2023 NFL Teams Stage of Elimination Betting Odds and Predictions
There are so many futures prop bets available for the quickly approaching NFL season. I'm sure you have a couple of team wins over/under wagers on the books by now. Maybe, you have a play on whether a team makes the playoffs, the conference championship, or the Super Bowl.
Those are all fun, and I encourage you to spread the money around this preseason, because most of these wagers will last you the entire year. Another thing to remember is that once the season begins, the vast majority of these betting odds will disappear.
The online sportsbooks have "Stage of elimination" betting odds on every team to either make the playoffs, lose in the wild-card round, the divisional round, the conference championship, and finally, win or lose in the Super Bowl.
Many of these options are virtually off the table, and I know you don't want to sift through the betting odds for all 32 NFL teams.
We have our best bets for you today. Read up!
Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.
New York Jets Stage of Elimination Betting Odds
To Miss the Playoffs: -105
To Lose in the Wild Card Round: +285
To Lose in the Divisional Round: +475
To Lose in the Conference Championship Game: +1200
To Lose the Super Bowl: +2200
To Win the Super Bowl: +1600
The New York Jets are projected to be a better team than they were a year ago, and that's no secret. They weren't that bad, though. Their points differential for the year was about even.
Yes, New York lost seven of their final eight games last season. So, why project them to be better?
1. Their defense in those eight games allowed a total of only 86 points.
2. Insert Aaron Rodgers, and the Jets win at least half of the close games they lost. That is likely going to be it for them, though.
Let's take them to lose in the first week of the postseason.
Pick: New York Jets to Lose in the Wild Card Round
Minnesota Vikings Stage of Elimination Betting Odds
To Miss the Playoffs: -125
To Lose in the Wild Card Round: +350
To Lose in the Divisional Round: +450
To Lose in the Conference Championship Game: +1100
To Lose the Super Bowl: +2500
To Win the Super Bowl: +4500
The Minnesota Vikings lost running back Dalvin Cook, and their quarterback, Kirk Cousins, is just one year closer to the big 4-0.
I could see the elder statesman succumbing to injury this year. And, most likely, his numbers will drop. They have an incredibly tough schedule, playing nonconference games against the AFC West.
The -125 odds offer great value for the Minnesota Vikings to fall short of the postseason.
Pick: Minnesota Vikings to Miss the Playoffs
Miami Dolphins Stage of Elimination Betting Odds
To Miss the Playoffs: -105
To Lose in the Wild Card Round: +325
To Lose in the Divisional Round: +500
To Lose in the Conference Championship Game: +1000
To Lose the Super Bowl: +2200
To Win the Super Bowl: +1800
The Miami Dolphins snuck into the postseason last year as the 7th seed and almost upset the Buffalo Bills. The Fins need to be a better team this year than they were a season ago.
First, they may be playing in the best division in the NFL. The AFC East has the Jets, who are projected to improve, the Pats are well-coached/stellar on defense, and the Buffalo Bills are one of the best teams in football.
Outside of their division, Miami has to play six teams that made the postseason last year. The fair-weather Fins will likely struggle down the stretch as the weather turns.
Pick: Miami Dolphins to Miss the Playoffs
Denver Broncos Stage of Elimination Betting Odds
To Miss the Playoffs: -200
To Lose in the Wild Card Round: +375
To Lose in the Divisional Round: +800
To Lose in the Conference Championship Game: +1800
To Lose the Super Bowl: +2000
To Win the Super Bowl: +5500
While I do like Sean Payton as a possible Coach of the Year, I don't think the future Hall of Fame head coach can make that big of a difference in one season.
With games against the aforementioned AFC East and, of course, playing the Kansas City Chiefs and LA Chargers twice, Denver has one of the most difficult schedules in the league.
This is a team that scored less than 18 points/game last season. I’ll pay the juice for Denver to miss the playoffs.
Pick: Denver Broncos to Miss the Playoffs
Atlanta Falcons Stage of Elimination Betting Odds
To Miss the Playoffs: -150
To Lose in the Wild Card Round: +250
To Lose in the Divisional Round: +650
To Lose in the Conference Championship Game: +1800
To Lose the Super Bowl: +5000
To Win the Super Bowl: +6600
Finally, we have the Atlanta Falcons. This team mainly struggled on offense last season as Marcus Mariota's woes continued as a starting QB in the league.
Consistent production from the running back position was another glaring hole for the Falcons, but they drafted the No. 1 back on the board, Texas Longhorn Bijan Robinson. Reports out of training camp are off the charts, and I love that he is rooming with starting quarterback Desmond Ridder.
Atlanta plays in possibly the weakest division in football. They only have to outplay the New Orleans Saints to win the AFC South.
Outside of their weak division, Atlanta is only matched up with two playoff teams from last year. I love them to make the playoffs and lose in the first round.
Pick: Atlanta Falcons to Lose in the Wild Card Round
In Conclusion
We are fading the Miami Dolphins and the Minnesota Vikings. They both made it last year, but much more difficult schedules could make the difference for each team.
The Jets and the Falcons each finished in last place in their respective divisions, but both have added difference-makers to their skills positions.
Lastly, the Broncos stunk last year. They will improve with Sean Payton, but they still have one of the hardest schedules and divisions in the NFL to keep them out of postseason play.
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