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Sunday Night Football Picks Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

by Mike Allen - 11/1/2023

Sunday Night Football predictions Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals Josh Allen

Oh, Buffalo. I've never visited your city, but I imagine the blistering cold weather stays pretty consistent throughout the Fall and Winter. That is a lot more than you can say for your football team.

The Buffalo Bills have been the model of inconsistency, and I have been on the wrong side of that coin flip more times than I want to admit.

They are not an easy team to cap. They overachieve. They underachieve. They win injured. They lose when they are fairly healthy.

Buffalo will make the short trip south to Cincinnati, Ohio, to challenge the Bengals, who have recently looked like the Super Bowl contenders most of us thought they still were on Sunday with a massive win over the San Francisco 49ers.

They outscored the Niners in the first half, as well as the second half, with a final of 31-17. That was impressive, and most experts have Cincy jumping up to their next tier or at least a few spots in the power rankings.

Let's check the betting odds for this Sunday night matchup between the visiting Buffalo Bills and the favorite Cincinnati Bengals and make a prediction.

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Bills vs Bengals Betting Odds

Point Spread

Buffalo: +2.5 (-110)

Cincinnati: -2.5 (-110)

Joe Burrow is back, and 28-for-32 against the San Francisco defense was very impressive. They have not been able to run the ball consistently this year, though. It hasn’t all been Burrow hampered by an injury.

Bengals running back Joe Mixon ran the ball 16 times for 87 yards and a touchdown. That doesn't sound like much, but this team had been one of, if not the, worst running team in the NFL.

The Cincinnati Bengals made that big move up the power rankings, as we mentioned, but they also moved from a 1.5-point underdogs on the look-ahead line for this game. On Sunday night, they were flipped to (-1.5).

Now, they are sitting at (-2.5) and in some spots, even as high as field goal favorites.

Moneyline

Buffalo: +125

Cincinnati: -145

If we do anything with the moneylines, I would like it to be a play on the Bengals. Hey, they look better than they have all year, and that is the understatement of the season.

The Bills are the Bills. Their offense performs at a high level this season, but injuries have decimated their defense, with no healthy end to the limb destruction in sight.

Point Total

Over 48.5: -110

Under 48.5: -110

This is one of the highest totals of the week. A score of 28-24 would still beat us if we wanted to go over. Judging by the 31 points that the Bengals put up against the 49ers, they should be good for another 30-spot at home against the Bills.

Bills vs Bengals Analysis

A wise man once told me that “should” is a bad word. It only leads to suffering. I am going to flip the script on him, though. I "should" not bet on the Bills. Nobody should. Maybe if the number made its way up to (+3.5), you have to take the value.

Both pass defenses are mediocre at best, and we have two strong arms slinging the ball. The Bills rank 3rd in yards/play on offense and 25th in yards allowed on defense. I understand that Cincy is playing inspired ball lately, but their defense still ranks in the cellar of the league in most major statistical categories.

Bills vs Bengals Prediction

Buffalo is 31st in yards per rush allowed, while the Bengals rank 30th. These are all bad looks for the under 48.5. I think we can get to 50.

Prediction: Over 48.5 Points

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