14/2015
Devastating loss for Notre Dame in Week 2 as quarterback Malik Zaire broke his ankle in Saturday's win at Virginia and will miss the rest of the season. So hopefully you didn't put any money down on his Heisman chances -- or the Irish's national title chances, because I think they just vanished.
NCAA Football Odds: Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews - 9/11/2015
Welcome to my first late-week college football update story. If you read Doc's every Monday, and you certainly should be doing so, then you know I do an Opening Line NCAA Report that day for the coming week. Obviously, the lines are going to change dramatically on a handful of games from Monday to kickoff on Saturday (I will only look at Saturday games here). Sometimes it's because major injuries are revealed or others simply because bettors are hammering one side with heavy action. Here are a few examples.
Betting Odds and Predictions for the College Football Playoff in 2016
by Trevor Whenham - 9/11/2015
If the first year of the College Football Playoff system last year taught us anything, it is that we need to be patient. There is no point in panicking and reading too much into one week or even one month. It is a very long season, and a whole lot will change between now and when the four playoff teams are known to us.
Free College Football Picks: Oregon Ducks at Michigan State Spartans Odds
by Trevor Whenham - 9/10/2015
Things suddenly get very real for these two National Championship contenders - or at least these two teams that think that they are National Championship contenders. They both won their openers - while making their outmatched opponents look a little better than they probably should have. Now they are playing for national respectability.
NCAA Football Mid-Major Betting Report: Temple Owls Week 2
by Aaron Smith - 9/9/2015
The college football mid-major betting report is back for a fourth season here at Doc's Sports. The goal of this weekly article is to attempt to show that specialization is a profitable betting strategy. For the mid-major betting report, we follow one team all year long and make selections on that particular team's games on a weekly basis. Temple was selected this year because of the intrigue surrounding the team and the American Athletic Conference as a whole.
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks Week 2
by Aaron Smith - 9/8/2015
College football is underway! It was a good first week of college football, and I expect the action to just continue to get better on a weekly basis as we get more meaningful games. The Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks report is back for the third edition. Last year was our first year for this report. Thanks to solid interest and some interesting findings, we wanted to keep this one going again this season.
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