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2025 Saquon Barkley Super Bowl Props: Odds and Expert Betting Picks

by Mike Allen - 2/3/2025

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl props

It’s officially Super Bowl LIX week, and it's time to start getting your bets in for the big game. Depending on whether you’re attacking overs or unders, it might benefit you to wait on the latter. This is because the public loves betting overs, especially on player props.

This isn’t always true, though. For example, the early sharp money has pushed Saquon Barkley’s rushing yard total down a few points from (-118.5). More on that in a moment.

The Brooklyn-born Barkley had the best year of his career and one of the most impressive of any running back in history, eclipsing 2,000 yards in the regular season.

He’s stepped it up even more in the playoffs, racking up 442 over three games, including scorching the Rams for more than 200. He would probably have 500 for the postseason if they needed him in the 2nd half against the rival Commanders.

One glaring difference between the Chiefs and the Eagles is that Andy Reid and KC can be tricky on offense, and the Eagles make nearly zero attempts to trick anyone. This is especially true in the running game, as they really only have three plays for the halfbacks. Behind one of the best offensive lines of all time, they run an inside zone, an outside zone, and then sometimes you'll see two linemen getting on their horse and pulling.

This difference will also be good to remember when picking some other props. We have several prop bets to go over today, all for Barkley.

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Saquon Barkley Over 112.5 Yards: -107

Yes, Barkley ran for nearly 2,500 yards in the regular and postseason combined. However, he didn’t play in one game. And early in the season, he wasn’t getting as many carries as he did down the stretch and into the playoffs.

Barkley averaged 18 carries/game through his first six contests. And over his next 13 starts, he ran the ball 23.3 per game. If you remember how the season started for Philly compared to how it's going now, they know what they must do to win.

Kansas City has a strong rushing defense, and one would imagine their game plan will be not to let Barkley be the one to beat them. Isn't that every team's strategy, though?

Pick: Barkley Over 112.5 Yards (-107)

Saquon Barkley Over 21.5 Rushing Attempts: -122

Almost everyone expects a close game, with the point spread at just (1.5) for the Chiefs. So, we aren't likely to see another 32-point victory as we did in the NFC Championship Game. Also, the Chiefs aren't blowing teams out. They're mostly winning close game after close game.

Against the best defense in the league, I don't see KC keeping a two-score lead for an extended period.

We have to pay a little more juice with this prop, but I don't mind it. I was even tempted to chase some plus money here, but (-122) is still affordable.

Pick: Barkley Over 21.5 Rushing Attempts (-122)

Saquon Barkey Anytime Touchdown Scorer: -190

In 19 total games this year, Barkley went 9 without scoring a touchdown. I do believe he will find his way across the goal line. However, for (-190), the sportsbooks can go kick rocks. We have to pass on this one.

Pick: Pass

Saquon Barkley Anytime Touchdown Scorer and Eagles Win: +155

Parlaying the superstar with a Super Bowl win for his team for this kind of payout is more like it! We can not double but triple our payout. I do like the Eagles to get the win on Sunday. They're the better team overall. For this bet's sake, let's hope they control their nerves as well as their opponents almost certainly will.

Pick: Barkley Anytime Touchdown Scorer and Eagles Win (+155)

Saquon Barkley to Have 10+ Rush Yards in Every Quarter: -145

This one seems too good to be true. Barkley averaged nearly 6 yards/carry in the regular season and almost a full yard more at 6.7/rush in the postseason. Yes, the Chiefs have a strong run defense, but I'll pay the moderate price of (-145) for this prop.

Pick: Barkley to Have 10+ Rush Yards in Every Quarter (-145)

Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts to Combine for 2 Touchdowns: -140

Similarly priced, we can get Jalen Hurts and Barkley to each find the end zone. They each have 18 total rushing touchdowns for the year, including the postseason. I like Hurts more than Barkley to score a rushing touchdown because of the tush push, of course.

However, this isn't my favorite bet, and we have almost the same odds on the previous pick. Instead of chasing this one, bet a little more on Barkley to rush for 10 yards in each quarter.

Pick: Pass

Saquon Barkley Super Bowl MVP: +260

Barkley for MVP is a great bet. Some of the value has been sucked out of it. We were up at 3-1 when it opened. However, the value is still there, in my opinion.

He certainly has more betting value than Patrick Mahomes, who’s sitting around even money at (+110). I know a lot of people, myself included, were all over Josh Allen to win the MVP for the season, but Barkley is right up there. He has obviously benefitted from having an incredible offensive line, but I don’t think any of those guys will be chosen for the Super Bowl MVP.

I would bet Barkley in this spot all the way down to about (-220).

Pick: Barkley Super Bowl MVP (+260)

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