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Shohei Ohtani Predictions for 2024: Season Stats Props Odds

by Mike Allen - 3/14/2024

Shohei Ohtani predictions for season stats and props odds

We are now only a couple of weeks away from MLB Opening Day 2024. There are new landing spots for several of baseball's biggest stars, but none have been nearly as noteworthy as the Los Angeles Dodgers' signing of Shohei Ohtani.

I imagine the move was pretty seamless for the Japanese superstar, as the drive up the 5 from Orange County to Dodgers Stadium is only 30 miles. The two-way player signed the largest contract in the history of sports, $700 million for 10 years.

I'm not going to gush about the guy too much, because we want to keep our emotions in check today, as we have betting odds on Ohtani's season totals for hits, runs scored, and batting average.

Some of these numbers may surprise you, and some may not. We have to keep in mind that he is only going to be hitting this year… allegedly. I don't think Los Angeles would bring him out to pitch toward the end of the year, but it remains a possibility.

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Shohei Ohtani Batting Average

Over .280: -115

Under .280: -115

I am quite surprised that this betting line has held where it opened at (-115) for the over/under batting average of just .280 for Ohtani. I figured both the public and the sharps would have hit the over hard by now.

He hit .304 last season. He is on a much better team now and will be hitting 2nd in the lineup, as of now. He doesn't have to dig in his heels and try to hit for so much power. I would bet he and Freddie Freeman could combine for 100 doubles in 2024.

His shoulder was jacked up last year, and he started 23 games on the mound. That's double trouble he won't have to deal with this year. He has one of the hardest outs in baseball in Freeman hitting behind him. Pitchers will throw him strikes, and the guy knows how to spray the ball to all fields.

Pick: Over

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits

Over 150.5: -115

Under 150.5: -115

I realize it's only Spring Training, but Ohtani is 11/22 for a .500 batting average with 4 walks and 20 total bases.

The urge to bet the over on almost all of his season totals is strong, but let's try to prove ourselves wrong. The issue with betting an over on a season total for a particular player is an athlete getting injured.

Our guy has had the surgeries and has all the money in the world for the best care. He just got married, and it appears he is a model of discipline. He wouldn't be the game-changer he is if he wasn't a meticulous perfectionist.

The hit total here of 150.5 seems high, but it is doable. Last season, 48 players in Major League Baseball had more than 151 hits in the regular season. Guess who was #48.

Yup, Ohtani. The batting average over play was so easy that it seemed like a trap bet, but this one is straightforward. Will he get as many or more hits as he did last season?

He only hit in 135 games last season. Give him maybe 20 more games this year, and that should be about 20 more hits. Add in the better pitches he will be seeing with so much more heat in the lineup, and the 151 mark looks much more doable.

Pick: Over

Shohei Ohtani Runs Scored

Over 95.5: -130

Under 95.5: +110

We finally have some line movement to lead us, but I don't believe we need it. It's a shame that the (-115) no longer exists, but (-130) isn't that bad.

Follow the steam, pay the juice, whatever you want to call it. Just do it. Bet Ohtani to score 96 runs or more. The Dodgers were 2nd in the Majors last season only to the Atlanta Braves in RBIs, averaging more than 5 per game.

He is projected to hit 40 home runs already. Are you telling me he can’t score 56 more times on maybe the best hitting team in baseball?

LA had 1 full RBI more per game last season than the Angels. And to compound this point, they did it without Ohtani, who was also a big part of the Angels, ranking 14th in the league in this stat.

I am a little shakey on the 150.5 hits bet, but the runs scored over is one you can trust, especially with the line movement already. The batting average over is the best bet, though, because we can still win that one with a potential injury, as long as it doesn’t take him out for months.

Pick: Over

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