Season Total Props and Predictions for Ronald Acuna and Michael Harris of the Atlanta Braves
I will spare you my sob story as an Atlanta Braves fan, because you already know it. This team has fallen and failed about as fast as possible in the postseason over the past two years.
The regular season, however, was a lot of fun. If I wasn't watching Ronald Acuna become the first player to hit 40 home runs and steal 70 bases in a season, I was squinting upward at what I think is Michael Harris's ceiling, but I don't know.
Harris plays about as smooth in center field, the batter's box, and on the basepaths as anyone I have seen since Ken Griffey Jr. I'm not saying Money Mike will be that good, but he is future Hall of Fame material.
Today, we have several season total prop bets and predictions for Harris and Acuna. I've already shown my cards as a Braves fan, particularly of these two, but read up. You may be surprised at some of the picks.
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Michael Harris Home Runs
Over 20.5: -115
Under 20.5: -115
Harris's 2023 regular season was a tale of two. He started off the season in a lengthy slump. At first, it was a nagging injury, but he was healthy for a while and still not producing. It didn't matter at the time for the Braves' bottom line, as they had one of the best offensive seasons in the history of baseball.
Over two months into the year, the reigning Rookie of the Year was hitting .163. Breaking an awkward silence in the dugout, he got a pep talk from veteran teammate Marcell Ozuna, who told him he needed to be himself and get his swagger back. From what Harris said, it really was that simple.
I guess we just have to get out of our own way sometimes.
By the end of June, he was batting .266 and finished up the season at .293. He isn't a streaky guy, and he proved that by maintaining a high level of play for the remainder of the season.
As for home runs, Harris has hit 19 and 18 in his first two seasons, respectively. Can he make that jump to be a consistent 20+ long-ball guy?
Yes, he can. His teammate Spencer Strider gets a lot of credit for having massive legs, but Harris is right there with him. I project 2024 as the true breakout season for Harris.
Pick: Over
Michael Harris Total RBIs
Over 73.5: -115
Under 73.5: -115
Harris had 64 RBIs in his rookie season with Atlanta and just 57 last year. It's his place in the batting order. Hitting nearly 20 home runs with a batting average of nearly .300, you should probably have more than 60 RBIs.
It looks like he's expected to hit in the 6th hole now as opposed to the 9 spot, where they had him for much of last season. I have seen several projections for his numbers in 2024, and they all have him going well over these betting odds of just 73.5 RBIs.
Just do the math. The Braves are stacked 1-5. The only issue is they're a home run-hitting aggressive team, and Harris may be coming to the plate just as the bases have been cleared. The five guys hitting before him all had 97 or more RBIs last season.
Guys, Eddie Rosario knocked in 74 last year. Harris can do it.
Pick: Over
Ronald Acuna Runs Scored
Over 125.5: -115
Under 125.5: -115
I am still going back and forth as to who is my favorite player in baseball, Acuna or Harris. The former, as you know, is coming off one of the most impressive offensive years of all time.
I couldn't believe all the LA writers who were trying to make the case for Mookie Betts to win the MVP. You heard it here first, though. We said to bet the house late in the season at nearly even money on Acuna to win the award, and he did by a wide margin.
I would be lying, however, if I said I wasn't worried about a down year from him in 2024. He is so explosive, especially in the field and running the bases, he isn't very technical. That leads to injuries.
There are already rumors coming out of Braves Spring Training that his knee is bothering him. I do have a gut feeling that he may get hurt and miss a significant chunk of time and or regress slightly in his performance.
Can he cross the plate a mere 126 times, though? That's nothing for the Atlanta Braves leadoff hitter. Just think about the 40/70 season. How many runs scored is that? Maybe 80.
He had 149 last season, but it took 735 plate appearances. Acuna has only played 2 full seasons in his 6 years as a pro.
I think this is a good chance to sell high on the Venezuelan phenomenon.
Pick: Under
Ronald Acuna Home Runs
Over 37.5: -115
Under 37.5: -115
I like the under 37.5 home runs here more than the previous pick. The guy is going to get his jacks, but his fans and his team would much rather him be on the basepaths distracting pitchers.
Just like the RBI total, there have been only two seasons where Acuna hit 41 homers. He played in nearly every game those years.
He plays the game so recklessly. Acuna will have to prove to us that he can play two full seasons in a row before we project him to do so. Also, even if he does and has an amazing year, he could still do so shy of 38 dingers.
Pick: Under
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