NFL Office Pool Picks Week 11 - Every Game Picked ATS!

We head into the home stretch, with just 8 weeks to go in the regular season. The tank will begin for some teams who have kissed any playoff hopes goodbye, while the legitimate Super Bowl contenders will be jockeying for playoff positioning. Last week, we had the best week of the season going 12-2 against the spread, bringing our season total to 77-69-4 so far this season. We are climbing up the standings, and another solid week will have us within touching distance of the crown. There are several tricky matchups to unpack in Week 11. And without further ado, let’s dive right in.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL expert picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) Over Baltimore Ravens

In this Thursday Night matchup between two AFC North rivals, I expect the Bengals to keep this one close, if not come out on top. Both teams will be desperate to add another win to their total. However, after watching the Ravens throw away another easy win away in Week 10, they cannot be trusted as sizable favorites. Joe Burrow stays composed and leads a game-winning 4th quarter drive for the Bengals. Bengals 27, Ravens 24

Houston Texans (-4) Over Arizona Cardinals

These Texans are legit. After finishing with just 3 wins last year, the Texans sit at 5-4 with real playoff hopes. A win over the struggling Falcons will not be enough to convince me the Cardinals can keep this one close, as CJ Stroud and a rapidly improving Texans defense will shut the door on Arizona. Kyler Murray will get his first loss of the season, as Stroud continues to put together the best rookie season of this generation. Texans 31, Cardinals 21

Detroit Lions (-10) Over Chicago Bears

If Justin Fields was healthy, I’d happily scoop up the 10 points with Chicago. However, with the franchise quarterback set to sit out once again in Week 11, the Lions will get a feel-good blowout win. Five of the 7 Lions wins this season were by double digits, and it will not be Chicago to buck that trend. A potent defense limits Tyson Bagent’s efficiency, while Amon-Ra St.Brown puts together another dominant display on offense. Lions 38, Bears 20

Dallas Cowboys (-10.5) Over Carolina Panthers

The Cowboys have no issues winning and covering big spreads, having already beat the Giants (twice), Patriots, Raiders, Rams and Jets by 20 or more points this season. They play excellent complementary football, and it’s difficult to imagine Bryce Young going toe to toe with Dak Prescott. The Cowboys defense will be eager to get their hands on the young signal caller, allowing several short fields to materialize for the Cowboys offense. This one won't be close and will be over as a contest long before halftime. Cowboys 28, Panthers 9

LA Chargers (-3) Over Green Bay Packers

Neither of these teams can really be trusted right now, but gun to the head, I’ll side with the more explosive offense in LA to get it done. Jordan Love has been gradually getting worse throughout the season and won’t be able to take advantage of the Chargers generous defense. LA can score, and the Packers get consistently dominated on the ground. A big game for Austin Ekeler will be enough to get the Chargers over the line. Chargers 24, Packers 20

Las Vegas Raiders (+12) Over Miami Dolphins

There is no doubt that the Dolphins will emerge victorious against the Raiders, but this spread is a little too wide. The Raiders appear to have found new life with new head coach Antonio Pierce, and they will not roll over easily against Miami. The Dolphins will have gotten plenty of rest after returning home from Germany on their bye week and will not let this one slip away. Dolphins win, Raiders cover. Dolphins 27, Raiders 17

New York Giants (+10) Over Washington Commanders

The Commanders haven’t won a game by double digits all season. And while the Giants are a new level of bad, this spread gives Washington far too much credit. Just 4 weeks ago, the Commanders lost to New York 14-7, and they are just 1-3 in their last 4 games. Sam Howell has been playing excellent football, but the Commanders defense will find a way to make Tommy Devito look good, and keep this one close. Divisional games between these two are always tight, with 7 of the last 8 meetings finishing within one score. Commanders 20, Giants 13

Pittsburgh Steelers (+4) Over Cleveland Browns

These two bitter divisional rivals face off with identical 6-3 records and similar styles of play. Both teams rely on tough defense to keep them in games, and an AFC North battle will not be filled with offensive touchdowns. Pittsburgh keeps finding ways to stay in games and emerge victorious. And against a vulnerable DeShaun Watson offense, they will pull another one out of the fire and get the valuable road win. Steelers 17, Browns 13

Jacksonville Jaguars (-6.5) Over Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars will be limping into this game after getting demolished by the 49ers in Week 10, but they’ll be confident they can get back on track against a horrendous Titans offense. Will Levis has been unable to replicate his debut, and the seasoned Trevor Lawrence will get the best of him in this divisional game. The Jaguars thrive in shutting down the run. And without a competent opposition signal caller to carve up their secondary, they’ll make it look easy. Jaguars 24, Titans 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+11.5) Over San Francisco 49ers

Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers are rightful underdogs in this matchup, but a mediocre offense will do just enough to cover the spread. San Francisco is a force to be reckoned with, but Mayfield will never give up and will continue trying to keep it close. The Bucs haven’t lost by 12 or more points since Week 6, and there are still simply too many question marks surrounding the consistency from the 49ers after losing 3 straight prior to their Week 10 win. 49ers 30, Buccaneers 22

New York Jets (+7) Over Buffalo Bills

The Bills have done absolutely nothing over the last few weeks to justify a spread like this against the smothering defense New York rolls out on a weekly basis. Josh Allen continues to turn the ball over far too frequently, and the ‘no fly zone’ in the Jets secondary will happily scoop up any lollipops Allen throws up. The Bills will be playing desperate and will probably win, but a spread of a full touchdown is absurd for the inconsistent Bills squad. Bills 20, Jets 17

Seattle Seahawks (PK) Over LA Rams

The Seahawks will be eager to wash out their Week 1 loss to the Rams out of their mouths and keep pace with the 49ers atop the NFC West. Matthew Stafford has been in and out of the lineup all season long. And while he’s slated to return in Week 11, there’s no telling how he will look. Geno Smith has been making clutch plays when his team needs it most this year, and he will do so once again against the Rams. Seahawks 27, Rams 23

Minnesota Vikings (+2) Over Denver Broncos

The Vikings are certainly not as lethal on offense without Kirk Cousins, but they do not deserve to be underdogs against the Broncos. Yes, Denver is coming off 3 straight wins over the Packers, Chiefs, and Bills, but a plethora of turnovers gifted to them allowed them to have this much success. Joshua Dobbs will be eager to get the ball into the hands of Justin Jefferson in his return, and the Vikings play responsible football, en route to their 6th straight victory. Vikings 31, Broncos 24

Philadelphia Eagles (+3) Over Kansas City Chiefs

A rematch from last year’s Super Bowl is on tap for Monday Night, and I’ll be grabbing the free points with the Eagles. Philadelphia will get the victory in the battle of the Kelce brothers, thanks to a punishing run game and solid work in the trenches. The Chiefs have shown weakness in recent weeks, while the Eagles just look like they keep on getting better. It will be close, but give me the Birds in the marquee matchup of Week 11. Eagles 30, Chiefs 25

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