College Football Handicapping Articles
Football Betting Advice: How the General Public Bets
by Trevor Whenham - 9/1/2016
As we head into another football season, we are going to be talking about the betting public a whole lot. In the simplest of terms, the "betting public" is made up of the casual bettors who are the exact opposite of sharp bettors. Talk of the betting public is always important, but that is especially so in football season because public interest and betting action are so much higher than all other sports. Because we talk so much about the betting public, and we can learn so much from them, it only makes sense that this is a good time to really look at what the betting public is and why we should care:
College Football Betting: Most Important Wagering Storylines for New Season
by Trevor Whenham - 9/1/2016
Well, we're almost there. The college football season technically started last weekend with Hawaii and Cal in Australia, but it gets going in earnest this weekend. I couldn't be happier or more excited. Part of what makes college football so great is that you enter every season with so much uncertainty and so many questions. The handicappers who can accurately answer more of those questions before the season are the ones more likely to show a profit at the end of the season.
Free College Football Picks: USC vs. Alabama Odds Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/31/2016
Something has to give here. The Tide have won their last 14 opening games since losing to UCLA in 2001, and several have been against high-profile opponents. USC lost to Florida State to open their 1997 season, and they haven't taken a misstep since. That's 18 straight season-opening wins. Two impressive streaks on the line, and only one can continue.
Free College Football Picks: Oklahoma vs. Houston Odds Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/31/2016
There is no pressure here for Houston. The game will decide not only their national title chances but also could kill the best chance for a playoff spot the Group of 5 conferences have had. It also will play into how attractive Houston is to the Big 12 - a blowout loss would damage their case - and could have an impact on whether coach Tom Herman sticks around for the longer term, or jumps to by of the dozens of programs that would welcome with open arms and a massive payday next year. In short, this game means pretty much everything for the Cougars.
Free College Football Picks: Ole Miss vs. Florida State Odds and Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/30/2016
Monday Night Football takes on a very different feel than usual when Ole Miss and Florida State kick off a battle of the titans in Orlando in the absence of the NFL. Both are Top-12 squads heading into the season, and both have their eyes on a playoff bid - more realistically in one case than the other, I would argue. Ole Miss has a much tougher schedule this year than Florida State, so while this game is important for them it is just one of several huge games - the face Alabama and Georgia in Weeks 3 and 4, respectively, play at Arkansas and LSU in consecutive weeks, and so on.
NCAA Football Predictions: Week 1 Opening Line Report and Picks
by Alan Matthews - 8/26/2016
Thank you College Football Playoff and ESPN! It used to be that Week 1 of the college football season was cupcake city. But now? Teams know they have to schedule at least one marquee nonconference opponent, and ESPN has ponied up big dollars for power programs to face off Week 1 at neutral sites such as Arlington, Texas, Atlanta, Houston and now Orlando. Thus, this year's opening weekend is the best I can remember in terms of quality matchups.
NCAA Football Betting: Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks - Week 1
by Aaron Smith - 8/26/2016
We're bringing back the Fading the Top 25 Weekly Free Picks article for the third straight season. It's been an interesting article with some findings that we believe can help bettors throughout the course of the college football season.
College Football Wagering Advice: 2016 Outlook for Top ATS Teams from Last Season
by Trevor Whenham - 8/26/2016
This is a good time, right on the eve of the college football season, to look back on last season to see what can be learned that can lead to profits this season. One good activity in that regard is to look back at the best teams against the spread last year. Can they be relied upon to be strong for bettors again this year? Or were the conditions that made them successful circumstantial and unlikely to repeat? Here's a look at the Top 6 ATS teams in college football last season (top five and a tie):
College Football Betting Advice: How to Handicap the Worst ATS Teams Last Season
by Trevor Whenham - 8/26/2016
Here's the thing - sometimes college football teams that are terrible at covering spreads are more attractive than teams that are pretty good at covering them. A bad team is more likely to be consistently bad, and bettors can take advantage just by consistently betting against them. It takes a long time for a bad team to quit being bad, too, so it only makes sense that we should look at the college football teams that were the worst at covering spreads last year, because there is a good chance that several of them will struggle to cover spreads this year, too.
College Football Handicapping: Early-Season Nonconference Major Mismatches
by Trevor Whenham - 8/26/2016
September is the time in college football for ridiculous matchups. Each year we see countless games between truly elite teams and either mid-level FCS teams or barely competent teams from smaller conferences in FBS. These games are usually played at the home field of the better team, and in almost every case the game is essentially over before it starts. The good teams only play the games because they have to play 12 games, but they don't want every one of them to be tough. The bad teams only play for the paycheck - they typically get paid more for these games than they can make hosting a home game of their own.
NCAA Football Mid-Major Free Betting Picks: Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Season Predictions
by Aaron Smith - 8/24/2016
The mid-major report returns for a sixth straight season here at Doc's Sports. The goal of this article is to show that specialization is a profitable betting strategy. For the mid-major betting report, we select one team to follow closely all year long. This year it will be the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders. I'll be closely monitoring everything about this team. I will put together a weekly article with a selection on that game at the end of each article.
College Football Handicapping: How to Bet Teams that Lost Long-Term Quarterback
by Trevor Whenham - 8/23/2016
Every year we see college football teams that have to deal with the absence of a quarterback who has been a mainstay for a long time. Oftentimes those departed quarterbacks are stars who have shaped the recent years of the programs and will inevitably be missed - Jared Goff at Cal, Paxton Lynch at Memphis, Dak Prescott at Mississippi State, Connor Cook at Michigan State, Kevin Hogan at Stanford, and so on.
College Football Betting and Wagering Advice: Potential Surprise Teams
by Trevor Whenham - 8/19/2016
There are teams in college football that are very easy to predict. Alabama and Florida State are going to be very good, for example, and Illinois and Virginia really, really aren't. You don't need to go out on a limb to make those predictions, and the betting public will be all over those. It's not likely that there will be much betting value with those squads.
College Football Handicapping Advice: Early-Season Neutral-Site Games
by Trevor Whenham - 8/19/2016
Neutral-site games are, for better or worse, becoming a bigger and bigger part of the first weeks of the college football season. The first week of this year's schedule alone has nine different neutral-site games, and several are gimmicky almost to the point of being ridiculous. The reason for the increase in neutral-site games is obvious - they make money, and college programs and leagues love money more than anything.
College Football Handicapping and Wagering Advice: Under-the-Radar Quarterbacks
by Trevor Whenham - 8/18/2016
It promises to be a special year for quarterback play in college football. Deshaun Watson of Clemson is the current Heisman favorite in futures betting at BetOnline. Baker Mayfield, J.T Barrett, Chad Kelly and Josh Rosen are all in the top eight in those futures, too, and guys like Greg Ward Jr., Brad Kaaya, Joshua Dobbs, Seth Russell and others are getting plenty of hype as well.
2016 San Diego State Aztecs Football Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/18/2016
Last year the Aztecs found themselves sitting at 1-3 after a sloppy three-game losing streak that included an upset home defeat as a 17-point favorite. But Rocky Long's team wouldn't lose another game, reeling off 10 straight wins, including victories in the Mountain West title game and a 42-7 thrashing of Cincinnati in the Hawaii Bowl.
2016 Boise State Broncos Football Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/18/2016
The shiny veneer of Boise State's sophomore season in the Mountain West glossed over what was, in actuality, a disappointing season for the Broncos. Boise State brought back 17 starters from the 2014 squad that went 12-2. But the Broncos managed just one impressive win, an emotional season opener against Washington, while taking some ugly losses, including a shocking home loss to New Mexico as a 31-point favorite.
2016 Air Force Falcons Football Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/18/2016
Troy Calhoun has quietly been doing tremendous work with this Air Force program. Military academies have a lot of built-in disadvantages - not the least of which is the fact that Air Force's enrollment is 4,000 compared to say, Ohio State's, which is 57,000. But Calhoun has kept the Falcons competitive during his nine-year tenure, earning a 67-50 record while posting just one losing season.
2016 Colorado State Rams Football Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/18/2016
Colorado State has only 10 starters back this year, it's fewest since the 3-9 team in 2010. But at least Bobo has his quarterback set. Nick Stevens made second team all-league last year and showed a solid command of the offense. However, Stevens lost his top four receivers, including stud Rashard Higgins, and some new options will have to emerge.
2016 UNLV Rebels Football Predictions and Season Win Total Picks
by Robert Ferringo - 8/18/2016
Tony Sanchez likely won't be able to turn around this perpetual Titanic of a football program. But he sure is trying to by force of sheer will. Sanchez, a renowned local high school coach, led a roster purge last year and quickly turned the Rebels into a feisty Mountain West competitor. After being outscored by 18 points per game in 2014, UNLV was outmatched by only five points per game last fall.
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