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Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 1/16/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Wildcard

by Josh Schonwald - 1/9/2023

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Game: Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Monday, January 16, 2023

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Buccaneers (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 45

Raymond James Stadium is the location where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) will play the Dallas Cowboys (12-5) on Monday. Dallas opens this matchup as 3-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 45.

The Dallas Cowboys step onto the field holding a record of 12-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Cowboys took on the Commanders and took a loss by a final of 26-6. Dak Prescott finished 14/37 with 128 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 45.8 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. CeeDee Lamb left with an average of 10.4 yards per reception by notching 52 yds on 5 receptions. Malik Davis was the rushing leader for the Cowboys with 5 totes for 19 yards (3.8 yds per carry). In all, they had 66 plays which gave them 182 yards. The Dallas Cowboys ended up running the ball 27 times and amassed 64 yards, which had them averaging 2.4 yds per carry. On the ground, the Cowboys gave up 151 yds on 41 tries, which calculates to 3.7 yds per rush allowed. Dallas allowed 11 completions on 19 attempts for a total of 158 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.9%.

When talking about scoring points, the Dallas Cowboys hold an average of 27.5 points per outing. As a unit they average 135.2 yards via the ground game ranking them 9th in the league. The Cowboys have earned 6,034 total yards for this campaign. Dallas has a total of 194 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 104 penalties for 842 yards. They have surrendered the football 23 different times (18 picks and 5 fumbles lost). In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Dallas has amassed 28 touchdowns through the air and 24 rushing touchdowns.

The Cowboys rank 5th in the National Football League in relation to their opponents scoring, conceding 20.1 points per game. They are allowing 4.4 yards per rushing attempt and 129.3 yards on the ground per game for the year. In total, they have given up 2,198 rushing yards through 17 games. Regarding passing yards, the Cowboys have allowed 3,415 yards which has them ranked 8th in the NFL. They have allowed 200.9 yards per contest through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 62.7%. During this campaign, they have allowed 330.2 yards per game which puts them 12th in the National Football League. They have granted 23 touchdowns through the air in addition to 9 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Buccaneers step onto the field holding a record of 8-9 for this season. In their last contest, the Buccaneers walked away with a loss by a score of 30-17 against the Falcons. Giovani Bernard ran the ball 7 times for 28 yards, finishing the contest with 4.0 yards per carry for Tampa Bay. Chris Godwin was featured in the passing game for the Buccaneers, hauling in 6 passes for 55 yards (9.2 yards per catch). Tom Brady (1 touchdown) ended the game with 84 yds on 13/17 passing while his quarterback rate was 106. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 4.9 yds. Tampa Bay conceded 35 rush attempts for 174 yards (5.0 yards per carry). The Buccaneers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 63.3%, relinquishing 208 yds on 19 for 30 through the air. The Buccaneers ended up finishing with 222 yards while they ran 54 plays (4.1 yards per play). Tampa Bay rushed the ball for 4.3 yds per carry, finishing with 86 yds on 20 carries.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers maintain an average of 346.7 yards per outing which has them sitting 15th out of all teams in the NFL. They hold an average of 76.9 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,308 yards for this season. The Tampa Bay offense has totaled 793 penalty yards on 99 violations, which ranks them 13th in the NFL in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 10 picks while letting opponents recover 12 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 240 first downs. Over the course of the season so far, the Buccaneers have compiled 4,586 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 269.8 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 2nd out of all NFL teams. When it comes to how much they score, the Buccaneers currently rank 25th out of all teams in the league averaging 18.4 PPG.

The Buccaneers are surrendering 21.1 PPG, which has them ranked 13th of all teams in the league. They have allowed the opposition 29 touchdowns through the air in addition to 203.6 yards/game, which has them sitting 9th in the NFL. This season, they have allowed 358 total points. Tampa Bay has allowed a total of 2,052 yards on the ground (120.7 yards/game) as well as 12 touchdowns via the rush this year. The Buccaneers defense has participated in 1,073 plays, which is good for 13th in the NFL. Their defense has earned 20 turnovers (10 fumbles recovered and 10 picks) on the year.

Who will win tonight's Cowboys/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Buccaneers +3

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