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NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 14: Advice and Predictions

by Sean Barnard - 12/7/2022

NFL survivor pool picks Week 14 Dallas Cowboys

It was a hectic Week 13 of football that included favorites going 11-3-1 straight up but just 8-7 against the spread. There is still plenty up in the air during the final weeks of the season, as four of the eight divisions are separated by a game or less. This is the final week of byes as the Falcons, Bears, Packers, Colts, Saints, and Commanders will each be taking the week off. This will be limiting for each survivor pool pick, but there is still plenty of intriguing picks on the board. While your options are surely getting limited, here are the best survivor pool picks ranked from strongest to weakest.

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Dallas Cowboys (-17) over Houston Texans

If you have not selected the Cowboys yet this season, this is a slam dunk pick. The 9-3 Cowboys will face off with the 1-10-1 Texans, who rank 31st in scoring and last in yards on the season. Houston is also allowing the 9th most points in the league and 5th most yards. Dallas has put forth a string of impressive performances and are riding a three-game winning streak coming into this matchup. Expect them to continue paving their path to the playoffs and make this a convincing victory.

Kansas City Chiefs (-9) over Denver Broncos

The Denver Broncos seem to find new ways to lose just about every week and have now fallen to 3-9 on the season. They are averaging a league-worst 13.8 points per game and most recently lost 10-9 to the Ravens on a last-second touchdown by Tyler Huntley. The Chiefs are leading the NFL in points and yards this season and possess a caliber of offense the Broncos will struggle to keep up with. Don’t be surprised if this turns into an early blowout as Patrick Mahomes gives his best effort to carve up the Denver defense -- and the Broncos will surely lack the firepower to keep up.

Thursday Night: Las Vegas Raiders (-6) over Los Angeles Rams

The Raiders have not been a reliable team this season but have looked to be turning things around of late. They enter this game on a three-game winning streak and have moved to 5-7 on the year. In contrast, the Rams have lost six consecutive games and will continue to be without Matthew Stafford. Los Angeles added Baker Mayfield, but it would be a rapid turnaround if he is to get some time on Thursday. The Raiders must get a win if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive, and expect this to be the case.

Buffalo Bills (-9.5) over New York Jets

Lightning rarely strikes twice, and the Jets already picked up an upset win over the Bills in Week 9 by a score of 20-17. New York has been playing some great football, and Mike White seems to have injected some new life into this team. Their defense is the real deal but will be put to the test against the Buffalo offense. The Bills have a 9-3 record on the season and are coming off a commanding 24-10 win over the Patriots on Thursday Night. Expect them to get some revenge for earlier in the season and get back in the win column in this matchup.

Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) over Carolina Panthers

The Carolina Panthers have won two of their last three and sit at 4-8 on the season. They have put up more of a fight than most expected since trading Christian McCaffrey and firing Matt Rhule midseason. However, they will face off with a 7-5 Seahawks team that ranks 5th in the NFL in scoring and 9th in yards. They sit just one game behind the 49ers for first place in the NFC West, and the Jimmy Garoppolo injury has opened the door for them to make a climb. Expect Seattle to put forth a complete performance and get the victory in this one.

Cincinnati Bengals (-6) over Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson made his long-awaited return to the football field and led the team to a 27-14 win over the Texans last week. However, neither Watson nor the Browns looked particularly good in the matchup. The quarterback completed just 12 of his 22 attempts for 131 yards and an threw an interception. Watson will have a more difficult task against the Bengals, who are on a four-game winning streak and have won eight of their last 10. The Browns took down the Bengals on October 31 by a score of 32-13, so Cincinnati will also be hungry for revenge. Their offensive line has been doing a much better job, which is crucial to their success. Expect the Bengals to continue paving their path to the playoffs and secure a convincing double-digit victory.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) over San Francisco 49ers

The news of Jimmy Garoppolo’s injury has put a real damper on expectations for the 49ers. They looked to be climbing the ranks of the true contenders but will now turn to rookie Brock Purdy to steer the ship. It will be a difficult matchup against the Buccaneers, who are coming off a throwback come-from-behind win from Tom Brady on Monday night. Tampa Bay holds a narrow lead in the NFC South with their 6-6 record and have a postseason berth in sight. Expect them to take care of the rookie quarterback and get the victory in this one.

Philadelphia Eagles (-7) over New York Giants

The Eagles have looked unstoppable and are coming off a convincing 35-10 win over the Titans to move to 11-1 on the year. In contrast, the Giants are coming off a disheartening 20-20 tie against the Commanders and sit at 7-4-1 on the season. New York has a lot to play for as they are barely holding onto their spot in the playoffs but will be overmatched by this Philadelphia team. While some divisional magic will likely keep this game close, don’t expect the Giants to be the team to hand Philadelphia their second loss.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) over Baltimore Ravens

Don’t count out Mike Tomlin from keeping his streak of never having a losing streak alive as the Steelers have now moved to 5-7 on the year. Baltimore moved to 8-4 following a last second touchdown by Tyler Huntley to take down the Broncos by a score of 10-9. Lamar Jackson suffered a PCL sprain in his knee during the matchup and does not look likely to suit up this week. This is the first matchup of the season between the AFC North foes and one that is important to each team. The Steelers defense has woken up in recent weeks and are allowing the fifth-fewest yards per game during over the past four weeks. Expect Pittsburgh to take advantage of the shorthanded Ravens and for them to continue their improved level of play.

Minnesota Vikings (+2.5) over Detroit Lions

The Vikings continue their streak of winning games they statistically shouldn’t and have moved to 10-2 on the year. During their most recent win over the Jets, they were outgained 486-287 in the matchup but still secured the win. They also rank 29th in the NFL in net yards per play and 30th in opponents’ yards per play. The Lions have seen momentum shift and rank 6th in scoring and 7th in yards on the season. Detroit has also won four of their last five matchups. Expect this to be a high-scoring matchup but for the Vikings to find a way to win.

Sunday Night: Miami Dolphins @ Los Angeles Chargers (-3)

The Dolphins saw their momentum halted after a 33-17 loss to the 49ers to drop to 8-4 on the season. San Francisco put forth a masterful gameplan to contain the high-powered Miami offense, but the Chargers defense does not have the personnel to match this. They rank 30th in the NFL in points allowed and 26th in yards this season. While Los Angeles has shown some signs of life and sit at 6-6 on the season, count on Miami to get back on the right track. This will be a high-powered offensive matchup between the 5th and 6th overall picks in the 2020 draft, but expect Tua Tagovailoa and the more complete team alongside him to get the upper hand.

Tennessee Titans (-3.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars

The 7-5 Titans will face off with the 4-8 Jaguars after being blown out by the Eagles, 35-10. Derrick Henry was limited to just 30 yards on 11 carries, and they were thrown off their gameplan right away. Jacksonville is also coming off a 40-14 loss to the Lions, and it is difficult to have complete faith in either team. Tennessee is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 meetings with the Jaguars. As the Titans continue to make their playoff push, expect them to get back on track and secure the victory in this one.

Monday Night: New England Patriots (-1) over Arizona Cardinals

The Patriots have lost two consecutive games to fall to 6-6 and now sit outside the playoff picture. They will travel to Arizona to face off with the 4-8 Cardinals, who are also on a two-game skid and are even further removed from getting in the playoffs.  New England’s offensive has become big play dependent, and this is not ideal considering the lack of playmakers. While the Arizona defense is friendly to opposing offenses, New England has also struggled defending mobile quarterbacks. This loss will likely eliminate the Patriots from playoff contention, so expect them to play with desperation. However, there has been too much inconsistent play to trust New England. 

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