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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, 1/1/2023 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 17

by Josh Schonwald - 12/27/2022

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Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Date: Sunday, January 1, 2023

Location: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, MD

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Ravens (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 36

M&T Bank Stadium is the location where the Baltimore Ravens (10-5) will compete against the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-8) on Sunday. Pittsburgh opens this matchup as 3-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 36.

The Pittsburgh Steelers come into this matchup with a record of 7-8 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Steelers faced the Raiders and earned the victory with a final of 13-10. Kenny Pickett connected on 26/39 with 244 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 81.6 and ended the game with 1 interception. Pat Freiermuth had an average of 9.4 yds per reception by notching 66 yards on 7 catches. Najee Harris led the offense in rushing for the Steelers with 16 totes for 53 yds (3.3 yds per attempt). Overall, they tallied 66 plays which gave them 350 yards. The Pittsburgh Steelers ended up running the ball 27 different times and accumulated 106 yds, which came out to an average of 3.9 yards per tote. On the ground, the Steelers gave up 58 yds on 19 tries, which is an average of 3.1 yds per rush surrendered. Pittsburgh gave up 16 completions on 30 tries for 143 yards, and a completion rate of 53.3%.

In terms of scoring, the Pittsburgh Steelers are sitting at 17.6 points per contest. As a team they average 115.4 yards in the run game which has them sitting 18th in the league. The Steelers currently have 4,800 total yards for this campaign. Pittsburgh has a total of 170 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 84 penalties for 648 yds. They have surrendered the ball 18 times (14 picks and 4 fumbles lost). When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Pittsburgh has earned 10 touchdowns via the pass and 14 rushing touchdowns.

The Steelers rank 13th in the NFL in relation to their opponents scoring, allowing 21.3 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.0 yards per rush and 105.6 yards on the ground per game for the season. In total, they have conceded 1,584 rushing yards through 15 games. In terms of passing yards, the Steelers have surrendered 3,486 yards which puts them in 23rd in the National Football League. They have conceded 232.4 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 60.8%. Overall, they have surrendered 338.0 yards/game which has them sitting 18th in the National Football League. They have allowed 26 touchdowns by air in addition to 7 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Ravens head into this matchup 10-5 for this season. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Ravens went home victorious with a score of 17-9 when they played the Falcons. Gus Edwards ran the ball 11 times for 99 yards, finishing the contest with 9.0 yards per carry for Baltimore. Mark Andrews was one of the featured targets for the Ravens, catching 3 throws for 45 yds (15.0 yards per reception). Tyler Huntley (1 TD) walked away from the game with 115 yards on 9/17 through the air while his quarterback rating was 94. He didn't toss any interceptions and his avg yards per attempt was 6.8 yds. Baltimore gave up 33 run attempts for 115 yards (3.5 yards per rush). The Ravens passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 66.7%, relinquishing 212 yds on 22 for 33 through the air. The Ravens finished the contest with 299 yds while they ran 51 plays (5.9 yds per play). Baltimore rushed the football for 5.4 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 184 yds on 34 attempts.

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The Baltimore Ravens maintain an average of 342.3 yards per contest which ranks them 17th in the league. They maintain an average of 166.0 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 2,490 yards overall. The Baltimore offense has 626 yards of penalties on 73 violations, which ranks 30th in the league in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 10 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 129 first downs. During this campaign so far, the Ravens have compiled 2,644 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 176.3 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 28th in the NFL. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Ravens currently rank 15th in the league with an average of 21.4 points per game.

The Ravens are giving up 18.1 PPG, which has them sitting 3rd in the league. They have surrendered 18 touchdowns through the air and 239.5 yards per outing, which puts them in 24th in football. This year, they have allowed 272 total points. Baltimore has surrendered a total of 1,313 yards via the ground game (87.5 yards per outing) and 10 touchdowns on the ground for the year. The Ravens defense has been on the field for 913 plays, which ranks 7th in football. Their defense has compiled 24 takeaways (10 fumbles and 14 interceptions) for the season.

Who will win tonight's Steelers/Ravens NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Steelers +3

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