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NFL Playoffs Passing Leaders Props: Betting Odds and Predictions

by Mike Allen - 1/15/2025

NFL Playoffs passing leader props predictions Josh Allen Buffalo Bills

The NFL Playoffs are finally in full swing. Many fans and pundits consider this weekend, the Divisional Round, the best football weekend of the year. The way the matchups are set now will likely bring some great football. However, it's hard not to look ahead to the potential Conference Championship matchups like the Lions vs Eagles or the Bills or Ravens vs the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs.

Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley combined for nearly 4,000 yards on the ground throughout the regular season. While some call this the return of the running backs, it's still a quarterback's league.

We have some really fun betting odds for you today regarding your favorite quarterback’s passing yards throughout the playoffs. Remember that these odds don't include the Super Bowl. And if some of the numbers seem off to you, remember that a few of these QBs have already played a playoff game. Those numbers are included.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

NFL Playoff Passing Leader Betting Odds

Jared Goff

400+ Passing Yards: -250

500+ Passing Yards: -165

600+ Passing Yards: +120

700+ Passing Yards: +225

800+ Passing Yards: +475

900+ Passing Yards: +900

1000+ Passing Yards: +1500

Oh, Jared Goff. It felt good to fade you back in the day when you were the Rams starting Super Bowl quarterback. However, times have changed quite a bit. Goff has literally had perfect games this year, where he’s been the most efficient guy at his position in the NFL.

That’s not what this is about, though. We’re only counting passing yards. With the return of bruising back, David Montgomery, expect offensive coordinator Ben Johnson to run the ball with regularity.

Goff averaged around 272 yards per game passing during the regular season, and we are starting from zero this week. They play the Commanders this week. And the weakness of the Washington defense is against the run. I would give Jared only about 230 through the air this week, and I don’t have him throwing for more than 350 against the Eagles, should they play Philly in the NFC title game.

Keep in mind we aren’t betting on a range here. It’s simply 500 or more yards. The way Dan Campbell coaches, I could see him pushing the pace pretty hard. So, 500 or more is worth the juice.

Prediction: 500+ Passing Yards (-165)

Patrick Mahomes

400+ Passing Yards: -310

500+ Passing Yards: -175

600+ Passing Yards: +110

700+ Passing Yards: +250

800+ Passing Yards: +450

900+ Passing Yards: +800

1000+ Passing Yards: +1400

Patrick Mahomes threw for around 250 yards per game this season. We’ll have to pay a bit more juice for the 500 or more passing yards. Let’s first look at a possible 600 or more for “The Cheat Code.”

It isn’t looking good right now to get to that number for Mahomes after what we saw from the Houston Texans pass defense in the Wild Card Round. LA Chargers QB Justin Herbert threw more interceptions on Saturday than he did throughout the entire regular season.

The Texans are still a Top 10 rush defense, though. So, we have to respect that. The offensive line of KC has not been protecting their star quarterback much at all. Even with the field stretched a bit more with Hollywood Brown back at wide receiver, Mahomes still needs time to throw the ball.

Pardon the pun, but I will pass on the Mahomes prop here. Even just 500 yards could be a stretch, as they are still an under team.

Jayden Daniels

500+ Passing Yards: -170

600+ Passing Yards: +225

700+ Passing Yards: +475

800+ Passing Yards: +750

900+ Passing Yards: +1200

1000+ Passing Yards: +1800

Let's start with Jayden Daniels' stats from Wild Card Weekend. He has 268 and counting. Here's a surprising stat for you. I bet you didn't know that the soon-to-be Offensive Rookie of the Year only threw for more than 274 yards once this season. That performance came in a win against the Chicago Bears, when, ironically, the team only scored 18 points, which was Washington's lowest team total of 2024.

I have them losing this week to the Lions, as almost everyone does. We need 232 for him to get to 500 passing yards. He may set a season-high for pass attempts if they're trailing for most of the game against Detroit.

The 500 or more is a safe play for an affordable (-170) price tag.

Prediction: 500+ Passing Yards (-170)

Jalen Hurts

400+ Passing Yards: -500

500+ Passing Yards: -200

600+ Passing Yards: +105

700+ Passing Yards: +200

800+ Passing Yards: +400

I’m sure you’re aware, but when you look at the numbers, they’re still surprising. Jalen Hurts averaged less than 190 passing yards per game during the regular season, and he threw for only 131 in last weekend’s Wild Card win over the Pack.

This bet gets a little tricky, though, because I’m confident enough in the defense and running game that they will be playing next week in the NFC Championship.

To get to 600, however, he will need 469 over his next two. The way this offense operates, I don't see it happening.

He was highly efficient in a win, but against the LA Rams, he threw for just 179 yards on Thanksgiving weekend.

There’s a chance the Rams are simply sizzling right now, and they upset the Eagles this week. For that, we have to pass on Hurts.

Josh Allen

500+ Passing Yards: -360

600+ Passing Yards: -125

700+ Passing Yards: +135

800+ Passing Yards: +280

900+ Passing Yards: +500

1000+ Passing Yards: +750

Josh Allen averaged just 232 yards passing per game over the regular season. We need him to get to 600 total for the playoffs for a bet to make dollars/sense. We have the option to gamble a bit for him to get to 700 for plus money of (+135).

The Baltimore Ravens' pass defense has improved over the last third of the season. They're getting beat over the top less. Allen is already at 272 passing yards for the playoffs after he played one of his best games of the season, completing 20 passes on just 26 attempts with two touchdowns.

Win or lose against Baltimore, I like him to get to at least 250 yards passing because the Ravens have the best run defense in the league. That will bring him to 600. If they keep the lead and force Baltimore into a passing team, maybe he won't get to 600. However, in that situation, they will probably win.

From there, he would need less than 100 in the AFC Title game. We saved the best for last with this pick.

Pick: 600+ Passing Yards (-125)

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