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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 18 - Every Game Picked ATS!

by Spencer Toth - 1/3/2024

NFL office pool picks Week 18 Jalen Hurts Philadelphia Eagles

The final week of the regular season is upon us. And, barring disaster, we will finish the season with a positive record. In Week 17, we posted our fourth consecutive positive week, going 10-5-1 ATS across all 16 matchups. That brings our overall season record to 129-119-8, and we will be eager to improve upon that in Week 18. The favorites went 12-4 straight up in Week 17 and a respectable 8-7-1 ATS. We will be looking to make it 5 straight positive weeks to close out the regular season, and here are your Against the Spread picks for all 16 Week 18 matchups.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) Over Baltimore Ravens

The Steers are the vastly inferior team in this matchup. And while it’s initially surprising to see them as road favorites, considering the expected lineups for the Ravens, it makes sense. Baltimore has nothing to play for, while the Steelers need to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have already locked up the number 1 seed, and there is no reason to see anyone other than 2nd and 3rd stringers on the field. Steelers 20, Ravens 14

Houston Texans (-1) Over Indianapolis Colts 

The Texans and Colts square off on Saturday night, with the winner getting a playoff spot and the loser being eliminated. Despite being on the road, the Texans are the play here. CJ Stroud is back from injury, and the confidence in Houston, combined with stellar QB play, will be enough to get them over the line and into the playoffs. Texans 27, Colts 24

New Orleans Saints (-3) Over Atlanta Falcons

It is pretty difficult to trust either of these teams at the moment. However, with a gun to my head, I will side with the Saints. The Falcons have one of the most uninspiring offenses I have ever seen, failing to use their star RB in Bijan Robinson and rotating between Taylor Heinicke and Desmond Ridder at QB, both of which are incapable of leading this team to victory. At home, I trust the Saints defense and a recently healthy pass catching unit to edge out a win and cover. It’s unfortunate we have to see an NFC South team in the postseason. Saints 21, Falcons 16

Cleveland Browns (+6) Over Cincinnati Bengals

In a similar vein to the Ravens-Steelers game, despite the Browns superiority, they are underdogs in the season finale. They’re already locked into the 5th seed in the AFC, and there is no reason to risk their postseason dreams against the Bengals. However, I can’t lay 6 points in a game where the Browns don’t care, and the Bengals want to lose to improve their draft position. I’m not sure the personnel either team will roll out, but in a battle of second stringers, I’ll take the free points. Browns 20, Bengals 19

Jacksonville Jaguars (-5.5) Over Tennessee Titans

In a must-win game for the Jaguars, I expect them to pull this one out of the fire and get the win and cover. Trevor Lawrence has been banged up to close out the season. And regardless of whether or not he plays, this Jacksonville team is more than just their quarterback. They have the better defense, better offense (even without Lawrence), and more motivation to win this one. Jaguars 27, Titans 13

Detroit Lions (-3) Over Minnesota Vikings 

The Lions were robbed in Week 17 and will be eager to wash that taste out of their mouths with a victory over the Vikings. Both of these teams have playoff implications on the line, and I fully trust the Lions to shut the door on their division rivals. They ousted the Vikings to win the NFC North a couple weeks ago and will have no problem doing so once again to close out the year. Minnesota has no quarterback, and no chance, in this one. Lions 31, Vikings 10

New England Patriots (-2.5) Over New York Jets

In a battle between two eliminated teams, battling for draft positioning, it’s difficult to estimate the intensity that will be in this game. One thing we do know is Bill Belichick is playing for his job and will want to finish the season with a victory, regardless of the long-term ramifications. These are two elite defenses that have been tasked with carrying horrendous offenses all season long. This one should not be one you’re watching on Sunday afternoon. Patriots 10, Jets 6

Carolina Panthers (+5.5) Over Tampa Bay Buccaneers 

The Panthers have already sealed their fate as the worst team in the league but will want to finish the season with some pride. It has been a rocky campaign for Bryce Young. And with a desperate Buccaneers defensive line breathing down his neck, I expect him to have one of his better games of the season. Tampa Bay will take this one lightly, and get off to a slow start, before eventually pulling out a win, but failing to cover. Buccaneers 20, Panthers 17

Chicago Bears (+3) Over Green Bay Packers

If the Packers win, they earn a playoff spot, and if not, they are probably eliminated. While motivation is important, all of these players are fighting for their roster spots next season, and I’ll take the Bears with the free points. Justin Fields’ job is far from secure after the Bears secured the first overall pick via the Panthers, and I’m expecting a solid all-around performance from him on Sunday. The Packers may be on the brink of postseason qualification, but they are still not a good football team, and I have no love for Jordan Love. Bears 24, Packers 18

Dallas Cowboys (-13) Over Washington Commanders

The Commanders may be the worst team in the entire league, having lost 8 straight games after starting the season 4-4. The Cowboys have been gifted the chance to wrap up the NFC East with a win, and they will not let this one get close. I expect them to jump out to a double-digit first half lead and never look back. The backdoor cover will always be a possibility, as they may be inclined to take out their starters in the second half. However, considering the Commanders inability to score, I don’t think it will be happening. Cowboys 35, Commanders 13

Las Vegas Raiders (-2.5) Over Denver Broncos

Don’t expect fireworks in this battle of woeful offenses, but I do expect the Raiders to prevail. The Broncos waved the white flag by benching Russell Wilson last week, while the Raiders fought tooth and nail under Antonio Pierce. At home, their strong defense will be enough to get them over the line and cover the spread. Raiders 13, Broncos 3

Los Angeles Chargers (-3) Over Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs are already locked into the #3 seed in the AFC and will not be playing anyone meaningful in Week 18. The Chargers certainly have their flaws but are still good enough to beat up on a bunch of second stringers. They may not have much meaningful football to be played, but a well-rounded offense will still chug down the field and get enough points to get them over the line. Chargers 17, Chiefs 13

LA Rams (+3.5) Over San Francisco 49ers 

The Rams have been surging and absolutely deserve to be favorites against the NFC leading 49ers. San Francisco has nothing to play for, and it would be flat out ridiculous to risk their starters, especially after what happened in last year's NFC title game. Christian McCaffrey has already been ruled out. And regardless of the scoreline, their stars should not be in for more than a few snaps. Meanwhile, the Rams will be desperate to avoid losing momentum heading into the postseason and still have seeding to play for. Rams 25, 49ers 17

Philadelphia Eagles (-5) Over New York Giants

The Giants have been the kings of the backdoor cover in recent weeks, scoring late touchdowns and still losing on multiple occasions. While that could happen again here, the Eagles will build a big lead again, and I’ll back them holding onto it. While their chances are slim, the Eagles could still win the NFC East, which would vastly improve their Super Bowl hopes. Jalen Hurts is desperate for a big game before the postseason, and he’ll get it in New York. Eagles 32, Giants 21

Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) Over Arizona Cardinals

The Seahawks still have playoff life and will not be the root of their own problems in Week 18. The Cardinals may have played solid football last week against the Eagles, but a desperate Seattle team will do enough to cover this short line. Kenneth Walker III will pound the Cardinals out on the ground, en route to a comfortable Seattle victory. Seahawks 24, Cardinals 14

Miami Dolphins (+3) Over Buffalo Bills

In a winner takes all the AFC East battle, I'll go with Miami to shock the world and get the job done. They’ve been unable to shake their ‘fraud’ status all season long and were thumped by the Ravens last week. However, the Bills defense is mangled, and the Dolphins offense will be unable to be contained. I truly believe the drives for both teams will be ending in touchdowns more often than not. However, when it’s all said and done, the Miami Dolphins have a better offense, and at home, will prevail. Dolphins 35, Bills 31

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