College Football Handicapping Articles
College Football Handicapping: the Success at Texas Tech
by Trevor Whenham - 9/17/2013
One of the most impressive stories of the college football season so far has been the Red Raiders of Texas Tech. After an ugly end to the Mike Leach era and the predictably-underwhelming Tommy Tuberville tenure, the team needed to hit a home run with their next head coaching hire. By bringing in Kliff Kingsbury, perhaps the biggest star in the history of the program and the offensive coordinator who guided Johnny Manziel to his Heisman trophy last year, they may have done just that.
NCAA Football Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/16/2013
Look at some of the lopsided games on this week's college football schedule: Florida A&M at No. 4 Ohio State, Florida International at No. 7 Louisville, North Texas at No. 9 Georgia, Idaho State at No. 17 Washington, Maine at No. 18 Northwestern, Bethune-Cookman at No. 8 Florida State, Savannah State at No. 16 Miami, Texas State at No. 25 Texas Tech, New Mexico State at No. 13 UCLA.
Weekly CFB Mid-Major Betting Report: UNLV Rebels Week 3
by Aaron Smith - 9/12/2013
It’s time for the third installment of the mid-major betting report. For this year’s mid-major betting report I am following the UNLV Rebels. The Rebels have had an ugly start to the 2013 season. After three straight two-win seasons, this year’s UNLV team was expected to do more, but so far it’s been more of the same. I’ll be keeping a close eye on Twitter feeds, beat writers, press conferences from the program. By becoming an expert on the UNLV Rebels, I hope to show how specialization is one of the most profitable sports betting strategies.
College Football Handicapping: Teams with Inflated Hype
by Trevor Whenham - 9/11/2013
More than any other sport, hype runs wild in football. It’s because we have so much time to fill between games — time to think about what we saw and magnify the significance of it. Hype can particularly run wild in college football because, with so many teams, it is impossible to know each team well, and we have to rely on the opinions of others.
College Football Handicapping: Quietly Dangerous Teams
by Trevor Whenham - 9/11/2013
As the college football season gets rolling, one of my favorite things to do — and most profitable activities — is to keep an eye out for teams that are better than the public thinks they are. With so many teams out there, it is easy for one to fall through the cracks. It could be that the team doesn’t play in a major conference or that it does but it plays deep in the shadows of the major programs that dominate the action.
College Football Handicapping: USC Up to Old Tricks
by Trevor Whenham - 9/10/2013
Last year the USC Trojans were ranked first in the polls heading into the season. They lost the third game of the season at Stanford, feasted on cupcakes until they were 6-1, then they lost five of their last six games to limp to a pathetic 7-6 record. Things were so bad that defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin didn’t want to work with his son anymore. Yet somehow, Lane Kiffin managed to keep his job through the whole debacle.
College Football Handicapping: Can Texas Bounce Back from Humiliating Loss?
by Trevor Whenham - 9/10/2013
I’m a diehard Michigan fan. The news that Texas head coach Mack Brown had made the decision to replace defensive coordinator Manny Diaz with Greg Robinson, then, was pretty much the funniest thing I have ever heard. Sure, Texas has horrible defensive woes — they allowed 550 rushing yards against a BYU team that isn’t exactly an elite rushing force.
American Athletic Conference Weekly Betting Report (Plus Free Pick)
by Dave Schwab - 9/9/2013
I was always fond of the Big East, but I am starting to love the new AAC after a 2-0 start has this season’s bankroll at +$700. After riding Cincinnati in Week 1, I cashed in on a three-unit play on Houston’s 22-13 victory over Temple as a three-point road favorite this past Saturday. This new conference, which is a combination of what was left of the Big East and a number of teams from Conference USA, should continue to offer some solid opportunities all season long to make some cash with the use of Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System.
NCAA Football Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/9/2013
If you are going to bet on NCAA title futures now, drop the money on Louisville. The Cardinals at +2000 on Sportsbook.ag after Week 2. Do I think Louisville is the overall best team in the country? I do not. But its schedule the rest of the way is a joke, meaning the Cards should run the table and get a spot in the final BCS title game before heading to the ACC.
Weekly CFB Mid-Major Betting Report: UNLV Rebels Week 2
by Aaron Smith - 9/5/2013
It’s time for the second installment of the mid-major betting report. For this year’s mid-major betting report, I am following the UNLV Rebels. The Rebels extended their road losing streak to 23 games with a 51-23 loss at Minnesota in Week 1. That certainly wasn’t the way Bobby Hauck wanted this season to get going. Most people won’t be paying much attention to the Rebels this year, but I’ll be following them every step of the way.
NCAA Football Betting and Handicapping: Scouting the Week Ahead
by Alan Matthews - 9/2/2013
The problem with when FBS teams play FCS counterparts is that often the lines on those games won't be posted until very late in the week because they are such big mismatches. There was one game on the college football board I loved more than all others last week, but I didn't mention it in this space (but I darn sure bet on it): North Dakota State at Kansas State.
American Athletic Conference Weekly Betting Report (Plus Free Pick)
by Dave Schwab - 9/2/2013
The AAC kicked things off with a bang last week, especially the Cincinnati Bearcats, who were my four-unit pick of the week. They rolled over the Big Ten Purdue Boilermakers 42-7 as 10.5-point home favorites with the total staying “under” the 49.5-point line.This new conference, which is a combination of what was left of the Big East and a number of teams from Conference USA, should continue to offer some solid opportunities all season long to make some cash with the use of Doc’s Sports Unit Betting System.
College Football Handicapping: Teams that Fell Short of Expectations Week 1
by Trevor Whenham - 9/2/2013
Analyzing teams heading into the college football season is tough. There is no preseason, and training camps are typically not very publicly accessible. We are therefore forced to form our opinions of teams based on some media access, extrapolation from the previous season and how the roster has changed, and a good deal of speculation. Oftentimes we are reasonably close, and after we have seen the team play a game or two we just have to slightly tweak what we thought to match reality.
College Football Opinion: Manziel Got Off Easy
by Robert Ferringo - 8/30/2013
Unless you have been living in a cave, you know about the drama surrounding Manziel. He signed thousands of autographs, “allegedly” for money, in clear violation of NCAA rules. His potential suspension has cast a pall over Texas A&M’s season prospects, and the reigning Heisman’s status has been a major issue in the sport since the story broke several weeks ago.
Weekly CFB Mid-Major Betting Report: UNLV Rebels Week 1
by Aaron Smith - 8/28/2013
Welcome to the first installment of this year’s college football mid-major betting report. In the first two years, the mid-major betting report selections have gone 13-7-1 and $100 per-unit bettors are up $1,410. Two years ago I followed the Rice Owls. Last year I followed the Ohio Bobcats. This season it will be all about the UNLV Rebels. All season long I’ll be following UNLV beat writers, Twitter feeds, and press conferences from the UNLV athletic department.
American Athletic Conference Weekly Betting Report (Plus Free Pick)
by Dave Schwab - 8/27/2013
The remnants of a Big East Conference that was decimated through a number of defections decided to join forces with a group of teams from Conference-USA to form the American Athletic Conference, or AAC. This new conference could be thought of as a hybrid of a major and mid-major when it comes to the level of play, but there are bound to be some excellent betting opportunities on a few of each week’s games all season long.
College Football Handicapping: Teams that Could Self Destruct
by Trevor Whenham - 8/26/2013
Last year the USC Trojans really defined self-destruction for a program. They started the season ranked No. 1 in the preseason AP Poll. By the end of the year they were just 7-5 and had limped to a lousy 5-4 mark in the Pac-12. It was humiliating in so many ways. Matt Barkley had gone from media darling to draft afterthought after a very ugly season, and the struggles were not his alone.
College Football Betting: Handicapping Second-Year QBs
by Trevor Whenham - 8/26/2013
As we sit here on the eve of another college football season, I am incredibly excited about the crop of quarterbacks. I have been watching college football obsessively for far more years than I would admit, and I rarely remember a stronger, deeper group of pivots. One of the most exciting aspects of the group is the incredible group of starters entering their second year in charge of their team. Entering the second year is when a lot of quarterbacks take a big step forward.
College Football Handicapping: Teams that Could Improve ATS
by Trevor Whenham - 8/26/2013
Some teams are just consistently bad. They have no talent and no real hope. There are other teams, though, that really struggle for bettors one year, but which can bounce back and perform much better against the spread the next year. Here are five teams in college football that could be dramatically better against the spread than they were last year:
College Football Betting: Teams that Could Struggle ATS
by Trevor Whenham - 8/26/2013
It’s very tough for a team to be successful against the spread for more than a year or two in a row in college football. The more success a team has for bettors, the more bettors pay attention to it, and the harder it is to find value in the lines. There is not always a correlation between success on the field and success at the betting window, so a team can continue to show strong improvement while becoming much worse from a betting perspective.
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