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Sunday Night Football Picks: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks

by Mike Allen - 12/11/2024

Sunday Night Football picks Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks Jordan Love

The league timed this one up perfectly. The Sunday Night Football matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks couldn't come at a better time for fans. Neither team is overly excited to play the other. Traveling to the Pacific Northwest to play a first-place team that's won four in a row. If you're the Seattle Seahawks, you watched the Packers vs Lions Thursday night game, and you understand it was a hard-fought battle that the Pack could have easily won.

Make no mistake, however. Head coaches Matt Lafleur and Mike Macdonald are confident competitors who believe they can beat anyone in the league. It hasn't been the smoothest season for either skipper, but this is the NFL. You aren't judged on how well or long you ride the wave. As a head coach or quarterback, you're evaluated more on how gnarly that wave was and how you handled it.

For Lafleur and the Pack, they’ve had to deal with not one but two different hindering injuries to their star quarterback, Jordan Love, as well as the fresh 26-year-old’s interception woes.

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Green Bay Packers (-3) at Seattle Seahawks (+3)

This line opened at (-2.5) for the Packers, but we've seen 78% of the money and 62% of the tickets come in on the Hawks. Each squad is 6-6-1 against the spread this year. The number is now 3.

Both are playing great right now. Seattle is one of the healthier teams in the league for the first time this year, while Green Bay was without WR Romeo Doubs and CB Jaire Alexander last week against the Lions.

Lafleur said yesterday that Doubs is still in concussion protocol from Nov 24, and Alexander's status is still up in the air.

Moneyline Odds

Green Bay Packers: -150

Seattle Seahawks: +130

If you like the Pack, pay the (-150). That's a decent price, considering the point spread.

Point Total: 46

Betting the over 46 points seems too obvious/public to me. There is a clear pros vs joes divide on the total, with 75% of the money on the under and 64% of the tickets on the over. To me, the books are begging you to take the over, because 47 is a very key number.

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks Betting Analysis

Maybe you heard Steph Curry ruined the NBA because all the young kids just wanted to bomb step-back threes or ridiculously high floaters in the lane. In school, Love saw Patrick Mahomes being everything except technical at the quarterback position and got it in his head that he could do the same.

Maybe he can, perhaps he can't, but look at what's happened to Mahomes this season. He's having the worst season statistically of his career not only because his line can't pass protect but he doesn't help matters much by throwing off one leg, falling down, etc. He always does these things to win the game late. However, what happens when a team like the Lions controls the clock or Josh Allen is simply outplaying you?

I would like to see Love reel it in a bit and be more like Matt Stafford or Sam Darnold. It would round out his game considerably.

Macdonald’s stint in Seattle started off well against bad teams. Then, they hit a stretch where they lost five of six, and the 12th Man/Seahawk faithful began to worry. They had Pete Carroll under the headset for 14 seasons and were accustomed to an elite head coach.

Macdonald is a defensive guy, and the head coaches who favor that side of the ball haven't seen a lot of success in the NFL lately.

He has them playing their best football of the season at the right time. Oh, and they’re in first place in the deepest division in the NFL.

That said, the NFC West isn't the best division in the league. We all know the NFC "Norse" has been the most dominant. The Pack, in particular, have yet to lose to an AFC West team in the past eight games. They're also undefeated ATS in their last seven meetings with the Seahawks.

Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks Betting Pick

I'm having a hard time finding an edge on either side. Both QBs are effective yet reckless. I like the script from Lafleur more than Macdonald. The difference for me is the mini-bye that was also preceded by a whole week for the Pack, as they played two consecutive Thursdays. They have the rest and a better coaching staff. Their defense was out there for 31 more plays than the offense in the Lions game, though. I imagine the extra time off can offset that. Let's take the Packers on the moneyline this week at (-150).

Pick: Green Bay Packers Moneyline (-150)

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