NFL Office Pool Picks Week 15

by Spencer Toth - 12/12/2023

There are few tasks harder than navigating a season-long office pool. Unlike survivor pools or fantasy football, office pools truly separate the best from the rest, as staying atop the office pool standings throughout an entire season is no easy task. It was a brutal week for the favorites, as they went just 8-7 straight up and 5-9-1 Against the Spread (ATS). It’s crunch time for the playoff hopefuls, and there will be plenty of meaningful football played in Week 15. Here are your picks for every game ATS.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Las Vegas Raiders (-3) Over Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers playoff hopes are dwindling, and they will be without Justin Herbert for their Thursday Night Football matchup. The Las Vegas offense has their cracks, but a sound defensive unit will keep backup QB Easton Stick in check. This won’t be a shootout, but the Raiders should figure out a way to get the cover. Raiders 15, Chargers 10

Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) Over Minnesota Vikings

A loss for either team would effectively spell the end of the season for both franchises, and I’m expecting Jake Browning and the Bengals to continue to find ways to win. The Cinderella story that is Joshua Dobbs has lost its magic, and the harsh reality of a wasted season in Minnesota has begun to sink in. Bengals 24, Vikings 17

Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) Over Pittsburgh Steelers

The Colts played well against the Bengals, despite the final scoreline. And if they move the ball well once again when they welcome Pittsburgh to town, they should find tangible success. A strong Steelers defense can only do so much when the offense under Kenny Pickett is scoring just 16.2 PPG, and the Colts will take another step towards a playoff berth with a valuable home win. Colts 20, Steelers 13

Denver Broncos (+5) Over Detroit Lions

After starting the season 1-5, the Broncos have won 6 of their last 7 to reinsert themselves in the AFC Wild Card race. The Lions have looked beatable in recent weeks, and this spread doesn’t accurately represent the small gap in class between these two teams. Russell Wilson has been playing mistake free football, and a strong Denver defense will keep Jared Goff in check. Not only do they cover, but the Broncos win outright in Week 15. Broncos 28, Lions 21

Atlanta Falcons (-3) Over Carolina Panthers

Despite having no good reason to tank, having traded away their first-round pick, the Panthers are bottom of the standings, with no sign of relief on the horizon. Meanwhile, the Falcons are in one of the worst divisional races in recent memory, sitting joint top of the NFC South with a 6-7 record. The Falcons are certainly not a Super Bowl threat. However, with the additional motivation, they will be able to dispatch their division rivals on the road. Falcons 23, Panthers 10

Cleveland Browns (-3) Over Chicago Bears

The Bears are a great team to ‘sell high’ on right now, after beating the Lions last week. Justin Fields will do his best to get the Bears over the line, but an elite Browns secondary will force him to take his checkdowns, something he has been reluctant to do throughout his career. With Joe Flacco at the reins, the Browns offense is just good enough to get the win and cover at home. Browns 25, Bears 17

Houston Texans (+2.5) Over Tennessee Titans

The Titans pulled off an improbable comeback against some questionable Dolphins defense, but don’t let that distract you from their inability to move the ball through 3 and a half quarters. Houston was dealt a brutal loss at the hands of the Jets last week, but they are still the better team, catching a few free points. With or without CJ Stroud, the Texans need this game, and they’ll get the job done. Texans 19, Titans 17

Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) Over New England Patriots

The Chiefs couldn’t be facing the Patriots at a better time, as they are in desperate need of a ‘get right’ victory. New England may have been able to put a band aid over the bullet wound at quarterback with a Thursday Night win over the incompetent Steelers, but they are still several tiers below the defending champs. Some frustration will be taken out at the expense of New England, as the Chiefs build a big lead early on, and keep adding to it over the contest. Chiefs 35, Patriots 7

New York Giants (+4.5) Over New Orleans Saints

The Giants are not going to make the playoffs, but the inspired play from Tommy DeVito has kept hope alive for New York. The Saints can dominate inferior teams but struggle against similar competition. A few weeks ago, I would be all over the Saints at this number, but injuries to the Saints offense coupled with the surge the Giants have been on has me leaning in their direction. Saints 20, Giants 17

Miami Dolphins (-9) Over New York Jets

The Dolphins put up a stinker on Monday Night Football, but a home game against their division rivals will be the perfect way to get back on track. Tyreek Hill’s in and out status against the Titans severely disrupted the Dolphins offense, and they won’t need many points to get over the line against New York. Zach Wilson plays inspired one week, before looking lost the next. The inconsistency from the Jets makes me believe if the Dolphins win this one, it will be a blowout. Dolphins 28, Jets 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) Over Green Bay Packers

The Packers are getting too much respect on this line, as Jordan Love is not worthy of more than a field goal against the fellow 6-7 Buccaneers. Both these teams have legitimate playoff dreams, and I don’t see either being able to run away with the game. Baker Mayfield has the adequate protection he needs. And when the Packers pass rush is unable to make a difference, the Buccaneers will prevail. Buccaneers 25, Packers 21

Arizona Cardinals (+13.5) Over San Francisco 49ers

The massive home underdog in a divisional matchup has caught my eye. The 49ers are an absolute wagon at the moment, but this line is too wide for a divisional matchup. The Cardinals don’t have much left to play for, but this game will have been circled on their calendar for months. Kyler Murray is playing like his future depends on it (which it does), and the Cardinals will lose but get the cover. 49ers 24, Cardinals 13

Washington Commanders (+6.5) Over LA Rams

Washington has lost 6 of their last 7 games, eliminating their .500 start to the season. However, the development of Sam Howell is still a priority, and the new owner will surely be taking stock of his assets when the season is up. The future of every single player on their roster is up in the air, and they won’t have packed it in for the season just yet. The Rams took the Ravens to overtime in Week 14, and they just might need the extra frame once again to get the win against Washington. Rams 31, Commanders 28 (In OT)

Dallas Cowboys (+2.5) Over Buffalo Bills

The Cowboys just dominated the defending NFC champions on national television but are underdogs against the Bills in Week 15. Buffalo has quite the home fortress, but the Cowboys superior quality on both sides of the ball will prevail. I expected Dallas to be road favorites after the uninspired play from the Bills but will gladly take them as underdogs. Cowboys 28, Bills 24

Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) Over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Ravens are sitting atop the AFC standings and will not be eager to relinquish that position. Jacksonville has issues at quarterback, as while Trevor Lawrence will play, he won’t be nearly as effective on the ground as we’ve gotten used to. Even with a 100% healthy Lawrence, the Ravens have proven they are Super Bowl contenders, and the Jaguars still have yet to reach that status. A strong defensive performance, combined with a poised Lamar Jackson in the pocket, will lead Baltimore to a win and cover on Sunday Night. Ravens 27, Jaguars 14

Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) Over Seattle Seahawks

Losses to the 49ers and Cowboys will sting, but the Eagles are still firmly in the race for the number 1 seed in the NFC. They’ve been able to dispatch inferior opponents all season long, and we’re getting a kind line thanks to their ineffectiveness against fellow NFC juggernauts. The 6-7 Seahawks will be a much easier task to navigate. And while the home crowd will do enough to keep it close, the Eagles will eventually pull away. Eagles 24, Seahawks 17

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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 15

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