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Monday Night Football Picks: Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs

by Mike Allen - 11/15/2023

Monday Night Football picks for Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs Rashee Rice

This is the midseason Super Bowl!

These two teams are betting favorites to win their respective conferences and rematch in Super Bowl LVIII.

The Philadelphia Eagles are 2.5-point underdogs at (-110), the same betting odds some sportsbooks have them to win the NFC. They seemed to stumble out of the gate. However, with their schedule front-loaded against weaker opponents, they usually found a way to win.

In all likelihood, though, they will have their hardest game of the year. The Eagles looked great against Dallas, but the Chiefs are a step above the Cowboys.

Are they really?

Just a few weeks ago, Kansas City put a whole 9 points in a loss to the Denver Broncos. One stat I did find interesting, however, was the 200 yards of rushing offense KC put up on that vaunted Jets defense.

The Philadelphia Eagles' run defense allows just 66 yards/game this season. We may have an X-factor there. Let's see what we can do with these betting odds. This is a huge game!

Eagles vs Chiefs Betting Odds

Point Spread

Philadelphia: +2.5 (-110)

Chiefs: -2.5 (-110)

I love this matchup, and playing the game at this point in this season is the perfect time. It simulates a Super Bowl in a lot of ways. One reason is we have both teams coming off their bye week. I think Jalen Hurts benefited from this the most. He was visibly slowed down on the field and limped a bit at times because of his knee.

Moneyline

Philadelphia: +130

Kansas City: -150

This game is shaping up to be incredibly competitive. If the Eagles can get going downhill, the Chiefs are in trouble. Kansas City has had a hard time stopping the run this season. Philly ranks in the top 3 in the league in rushes per game, while the Chiefs are bottom 5 in yards per rush allowed.

Offensively, on 3rd and 4th down respectively, the Eagles are 1st in the NFL, and we all know why. Jalen Hurts must have got it from his mama, because his backside has revolutionized 3rd or 4th and 1. Heck, it's an efficient play on 3rd/4th with 2 yards to go.

Point Total

Over 45.5: -110

Under 45.5: -110

Eagles vs Chiefs Betting Analysis

There are a lot of interesting statistics for this matchup. Did you know these two teams are tied for first in the league in rushing touchdowns allowed with just 0.3/game?

Enough about the similarities of these two teams. What are the differences? The biggest to me are the playmakers. The Chiefs really should have held on to The Cheetah, Tyreek Hill. He puts defenses on their heels. And in a game of split seconds, good luck.

Good luck defending both him and the running game/crossing or out routes underneath. The Chiefs are an under team this year, and yes, we credit the defense for that. We also have to keep it real.

They can struggle to drive the length of the field at times, most of the time. It isn't just because they have spoiled us in the past. This team is limited on offense. Patrick Mahomes is making a strong case to win the MVP.

Without him, Kansas City may not even have a winning record this year.

He is there, though, and even with a healthy Travis Kelce, they have trouble finding the end zone.

Fortunately for the Chiefs, the Eagles receiving corps doesn't have Hill. They have guys like AJ Brown and others, though, who are more athletic/dynamic.

Eagles vs Chiefs Betting Prediction

We are on the wrong side of the number if we like the Eagles here. It doesn’t appear that this betting line is going anywhere, though.

I will put my confidence in the tush push and take the 2.5 points.

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