NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 7: Advice and Predictions

by Sean Barnard - 10/18/2022

NFL survivor pool picks Week 7 Bailey Zappe New England Patriots

The NFL season is flying by, and Week 7 is now upon us. The Philadelphia Eagles remain the only undefeated team in the NFL following their Sunday Night victory over the Cowboys. Underdogs had a strong week, going 7-6 straight up in Week 6. The most notable upset was the Pittsburgh Steelers, who took down the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-18 despite being eight-point underdogs. The Falcons (+5 vs 49ers), Jets (+7 vs Packers), and Giants (+5 vs Ravens) all also secured upset wins. The focus will now shift to Week 7, where six of the 14 matchups hold a spread of seven points or more. Here are the best survivor pool picks ranked from strongest to weakest.

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Monday Night: New England Patriots (-7.5) over Chicago Bears

Don’t look know, but the Patriots are rolling. Bailey Zappe has more than held down the fort with Mac Jones out, and heled the team to back-to-back convincing victories. In the past two weeks, they have outscored the Browns and Patriots by a combined score of 67-15. While many are downplaying the brewing quarterback controversy, the bottom-line is the Patriots are in good hands either way as both guys fit the system well. The team has found their identity as hard-nosed rushing team, while the Bears still aren’t sure what they are. Expect New England to cruise to a victory as Justin Fields continues to scramble for his life once again.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-10.5) over Carolina Panthers

The Panthers organization remains in a state of flux following the firing of Matt Rhule and continued trade rumors surrounding Christian McCaffrey. The Buccaneers are coming off the upset loss to the Steelers and will be seeking redemption. While Tom Brady may finally be looking human on the football field, the Buccaneers are still the more talented football team. Expect the inconsistent quarterback play from Baker Mayfield and numerous holes in the roster to be too much to overcome. This game could approach blowout territory.

Las Vegas Raiders (-7) over Houston Texans

The Raiders come into the matchup with a 1-4 record and will be in desperation mode. If they want to turn the season around, and get back in the playoff hunt, it must start with this week. Both teams are coming off their bye week, and Houston has shown signs of life this season. Regardless, the Raiders are the more talented team and are just looking to put the pieces together. Expect this to be the case and for the Raiders to take the first step in getting back in the playoff hunt.

Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) over Cleveland Browns

The Ravens enter the week with a record of 3-3 but have shown flashes of looking like a true contender. In contrast, the Browns are 2-4, with their defense looking especially poor. Baltimore is 12-2 straight up in the last 14 home games against Cleveland, and the Browns are 0-5 against the spread in the last five matchups overall. Expect Lamar Jackson to get back to the high level of play he flashed early in the season and for this to be too much for the Browns. Don’t be surprised if this game reaches blowout territory also.

Sunday Night: Miami Dolphins (-7) over Pittsburgh Steelers

Tua Tagovailoa is set to make his return to the field after his frightening head injury against the Bengals. Prior to his injury, the Dolphins were on a tear and started the season 3-0. The Pittsburgh Steelers will be riding some momentum into the matchup following their upset win over the Buccaneers last week. The Steelers are averaging just 16.2 points per game and rank 28th in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Expect the dynamic play of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle to prove to be too much and for the Steelers to be unable to produce enough points to keep up.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) over San Francisco 49ers

The Chiefs will be coming off their loss against the Bills in one of the best games of the season and will be looking for redepmtion. Patrick Mahomes will be the difference-maker in the matchup, and the offensive firepower the team possesses is set to cause problems for the 49ers. Jimmy Garoppolo is coming off a two-interception performance in which the team fell in disappointing fashion to the Falcons, 28-14. While Nick Bosa and Trent Williams have a chance to return this week, it still should not make a difference and Kansas City can be counted on to cruise past the banged-up Niners.

New York Giants (+3) over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Giants have advanced to 5-1 on the season following their 24-20 victory over the Ravens. Despite inconsistent quarterback play, New York just continues to find ways to win. Vegas clearly is not a believer, as the 2-4 Jaguars come in as the favorites. While Doug Pederson was 8-2 against the Giants during his time as the Eagles head coach, and seemingly has the more talented roster, don’t count out this Giants team. The Jaguars have shown to wildly inconsistent so far this season and are coming off three straight losses. Expect this to be a hard-fought matchup, but for the Giants to continue their miraculous run.

Cincinnati Bengals (-6) over Atlanta Falcons

It is tough to doubt this Atlanta Falcons team considering they are a perfect 6-0 against the spread so far to start the season. Marcus Mariota has exceeded expectations and deserves a ton of credit for helping lead them to their 3-3 record. Even still, the Bengals seem to be finding their stride and will be looking to move above .500 in the matchup. Cincinnati is 5-1 straight up in their last six matchups with the Falcons and will have their home crowd behind them. Don’t expect them to run away with the victory as some might expect, but count on the Bengals to get in the win column.

New York Jets (+3) over Denver Broncos

Denver is once again coming off a heartbreaking loss and has fallen to 2-4 on the season.

Despite Russell Wilson showing signs of life to start the game, he crumbled down the stretch and failed to pick up a first down during the overtime period against the Chargers. The offensive line continues to struggle, and there needs to be some serious schematic changes before the team will find success. Expect these struggles to continue against a Jets defense that has impressed so far this year and is coming off a 27-10 victory over the Packers in which they gave Aaron Rodgers trouble. Count on this being the biggest factor and for the Jets to keep the Broncos spiraling into their misery.

Thursday Night: Arizona Cardinals (-1.5) over New Orleans Saints

DeAndre Hopkins will be making his return to the field following his PED suspension and will hopefully provide the Cardinals offense with the boost they need. The Cardinals have been disappointing so far this season but still have a chance to right the ship. It is unclear who will suit up for the Saints, as it was speculated Andy Dalton could keep the quarterback job had he pulled off a win, but the team ultimately fell to the Bengals, 30-26. It won’t matter who is under center as Kyler Murray will be primed for an improved performance as the Saints continue to figure out what they are as a team.

Washington Commanders (+5.5) over Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers are coming off back-to-back disappointing losses, and it may be time to panic. They have struggled to protect Aaron Rodgers, and his failure to be on the same page as his wide receivers has shown face. While Carson Wentz will be missing the matchup due to a fractured finger, expect the defense to be the biggest factor. The Washington defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks on 37% of pass attempts compared to the league average of 22%. Look for this to be the biggest swing factor in the matchup and for the Commanders to pull off the upset.

Detroit Lions (+7) over Dallas Cowboys

While Dak Prescott is set to make his return to the Cowboys lineup, don’t expect it to be a seamless transition. In Week 1, he connected on just 14 of his 29 attempts for 134 yards and an interception. Dallas will also be facing off a scrappy Detroit Lions team that is better than their 1-4 record and coming off a bye week. Only one of the Lions losses has been by more than four points this year. Expect Detroit to make a statement and be well prepared as Dak Prescott settles back into his role.

Tennessee Titans (-3) over Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have begun quite the season turnaround by winning three of their last four games and bringing their record back to .500. They also will be looking for revenge after the Titans beat them in Week 4 by a score of 24-17. This is sure to be a hard-nosed matchup, and the status of Jonathan Taylor is one to watch. He has not played since the Week 4 matchup with Tennessee, and this likely will be a ground-and-pound game whether he is in the lineup or not. Regardless, lean toward the Titans coming out on top, but this is sure to be a close matchup that you are better off avoiding.

Los Angeles Chargers (-7) over Seattle Seahawks

The Chargers will be riding a three-game winning streak, although their most recent win was far from convincing. They will face a difficult challenge against a Seahawks team that has surprised some people. Geno Smith remains the NFL’s leader in completion percentage at 73.4% on the season, and Seattle us 11-5 straight up in their last 16 matchups with the Chargers. This will be a closer matchup than many expect. And while the Chargers should still come out on top, this Seahawks team has proven you cannot count them out.

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