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Underdog Best Bets for Super Bowl Futures Odds

by Spencer Toth - 1/8/2025

Underdog bets for Super Bowl futures Bo Nix Denver Broncos

A total of 14 teams have qualified for the NFL playoffs, but the Super Bowl odds are wildly different for the contenders compared to the pretenders. In the first part of breaking down the Super Bowl contenders, we looked at the five favorites and their respective chances of making a deep playoff run. The remaining nine teams have been given long odds at lifting the coveted Lombardi Trophy, and we will be breaking down which underdog is worth a few dollars of your hard-earned cash. While winning a Super Bowl future at any price can be incredibly profitable, correctly picking which underdog will make a shock run to the big game can bring in massive returns. 

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Minnesota Vikings: +1600

The Minnesota Vikings were one win away from being the top seed in the NFC but have slid down to the 5th seed thanks to their Week 18 loss to the Detroit Lions. While the Vikings are unlikely to return home in the postseason, they still have the potential to pull off a few upsets en route to the Super Bowl. The Vikings defense is truly elite. And were it not for Sam Darnold’s worst game of the year in Week 18, Minnesota could’ve locked up the top seed. The Vikings 332 points allowed were the second-fewest in the NFC, and a price like this is a gross overreaction to their season finale stinker. 

Minnesota has been able to defy expectations all season long and has exactly the type of roster that has previously done well in the NFL playoffs. A strong defense, elite coaching, and Justin Jefferson making big plays down the field is a recipe for success. It is borderline disrespectful to call the 14-3 Vikings a sleeper. However, with these odds, they are one of the best Super Bowl picks to make this year. 

Value Rating: 5/5

Green Bay Packers: +2000

The Green Bay Packers slid down to the 7th seed with their Week 18 loss and also lost Christian Watson in that game. Jordan Love’s health is also in question, and it’s hard to justify the Packers having shorter odds than some of the other teams on this list. There is no denying the Packers have talented players on both sides of the ball, but their recent injury bug will squish any chances they had at making a deep playoff run. Once you factor in that the Packers playoff path will be three road games against the Eagles, Lions, and another NFC contender, followed by the AFC champion, there is no reason to even consider touching this +2000 price. 

Value Rating: 0/5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +2500

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers snuck into the playoffs with a 10-7 record but are in the third seed thanks to their weak division. Baker Mayfield has been consistent in the postseason and has been able to use his towering offensive line to find his targets down the field. Tampa Bay may not be as formidable as the Tom Brady era, but there are still positives about this team that could lead to a deep playoff run. They have the benefit of home-field in the Wild Card round and will enter a potential divisional matchup against the Eagles with a major psychological advantage after their 32-9 drubbing last year in the playoffs. Their run game has been excellent with Bucky Irving, and this is a pretty fair price for a team like Tampa Bay. However, the inconsistency from the Buccaneers this season has me leaning in other directions. 

Value Rating: 1/5 

Los Angeles Chargers: +2600

The Chargers have finally been able to turn Justin Herbert’s elite play into tangible success. The Chargers went from 5-12 to 11-6 in just one season thanks to strong defense and the ability to pick up some clutch wins in close games. Head coach Jim Harbaugh has made an instant impact, and the Chargers have the potential to upset the AFC’s top dogs this year. They have an easy first game against the reeling Houston Texans, and this price will get slashed in half when they pick up a dominant victory. Herbert is one of the truly elite quarterbacks in the NFL, and that alone can be enough to pull off an upset or two in the playoffs. The +2600 price has plenty of upside, and this is certainly worth a few bucks. 

Value Rating: 4/5 

Los Angeles Rams: +3300

The Rams still have several players on their roster from their 2022 Super Bowl, including Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp. The combination of veteran experience and talented youngsters makes the Rams a very dangerous team this season. They shook off a 1-4 start to go 9-3 down the stretch. They are one of the hottest teams in football, and their Super Bowl odds offer a huge payout. Unfortunately for the Rams, they will fall short. A wild card game against the 14-3 Vikings is a cruel reward for winning their division, and I just can’t see them carving apart a motivated Minnesota defense. If they can get past the Vikings in the first round, they could make a deep playoff run, which makes them a moderate investment heading into that game. 

Value Rating: 3/5

 

Washington Commanders: +4000

The Commanders came into this year with +17500 odds to win the Super Bowl after losing 9 straight games to wrap up the 2023 season. In steps Jayden Daniels and Dan Quinn. Jayden Daniels has run away in the rookie of the year race and deserves all the credit in the world for his strong play. He has led Washington to 5 game-winning touchdown drives in the final minute this season. His flashy play has rightfully put him in the spotlight, but plenty of credit has to go to head coach Dan Quinn. Quinn will always be remembered for blowing a 28-3 lead in the Super Bowl, but the defensive-minded head coach has dramatically turned around the Washington defense. The Commanders went from a bottom-three defense in all the major categories to a top-half unit. Linebackers Frankie Luvu and Bobby Wagner have been phenomenal patrolling the middle of the field, and Washington is truly a force to be reckoned with on both sides of the ball. I expect them to cruise past the Buccaneers in the opening round, and this +4000 price tag will age nicely as the playoffs roll on. 

Value Rating: 5/5 

Denver Broncos: +7000

The Broncos snuck into the playoffs on the final day of the season thanks to the Kansas City Chiefs resting their entire lineup. They played great football in the first half of the year to put themselves in that position but have an uphill battle from the 7th seed in the AFC. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has been excellent, and a strong Denver defense is a nightmare matchup for many of the AFC’s elite quarterbacks. The Broncos have massive odds to win the Super Bowl, as they will have to go through the Bills, Chiefs, and likely the Ravens or Chargers to reach the Super Bowl. They have quite the gauntlet awaiting them, but at +7000 odds they could be worth a dollar or two for a massive potential return. 

Value Rating: 3/5 

Pittsburgh Steelers: +8000

Have we seen this one before? The Steelers made the playoffs for the fourth time in the last five years but haven’t had a playoff win since the 2016-17 season. Mike Tomlin ground out several grueling victories thanks to a strong defense, but that is a recipe that doesn’t work in the postseason. Taking the Steelers to defy the odds in the regular season is justified, but there will be no heroics from Pittsburgh in the playoffs. Their last three playoff losses have been by double digits, and a first-round blowout at the hands of the Ravens will extend that unwanted streak. 

Value Rating: 0/5

 

Houston Texans: +9000

It’s easy to feel sorry for the position the Texans find themselves in. Fresh off a promising year from rookie CJ Stroud, the Texans made crafty offseason moves to shore up their receiving room. However, injuries to Tank Dell and new arrival Stefon Diggs have shattered their postseason aspirations. While the Texans are certainly not Super Bowl favorites, they also don’t deserve to be dead last in Super Bowl odds. CJ Stroud is an elite quarterback capable of making game-changing plays, and you shouldn’t need much more convincing to sprinkle on a +9000 prop. 

Value Rating: 2/5 

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