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Week 9 NFL Odds - Lookahead Lines - Picks & Best Bet Predictions

by Mike Allen - 10/23/2024

NFL Week 9 lookahead odds Jayden Daniels Washington Commanders

After another successful week from the betting public, we’re looking at some massive spreads in Week 8. Working our way down the slate, we have favorites of 11, 9, 7, 7.5, 10, 9, and 6.5 points, and only three games with betting odds under a field goal.

For example, the Denver Broncos are now 9-point betting favorites at home against the 1-6 Carolina Panthers. That’s a lot of points. Do you want to lay nearly double digits on a rookie quarterback?

The Panthers are terrible, but that's quite the ask. A 9-point spread means you're still nibbling at your nails up two touchdowns in the 4th quarter.

What if I told you you could've bet the Broncos at less than half the price a few days ago? If you read our Week 8 Lookahead Lines article, then you remember we told you to get the Broncos at (-4) before Week 7's action. I can't sit here and pretend I expected it to move as much as it has, but a perfect example nonetheless.

These lookahead lines are released on Tuesday afternoon, and the betting limits may be smaller, but that doesn't affect 97% of us. The first goal is to get ahead of the line movement. If you can consistently do that, you'll profit over time solely on the positive expected value. We nailed this with the Broncos this week, but Brock Purdy's worst game all year, along with a devastating knee injury to Brandon Aiyuk, bit us back. It's one of only a couple of times we've lost EV so far, as the Niners are now just (-4.5) after they were (-6.5) on the lookahead line. Our third pick is Green Bay (-4) at Jacksonville, who are now (-4.5).

The second goal is to pick the game correctly. We’re at 60% over our first few weeks. We’re on the right side of 2 out of 3 games in Week 8, which feels good. Let’s ride that high into Week 9 with some more lookahead lines best bets.

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NFL Week 9 Lookahead Lines Best Bets

Chicago Bears (-1) vs Arizona Cardinals Odds (+1) Total: 46

Nov 3 at 4:05 PM Glendale, AZ

The Chicago Bears looked tremendous across the pond in their big 35-16 win over the Jags in England. That was after punishing the Panthers 36-10. They beat the Rams the week before that. Caleb Williams looks better every week, and the NFC North continues to dominate.

The Bears visit the Commanders this week. And with the playing status of Jayden Daniels up in the air, it's hard to pick that one.

Arizona is coming off an impressive win over the Chargers, holding them to just 15 points and 59 yards rushing. They have the Dolphins this week, and Tua Tagovailoa has been taken off the IR and is set to play. With Arizona on a short week flying eastward and all in their feels after the win, I expect them to underperform against the Dolphins, whose defensive unit hasn't let up through their offensive struggles. Kyler Murray is one of the league's most capable quarterbacks, but he doesn't put in the work from week to week. The Arizona defense still allowed Justin Herbert to throw for 27/39 for 349 yards.

If Week 8 goes our way, we could get a full point of EV. Just take them on the moneyline, though. I know it's only 1 point, but this should be a good game. This past week, we had the Packers (-2.5) in a lookahead bet. They found a way to win against Houston. And even though the betting line closed at 3, the Pack won by only 2. If you like a betting favorite under a field goal, just pay for the moneyline.

Pick: Chicago Bears Moneyline (-115)

LA Chargers (-3.5) vs Cleveland Browns Odds (+3.5) Total 39.5

Nov 3 at 1:00 PM Cleveland, OH

The LA Chargers brought us back down to earth on Monday night. However, as we just said, the Cardinals are no pushover and have had one of the toughest schedules this year. My first thought was to play LA here, even at the ugly number of (-3.5). Then, I thought maybe I was overcomplicating this one and looked at the under.

The Chargers and Browns are defensive teams. Also, the Browns have Jameis Winston taking over. I would not sleep on Cleveland this week. That man knows how to motivate, and anything is better than the quarterback formerly known as Deshaun Watson. There's also good reason he isn't starting in the NFL. I say he pumps the boys up for a better performance but regresses in the following week, as teams will have tape on what they're trying to do. The Browns know they need a QB on a rookie salary to help turn this team around. I believe this team gets weaker with every game. Conversely, the Chargers have a very good quarterback and an incredible coach with a defense to match. Herbert doesn't have the weapons, but time and reps lead to chemistry. It's still late Summer in Northern Ohio, as they expect highs in the upper 70s in November. So, I don't see the weather playing a role in favor of the Browns.

Pick: LA Chargers (-3.5)

Washington Commanders (-3) vs New York Giants Odds (+3)

Nov 3 at 1:00 PM East Rutherford, NJ

This feels like a very public play, but that hasn't been the worst idea lately. Yes, the public's luck will break, but I expect that in one of these massive point spreads. Yes, the Giants are home divisional underdogs, an ATS trend that's been around for some time.

They were just home dogs to the Eagles, and how did that go? Daniel Jones threw for 99 yards and lost 28-3! He was benched before the end of it for Drew Lock, who wasn't any better, completing 3/8 pass attempts for 6 yards.

If Washington keeps Daniels out this week against the Bears, he's fresh, and I love our chances against the Giants. If they play him and he gets more banged up, well, that's our biggest worry. They may even be playing this injury up, as he seemed ok on Sunday. Daniels is a thin young man, though. Hang in there, kid. Rib injuries suck, and they blow. Come back stronger in Week 9, and let's belittle these Giants.

Pick: Washington Commanders (-3)

More NFL Odds - Week 9 Lookahead Lines

Houston Texans (+1.5) vs New York Jets Odds (-1.5) Total: 43 (Oct 31 at 8:15 PM East Rutherford, NJ)

New England Patriots (+3) vs Tennessee Titans Odds (-3) Total: 38.5 (Nov 3 at 1:00 PM Nashville, TN)

New Orleans Saints (-4.5) vs Carolina Panthers Odds (+4.5) Total: 46 (Nov 3 at 1:00 PM Charlotte, NC)

Miami Dolphins (+5.5) vs Buffalo Bills Odds (-5.5) Total: 48 (Nov 3 at 1:00 PM Orchard Park, NY)

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) vs Atlanta Falcons Odds (-2.5) Total: 48.5 (Nov 3 at 1:00 PM Atlanta, GA)

Denver Broncos (+9.5) vs Baltimore Ravens Odds (-9.5) Total: 43.5 (Nov 3 at 1:00 PM Baltimore, MD)

Las Vegas Raiders (+6.5) vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds (-6.5) Total: 45 (Nov 3 at 1:00 PM Cincinnati, OH)

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) vs Philadelphia Eagles Odds (-6.5) Total: 47.5 (Nov 3 at 1:00 PM)

Los Angeles Rams (+3) vs Seattle Seahawks Odds (-3) Total: 47.5 (Nov 3 at 4:25 PM Seattle, WA)

Detroit Lions (PK) vs Green Bay Packers Odds (PK) Total: 50.5 (Nov 3 at 4:25 PM Green Bay, WI)

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