College Football Handicapping Articles
Houston Cougars Odds to win the American Athletic Conference with Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/10/2017
It's amazing how one thing can change a program so dramatically. After a 13-1 season in 2015, Houston opened last year by beating Oklahoma and then rolling through four other mismatched opponents. It seemed like the world was their oyster. At the same time the Big 12 was seriously pondering expansion, and it seemed all but certain that the Cougars would be making the move. Ultimately, though, the teams in that conference were concerned more about how including Houston would make it harder for them to recruit than they were about making the Big 12 as good as they possibly could, so they rejected Houston and the option of expansion for now.
Nebraska Cornhuskers Odds to win the Big Ten with Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/9/2017
Mike Riley was a bit of a surprising hire at Nebraska, but after a dismal 6-7 first year his 9-4 season last year, including a 6-3 Big Ten mark, was very solid. This year, though, will likely not be nearly as strong. Backers and fans of the team will have to remind themselves consistently that this is a rebuilding year and that Riley is looking to establish a strong foundation for the future. There will be suffering involved with watching this team at times this year. The question, though, is how far they will fall and how competitive they can still be despite the retooling on the fly that they are forced into.
Florida Atlantic Owls Odds to win Conference USA with Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/9/2017
Lane Kiffin is like a cockroach. So many times he has taken a step that you were sure would be the last of his professional career, yet every time he pops up and funds new life somewhere. It hasn't always been a smooth path, though, and you certainly can't argue that the career of a guy that has coached USC and the Raiders is on an upward trajectory still now that he is at Florida Atlantic. You can be relatively sure of two things that now that Kiffin is in charge - Florida Atlantic football will be a lot less boring than it has been, and sooner or later things aren't likely to end well with Kiffin. They never do.
Appalachian State Mountaineers Odds to win the Sun Belt with Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/9/2017
The Appalachian State Mountaineers won three straight FCS national titles starting in 2005, but that's not what everyone knows them best for. After winning their second title, they opened their 2007 season as very heavy underdogs in Ann Arbor against fifth-ranked Michigan. As a very big Michigan fan, the game worried me so little that I went golfing instead of watching.
College Football Betting Advice: Teams that Could Exceed Expectations
by Trevor Whenham - 8/7/2017
Preseason rankings in college football are notoriously difficult to make and almost never hold completely true. There are just too many unknowns. What is interesting to bettors is not the things that the rankings likely have right - like Alabama at the top, for example - but what they are not right about. Teams that should outperform their rankings, those that aren't ranked but should be, and those that are too highly regarded - all of those provide real opportunities to profit for bettors.
Expert College Football Handicapping: Toughest Teams to Judge
by Trevor Whenham - 8/7/2017
There are some college football teams that are very easy to judge. Alabama and Ohio State, for example, are both going to be very good and will only be challenged a small handful of times. And there are teams that clearly seem to be getting more hype than they probably should be at this time because of who they are (I'm looking at you, USC). What is tougher for handicappers, though, and what we want to deal with here, are the teams that are the hardest to judge.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Odds to win Conference USA with Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/7/2017
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are very heavy favorites to win Conference USA. That's a remarkable feat for a team that has a new coach and staff. Jeff Brohm parlayed his success at Western Kentucky into the head job at Purdue - though a big part of me wonders if being at a hopeless Big Ten program is really an upgrade. Mike Sanford Jr., who was previously the offensive coordinator at Notre Dame and then Boise State, where he also played QB back in his day, is the new man in charge. If a 35-year-old first-time head coach is this heavily favored then the team must really be one to contend with.
Boise State Broncos Odds to win the Mountain West Conference with Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/7/2017
The Broncos have been so good for so long that we just expect it from them. They are not always great but are so wildly consistent. They have won 12 conference championships since 1999, they have won at least eight games every year since then, they won two BCS bowl games, and have finished ranked in the Top 18 of the final polls 10 times since 2002. They just keep on keeping on, never seeming to have to reload no matter which players graduate and which coaches leave. It's remarkable. And while they aren't heading into this season with the best team we have ever seen from them, they are still positioned to add yet another conference title. The train keeps rolling.
Toledo Rockets Odds to win the MAC with Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/7/2017
The Toledo Rockets have been known for a few things over the years, but perhaps most relevant to us now they are the team that gave Nick Saban his first head coaching job. In 1990 he took over a team that had gone 6-5 each of the two previous years and went 9-2, with the losses coming by a combined five points. He obviously wasn't convinced that college football was for him yet, though, because he left after that one successful season to serve as Bill Belichick's defensive coordinator in Cleveland for three years. He was replaced by Gary Pinkel who later went to Missouri, and Tim Beckman and Matt Campbell have also gone from Toledo to bigger jobs.
Free College Football Picks: Yes or No Playoff Props Odds and Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 8/4/2017
I was a massive skeptic of the College Football Playoff when it was announced. It still has some real issues - having games on New Year's Eve is insane, and it still doesn't solve the fact that boiling 100+ teams down to four after a dozen games, and then deciding who they play in the semifinals, is every bit as subjective as the last solution for finding a national title was. On the plus side, though, it has made for some solid drama - not that Clemson and Ohio State game last year, but several games other than that.
College Football Betting Advice: High-Profile Teams that Could Disappoint
by Trevor Whenham - 8/2/2017
It is inevitable that teams that people have high hopes for now will be massive disappointments by December. It happens every year. All you need to do to see how common it is would be to look back at last year's preseason AP Top 25. Notre Dame was ranked 10th and went a dismal 4-8. Ole Miss was one spot back in the rankings and wound up with only one more win - and now has a coaching scandal to deal with.
Expert College Football Handicapping: Biggest Storylines from Fall Camps
by Trevor Whenham - 8/2/2017
Surely I'm not the only one that is confused by the naming involved when college football's fall camps start in late July. Regardless of what you want to call them, though, their arrival signals the start of the college football season (finally!), and that means that real game action will be here in no time flat. In other words, this is a great time no matter how little sense the name makes.
How to Pick an Honest and Hardworking Football Handicapping Service
by Tony George - 7/30/2017
This is the time of year that you start seeing the ads for sports handicapping services telling you how great they are. They always have outlandish win percentages and they are sure to tell you how they are the world champion handicapping service that beats the books every day. One example of this is a guy (I won't name names) that is a boiler room sports pick seller out of Las Vegas who landed a show on CNBC a few years ago and claims he is the greatest handicapper in the world, feared by books so much he was kicked out of them.
Big 12 Football Predictions and Expert Handicapper Power Ratings
by Tony George - 7/25/2017
As I have stated each year, in handicapping specialization is the KEY to success, as it is in all walks of life, and handicapping college football is no different. I key on four conferences for about 65 percent of my weekly selections, which gets me in close information loops on a finite number of teams and games instead of looking at 60-70 games and deciphering all the different lines and angles for all those games.
Ole Miss Football Next Head Coach Betting Odds with Expert Predictions
by Raphael Esparza - 7/24/2017
Last week in SEC Country the football conference was in shock and awe with the news coming out of Oxford, Mississippi, that Hugh Freeze resigned. Ole Miss was already in the doghouse and had self-imposed a postseason ban for the 2017 college football season, but last week with Freeze's resignation this was probably the biggest loss for Ole Miss football program.
College Football Betting Lines: Early Spread Analysis and Predictions
by Robert Ferringo - 6/20/2017
I know that June is a little too early to start thinking about college football picks against the spread. But college football championship odds were out within 24 hours of Clemson claiming the national title last January. And several sportsbooks currently have Week 1 college football betting lines posted.
College Football Win Totals for the Season: Sucker Bet Predictions
by Trevor Whehman - 5/26/2017
I love looking at the list of totals when they are posted. Every year there are a few in which books are clearly just begging the betting public to take a side. They throw these numbers out there knowing that one side will be irresistible for those casual bettors, and the books are totally okay with that. They aren't afraid of the action. Not surprisingly, these are all public teams, and in each case the total seems aggressive:
2017 College Football Season Win Totals Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 5/25/2017
You know that college football season is getting closer - not close, but closer - when the season win totals are released. And, thankfully, that is where we are right now. The first season win totals have been released, and some teams jump off the page for offering more value than others. It's an interesting list this year, with just two teams - Alabama and Ohio State - with double-digit win totals and a whole lot of parity expected in several conferences.
2017 College Football Season Win Totals Predictions: Hardest Teams to Handicap
by Trevor Whenham - 5/25/2017
College football season win totals are starting to pop up, with CG Technology again being the first to post numbers to be used in sportsbooks. They haven't posted for every team yet, but for the most part the most interesting teams have numbers. Whenever you look at a list like this for the first time, things split into a few groups. They are the ones that seem easy - the ones packed with value. There are the ones that just hold no interest - you don't know or don't care. And then there are the ones that are very interesting but for which the right side isn't immediately obvious.
2018 College Football National Championship Odds and Expert Predictions
by Trevor Whenham - 1/9/2017
This year's national title game between Alabama and Clemson doesn't even kick off for a few hours yet as I write this, yet already the folks at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook have odds posted for next year's National Championship. It would be a crazy idea to bet any real money at this point - coaching changes, recruiting classes, and early departures are all still in flux - but we obviously can't ignore the opportunity to take a peek at the numbers as they are available anyway. Here are some of the highlights.
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