Docs Website

53 Years Strong! A Trusted Leader In Sports Picks, Best Bets and Predictions Since 1971.

Main Menu

NFL Records Broken in 2023 Props: Yes or No Predictions

by Mike Allen - 8/20/2023

NFL records broken in 2023 Calvin Johnson Detroit Lions

Here are some betting odds that you don't see every day. It's a first for me.

Will we see the first NFL wide receiver ever accumulate 2,000 yards of receptions through the air? How about an NFL quarterback throwing for more than 5,500 yards?

How long have each of these records been around, and who set the records?

We will answer these questions and use them to predict if any NFL player will break these records.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

1,964 Receiving Yards

Yes: +350

No: -450

Okay, whose record is this? Well, the guy who owns it is former Detroit Lions wide receiver Calvin Johnson.

Megatron! I miss that guy.

Cooper Kupp came within 17 yards of breaking his record in 2021, but something stopped him. Some say it was a tackle or even time that kept Kupp from squirting forward for another 20 yards, but the ghost of Calvin Johnson lives on.

We also have some incredible young talent at the wide receiver position. Which NFL wideouts have a chance to break Cal’s record this season?

There is last year's receiving yards leader Justin Jefferson from the Minnesota Vikings, the aforementioned Cooper Kupp of the LA Rams, and the burner who simply can't slow down, Tyreek Hill of the Miami Dolphins.

If the record is broken, it will probably be from one of those guys. The Dallas Cowboys' CeeDee Lamb is poised for a career year, but Dak Prescott has always done well spreading the ball around his offense.

Justin Jefferson, for the betting odds we are getting today, I like to break Cal’s record this season. If not him, Kupp will have a better season with Matt Stafford returning under center.

The ground attack of the Dallas Cowboys looks to be back running on all cylinders. That will make Dak more comfortable. And when he can relax into a rhythm, his offense generally moves the ball with ease.

Pick: Yes

5,477 Passing Yards

Yes: +400

No: -6000

This record belongs to one of the all-time great NFL quarterbacks, Peyton Manning.

His nemesis for many years, Tom Brady, almost broke the single-season passing mark in 2021 but fell short by 152 yards.

Enough of these old men! Patrick Mahomes is already in the GOAT conversation. The Kansas City Chiefs QB threw for 5,250 yards last season. It's only a matter of time before someone surpasses Manning, as the schedule has expanded to 17 games. 

The only other candidate to break Manning's record this year is LA Chargers 4th-year starter, Justin Herbert. He threw for more than 5,000 yards in his sophomore season and racked up more than 4,700 last year.

Neither of the two is projected to go over the 4,800-yard mark.

I like Herbert to rack up a lot of yards because he will probably have more pass attempts than anyone in the league. Why? His team lacks a strong running game and defense. Those same reasons also tell us that opposing defenses will be keyed in against the pass.

Mahomes, conversely, has all the pieces in place to break the record. It's not a competition between the two men, but I want more than one potential candidate for us to make this particular bet.

Pick: No

22.5 Sacks

Yes: +550

No: -1000

Of all the exciting plays we see in every NFL game, the sack is my favorite. It is electrifying, and this new breed of edge rushers will get this record to 25 sacks before we know it.

Michael Strahan set this record back in 2001, but TJ Watt tied it 20 years later. Last season's leader was the 49ers' Nick Bosa, who racked up 18.5.

The NFL is becoming more of a passing league every year. Because of that, getting pressure on the quarterback is paramount if you want to win consistently. It may not be this year, but that record is going down.

For more than a 5-1 payout, let's bet on mayhem and revel in the carnage.

Pick: Yes

2,105 Rushing Yards

Yes: +700

No: -1600

The Tennessee Titans Derrick Henry came within 100 yards of breaking the great Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record in 2020. We have likely seen the best out of Henry, though, as his production will likely continue its decline.

Nick Chubb of the Cleveland Browns is the player with the only realistic shot to break this record in 2023. He has averaged 5.2 yards/carry for his career, and in 2020 and 2021, he averaged more than 5.5!

Dickerson was at 5.6 for his record-breaking year. Chubb was doing this when Cleveland didn't have a strong quarterback. If DeShaun Watson has a good year, he may steal some first-half yards from Nick, but Chubb will make up for it down the stretch as they pound their way to victory.

Even when we have a strong candidate to break the record, if he is the only one, we must pass.

Pick: No

In Conclusion

The betting odds are long, but these bets are worth it even if they don't hit. They will last you a while. Don't bet large amounts here, either.

Have fun with them, and thank you for reading this far. I have a bonus bet for you!

Nick Chubb to rush for over 1,225.5 yards. It pays out at (-115)!

Get NFL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bet premium picks by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.

 

Most Recent NFL Handicapping

One E-mail A Week Is All You Need!
Our weekly newsletter is loaded with exclusive free picks,insight and advice from our expert handicappers