NFL Office Pool Picks Week 6

by Spencer Toth - 10/11/2023

Selecting the ATS winner in every NFL matchup is no easy task. However, if you finish the year atop your office pool standings, the rewards will be worth the effort. This column will give you all the information you need to best your opposition this season, and our 10-4 record last week is the perfect example of that. Our early Sunday slate didn’t go as planned, but we finished off Sunday and Monday with a spotless 6-0 record. Here’s a look at all 15 matchups this week, as we look to keep our hot streak going,

Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Denver Broncos (+10.5) Over Kansas City Chiefs

I do not expect the Broncos to win this one, but Russell Wilson and co. are good enough to keep it close. The Broncos defense is still a massive concern, but Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs haven’t had the smoothest sailing, either, this year. An even game going into the second half will keep this +10.5 bet alive all game long. Chiefs 24, Broncos 17

Baltimore Ravens (-4) Over Tennessee Titans

The Ravens may have fallen to the Steelers. However, outside of their receivers, their offense was rolling. Lamar Jackson got the protection he needed to make accurate throws downfield. And as long as his targets can make the easy catches, I see no reason as to why this one will be close. Ravens 27, Titans 13

Miami Dolphins (-13.5) Over Carolina Panthers

This one feels unfair. The 0-5 Panthers head to Miami to take on the league’s best offense, and they don't stand a chance. Bryce Young will have to continue to wait for his first career victory, as this one will be over by halftime. These mammoth spreads are playable when the Dolphins offense is scoring as freely as they are, and the Panthers don’t have the consistent offense to cash the back door cover. Dolphins 34, Panthers 15

Indianapolis Colts (+4) Over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Colts may be without starting quarterback Anthony Richardson, but Gardner Minshew is more than capable of keeping this team competitive. The Jaguars have been in London for the last 2 weeks, and a return home will not go as smoothly as planned. Divisional matchups always bring the extra toughness, especially when the division lead is on the line for these 3-2 teams. Jags eke out the win, but the Colts get the cover. Jaguars 27, Colts 24

Minnesota Vikings (-2.5) Over Chicago Bears

The Bears may have gotten their first win of the season, snapping their 14-game losing streak dating back to last season, but their win streak will be short lived. The Vikings will be without Justin Jefferson in this matchup, but this line is an overreaction to the Bears recent win, and the Vikings wideout’s absence. At less than a field goal, the Vikings are absolutely the play to find a way to win. Vikings 25, Bears 21

Houston Texans (+1.5) Over New Orleans Saints

The Texans have started to show life and will be confident they can crawl back to .500 in Week 6. Their status as home underdogs is due to the Saints blowout in Week 5, but beating the dumpster fire that is New England isn’t all that impressive. The Texans have won two of their last three. And with CJ Stroud the vastly superior quarterback, I expect a slight upset in front of the home crowd. Texans 20, Saints 17

Cincinnati Bengals (-3) Over Seattle Seahawks

The Bengals got their season back on track against the Cardinals in Week 5, and will be able to keep rolling against Seattle in Week 6. The extra rest will have the Seahawks come out swinging, but I expect a 4th quarter comeback to get the win, and cover for Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Bengals 30, Seahawks 25

San Francisco 49ers (-5.5) Over Cleveland Browns

How can you justify stepping in front of the 49ers right now? The 5-0 NFC powerhouse takes on the Browns in Week 6. And despite the venue, they are still large favorites. DeShaun Watson hasn’t been able to quite get it right in Cleveland, and the Browns offense has been able to score just 19 PPG. A tough San Francisco defense won’t give them an inch, as the 49ers just keep on rolling. 49ers 24, Browns 10

Washington Commanders (+2.5) Over Atlanta Falcons

The Washington Commanders are desperately trying to snap their 3-game losing streak, solidified by a blowout loss to the Bears on national television. The Falcons are never an easy matchup, as their dedication to the run can allow them to possess the football for extended stretches. However, Eric Beinemy has revitalized this Commanders offense. And if their defense can play even close to how they have over the last few seasons, they’ll do enough to disrupt Desmond Ridder, and get the victory. Commanders 23, Falcons 21

Las Vegas Raiders (-3) Over New England Patriots

How can a bet on the Patriots on the road, as just 3-point favorites, be a wise move? It can’t. The Patriots cannot get much worse, as this is the lowest point for the franchise over the last 2 decades. Mac Jones is clearly not a quality NFL starter, and the Pats have lost each of their last 2 games by 34+ points. Once you couple in a feel good MNF win for the Raiders last time out, this spread feels too good to be true. Raiders 17, Patriots 10

LA Rams (-7) Over Arizona Cardinals

Heading into the season, there were limited expectations for the Rams with Cooper Kupp on IR. While their 2-3 start is still less than ideal, their wide receiver tandem of Kupp and Puka Nacua is among the best in the league. The Cardinals will be no match for a determined Rams offense, as Joshua Dobbs is still far too unpolished to compete on a consistent basis. The backdoor cover is always a possibility, but Sean McVay and the Rams know not only how to win, but how to cover too. Rams 31, Cardinals 21

Detroit Lions (-3) Over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers have gotten off to an unbelievable 3-1 start and will be eager to keep their momentum going coming out of the bye week. However, the Lions have momentum of their own, and there is no reason to expect this one to stay close. The Lions have the more proven offense, defense, and head coach, and will get the job done against the spread. Lions 27, Buccaneers 11

New York Jets (+7) Over Philadelphia Eagles

The Jets came so close to beating the Chiefs last time they were at home, and a 7-point spread is disrespectful to their defensive quality. Zach Wilson is playing the best football of his career on the Jets and led them to a gutsy road win against Denver in Week 5. While the Eagles are still the top dogs in the NFC until proven otherwise, this spread is too wide for the defending NFC champs. The Eagles get the win, but the Jets keep it a one-score game. Eagles 21, Jets 17

New York Giants (+14) Over Buffalo Bills

The Giants are freefalling down the standings and haven’t scored an offensive touchdown in over 9 quarters of football. However, I expect them to get the cover against the Bills. The Buffalo defense took a major blow after it was announced that LB Matt Milano would miss significant time, and the Giants have a solid enough defense to keep this scoreline respectable. It might come down to the backdoor cover, but I expect the Giants to cash our ticket. Bills 28, Giants 17

LA Chargers (+2) Over Dallas Cowboys

The Chargers will come out firing on all cylinders against the Cowboys, as it’ll have been 15 days since their last contest. Justin Herbert and Austin Ekler will give a weakened Cowboys defense all they can handle and win outright as short underdogs. Dak Prescott continually chokes when all eyes are on the Cowboys, and he will once again fall short with another 2+ INT game on Monday. Chargers 35, Cowboys 31

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Start:	December 26, 2024 @ 8:15 PM
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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 6

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