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College Football Totals Picks Week 6: Over or Under Predictions for Saturday

by Joey House - 10/6/2023

College football totals picks Week 6 Cameron Ward Washington State Cougars

Every week, I analyze the totals of the college games and give out what I feel are the best plays. Using Doc's proprietary "Unit Betting System," we hope to maximize our return on investment (ROI). The standard wagering unit will be $100.

Any week when you turn a profit is a good week. We went 3-2 last weekend, with an increase of 3.4 units. Penn State pulled a little trickery to get their final touchdown. There was no need to worry about Oklahoma's opponent scoring. They covered the 48 points themselves (they won 50-20).

My plays this week are heavy on the overs. I use multiple sources to analyze the games. And even though overs are typically the square play, they are warranted for this weekend. Playing conference games can be a mixed bag, with teams knowing each other so well, that they can keep the score low, and teams having revenge on their mind and running the score up a bit.

Doc’s Sports offers college football expert picks for every game on our college football predictions page.

No. 14 Washington State at UCLA (-3.5/59.5) Sat. 3:00 PM PAC-12 Network

Say what you will about UCLA coach Chip Kelly, but his offenses are rarely dull. Last week's hiccup against a stout Utah defense certainly lowered this opening total. Luckily for our over, Washington State has a porous defense. But they have an offense that racks up 532.3 yards per game, scoring 45.8 points (5th in the country). UCLA's 32 ppg seems paltry next to the Cougars' scoring. Washington State contests have gone over four out of five games. The average score of the last 10 games between these two schools is 32-28. I like Wazzu's offense; they were able to put up 31 against a good Wisconsin defense. PICK: Wash St vs. UCLA Over 59.5 for one unit

Syracuse at No. 13 North Carolina (-9.5/60) Sat. 3:30 PM ESPN

North Carolina's offense hasn't missed a beat since their offensive coordinator left to take the same job at Wisconsin. They are averaging 35.8 ppg and have scored 31 or more points in every contest this season. Most impressive was the 414 yards passing against a Minnesota defense that returned seven starters from a Top 10 defense. Meanwhile, Syracuse is 17th in the nation with 38.2 ppg. I see this being a close game at halftime, with the Tar Heels pulling away in the second half, causing the Orange to throw more. This total has already moved two and a half points from an opening of 57.5. PICK: Syracuse vs. UNC Over 60 one unit

No. 12 Oklahoma vs. No. 3 Texas (-5.5/60.5) Sat. Noon ABC

The final game between these two rivals while they reside in the Big 12. Next year, they are moving to the SEC. What gives me a slight pause in backing the over is that so many trends are pointing in that direction. First, you have two high-powered offenses, as Oklahoma averages 47.4 ppg and Texas is running at 36.0 clip. The Sooners average 510 yards per game, while the Longhorns go for 478.4. Texas has a better defense and has played a significantly tougher schedule. The Sooners are vulnerable, as they average allowing 212.8 yards and one touchdown. I occasionally use emotional angles, such as revenge games. Last season, Oklahoma's starting QB had been injured in the game before and didn't take a snap. Texas took 15 years of frustration (Texas was 5-10 SU against the Sooners) out and destroyed Oklahoma, 49-0. In the two seasons before, the total score reached 98 in the first and 103 in the second game. No quarter will be drawn, so if Texas gets up big, they will continue the onslaught. In games where Oklahoma is the dog, the over is 8-3. The Sooners have seen five of their last seven games go over the total. PICK: Oklahoma vs. Texas Over five units

North Texas at Navy (-6.5/61) Sat. 3:30 PM CBSSN

I did a double take on this game when I looked over the lines early in the week. Navy had trouble tying its shoes, let alone taking part in a shootout. However, upon further analysis, the Midshipmen have made tremendous progress in their rushing attack. North Texas is dead last in opponents scoring, allowing 43.0 ppg to their foes. Even with the worst defense in the country, they have managed to get two wins, albeit their last victory was against an FCS school. The Mean Green (North Texas's nickname) can move the ball themselves, averaging 466.3 ypg. If North Texas falls behind, which I believe they will, they are more than capable of mounting a serious aerial assault on the Midshipmen. If North Texas gets up, Navy will run through their defense. Either way, it means massive amounts of points. PICK: North Texas at Navy Over 61 two units

Season Total: 8-5 61.5%

Profit: +12.4 units

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