Predictions and Best Bets for NFL Wide Receiver Season Long Props
They say the NFL is a passing league. I would like to say otherwise, but it’s hard to argue against that. Last season, 28 pass catchers surpassed the 1,000-yard receiving mark. We had all wide receivers and one tight end out of that bunch.
At the top in 2023 were Tyreek Hill and CeeDee Lamb, who racked up 1,799 and 1,749 yards, respectively. It will be hard not to bet on The Cheetah today, but we have several of the league's fastest and most technical wide receivers featured as best bets. If I didn't pick someone you may have been expecting, that's okay. It's a long season, and there are 10 or more receivers live to win each statistical category.
Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
Most Receiving Yards
Tyreek Hill: +700
Hill is absolutely electrifying. He has incredible skills, but if he relies on anything, it's speed. The jovial Georgia native will be a 30-year-old for the entirety of the 2024 season. Of course he slows down, just not quite yet.
Justin Jefferson: +900
The Minnesota Vikings' Justin Jefferson makes the best case to be the best wide receiver in the NFL, and that has been true for a couple of years. This young man is special.
Jefferson wasn't able to put up his ludicrous numbers last season, but only due to an early season hamstring pull. Playing only 10 games in 2023, the LSU alum still went for 1,000+. Jefferson was 2nd last year to Hill in receiving yards/game. I like it more this year, as this team will likely be trailing often and throwing the ball more than usual.
Most Receiving Touchdowns
Marvin Harrison Jr.: +3300
The most receiving touchdowns prop is one of the most hairy. This one will be incredibly difficult to predict. There was a tie last season at only 13 touchdowns. It was seven athletes in total that had 10 or more.
Marvin Harrison Jr., to me, as the WR1 to Kyler Murray, has a pretty good chance to catch close to one per game.
Courtland Sutton: +5000
The Denver Broncos Courtland Sutton looks like he will be option #1 for the next Drew Brees, Bo Nix. The two not only have similarly cool names but also share the same playing style. Everyone loves Nix right now. And with Denver expected to play from behind, Sutton will get a lot of looks, hopefully with a solid chunk of garbage points.
He caught 10 touchdowns last season on just 59 total receptions. I couldn't find a better ratio. There were close to 100 targets, though. I think with a more accurate passer, more targets turn into more catches, which leads to more touchdown receptions for the 50-1 Sutton.
Most Receptions
CeeDee Lamb: +600
The contract year is over, y’all. Is this guy going to put up similar numbers this season? I’m out on the yards and touchdowns. He is in a buy-high spot. I can, however, get behind him to have the most receptions.
Lamb has continuity at quarterback with Dak Prescott, who has even fewer weapons at his disposal this season. Both of those points help our guy possibly get to 200 targets for the year. With the Cowboys projected to lose more games, I can see Lamb catching several more passes but for a lot fewer yards.
Garrett Wilson: +1200
Nobody in New York is happier about the return of Aaron Rodgers to competition in 2024 than Garrett Wilson. The Zach Wilson era appeared to last years for Jets fans and probably a decade for Wilson.
A lot like Courtland Sutton, Wilson's targets-to-receptions ratio wasn't what it should be for an elite wide receiver. We all expect this to improve dramatically from only 94 receptions with 168 targets, with Rodgers throwing him the ball.
It’s hard to tell what to expect from the New York Jets this year. We all know, though, how much Rodgers will lean on a WR1 from the Davante Adams days.
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