NFL Playoff Highs Props Odds and Best Bets
The best football weekend of the year is just days away, and I'm sure you'll be as excited as anyone. The Wild Card Round didn't provide a ton of surprises outside of the Los Angeles Rams butting the Vikings off the mountainside.
Did they single-handedly send Sam Darnold into free agency, or perhaps did the big red statue do it to himself and his team? He sure picked a bad time to have his worst two games of the year. I know that.
LA looked good, though, and I'll be honest. I have an odd feeling in my gut that the Rams are live to shoot down the Eagles this week, and Philly is one-half of my Super Bowl LIX participants prediction.
With many pundits praising the Kansas City Chiefs’ Andy Reid for sitting his starters for what seems like a month now, we can’t help but wonder if it may be a little too much time off of competition. These guys know what they’re doing this time of year better than anyone else because they’re the two-time defending champs. I get that. There also has to be a level of boredom and complacency that comes with being on top for so long.
I love the time off for an old guy like Travis Kelce. More on him in a moment.
We have some interesting betting odds for you today. We can bet on running backs, wide receivers, or tight ends to go over projected yardage totals for the playoffs. Some, like the Eagles' Saquon Barkey, for example, have already gotten their number started, while the Lions' Jahmyr Gibbs will begin from zero.
All of these betting odds, though, are just through the respective conference championship games. Should one or more of these superstars make it to Super Bowl LIX, their statistical count stops after next weekend. Fear not, though, because we will have a plethora of odds, props, and predictions leading up to the most significant sports betting day of the year.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Jahmyr Gibbs Playoff Rushing Yards
150+ Rushing Yards: -175
175+ Rushing Yards: -115
200+ Rushing Yards: +125
225+ Rushing Yards: +190
250+ Rushing Yards: +300
In all likelihood, we will be getting Gibbs for two games. Not many have the Washington Commanders coming off of an improbable emotional win to go into Detroit and come away with a victory.
As you might know, David Montgomery will return for Detroit this week. However, think about it. He's a bruising, physical runner and could be even more banged up going into the NFC Championship than he's been the past couple of weeks.
Why would they lean on him if they don’t have to? That’s why I love Gibbs’ playoff rushing yards to go for 175+. We could gamble a bit and go for the plus money, as he would only need 25 more yards over two games. That’s literally about two seconds of top-end speed for someone as fast as he is.
The Washington defense is weak against the run. And offensively, the Commanders showed us last week how effective they can be by putting together long-sustained drives. That's precisely how you want to game plan against an offensive juggernaut like the Lions.
Detroit will lean on Gibbs early, often, and late. He could easily go for 150 against the Lions alone.
Prediction: 175+ Playoff Rushing Yards (-125)
Saquon Barkley Playoff Rushing Yards
250+ Rushing Yards: -340
300+ Rushing Yards -170
350+ Rushing Yards: +120
400+ Rushing Yards: +250
It’s been a career year for Barkley with his new team, but last week’s numbers from the Packers game weren’t extraordinary. He ran the ball 25 times for 119 yards. Forgive the cliche, but for this bet, I think we have to either go big or go home.
I'm not interested in paying the price of (170) for him to get to 300+ rushing yards for the playoffs. I am, however, enticed by about 350. Can someone tell Barkley that we need about tree fiddy? That's 231 yards over his next two games. Childs play for a guy who ran for over 2,000 in the regular season.
If the Eagles don’t make it to the NFC title game, none of his props are hitting. So, we might as well take him to do his thing. Jalen Hurts threw for 131 yards last week. Philly needs Barkley to put up big numbers to win.
Prediction: 350+ Rushing Yards (+120)
Travis Kelce Playoff Receiving Yards
100+ Receiving Yards: -310
150+ Receiving Yards: -150
200+ Receiving Yards: +300
250+ Receiving Yards: +700
300+ Receiving Yards: +1200
At his age, Kelce isn't putting up big numbers anymore. However, playoff Kelce is another animal, particularly the very well-rested version. He is securely in the game plan, though. The last time he played was against the Steelers on Christmas, when he caught 8 balls on 11 targets for 84 yards.
The only question here is this another go big or go home situation, or do we pay the affordable price of (-150) for him to get 150+? We saw him against the Texans in late December also, and he had just 30 yards receiving on just 5 catches.
The Houston pass defense is outstanding, particularly the cornerbacks, who may be the best group in the NFL.
Patrick Mahomes has never thrown an interception in the Divisional Round. He keeps that streak by finding his best friend on his second read. Even with a lead, KC will probably have to pass more than expected, as they've struggled to run the ball consistently all year.
Prediction: 150+ Receiving Yards (-150)
A.J. Brown Playoff Receiving Yards
150+ Receiving Yards: -145
200+ Receiving Yards: +125
250+ Receiving Yards: +300
300+ Receiving Yards: +700
Finally, we have the Eagles’ A.J. Brown. We already told you that Hurts only threw for 131 in the Wild Card game. The stat line for Brown was even more disappointing: one reception on 3 targets for 10 yards.
A large part of this was that they didn't need to throw the ball. Philly has no problem grinding our games on the ground. If they can get to 3rd and medium to long, it's a run for Barkley and subsequent tush push on 4th down.
That said, you must keep the big man happy, and there isn't a more egotistical/emotional me/me position in football than the WR1.
The Eagles will find more ways to get Brown involved in the offense, and with a likely matchup against the Lions in the NFC Championship, the game plan shifts more toward a passing attack. That game will also be played inside, with a higher potential for Philly to be losing/playing a tight one.
I don't think you'll likely hear any experts who have the Eagles winning comfortably in Detroit.
Prediction: 150+ Receiving Yards (-145)
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