New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 12/5/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

by Josh Schonwald - 11/29/2022

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Game: New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Date: Monday, December 5, 2022

Location: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40

The New Orleans Saints (4-8) are hitting the road to Raymond James Stadium on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6). Tampa Bay opens as 3.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under is 40.

The New Orleans Saints come into this matchup with a record of 4-8 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Saints played the 49ers and took a loss by a score of 13-0. Andy Dalton went 18/29 with 204 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 83.1 and walked away from the game without throwing an interception. Andy Dalton was the rushing leader for the Saints with 4 attempts for 21 yds (5.3 yds per attempt). Chris Olave averaged 12.4 yds per catch by earning 62 yds on 5 catches. The New Orleans Saints ended up rushing 22 times and amassed 63 yds, which is an average of 2.9 yds per attempt. In all, they had 53 plays which gave them a total of 260 yds. New Orleans gave up 26 completions on 37 tries for 221 yds, and a completion percentage of 70.3%. Against the run, the Saints gave up 96 yds on 29 tries, which calculates to 3.3 yards per rush allowed.

When talking about scoring points, the New Orleans Saints have an average of 20.8 points per contest. As a team they average 113.2 yards via the ground game which ranks them 22nd in the league. The Saints have earned 4,167 yards in total for this campaign. New Orleans has accrued 136 first downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 80 infractions for 661 yards. They have surrendered the ball 21 different times (12 interceptions and 9 fumbles). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New Orleans has compiled 19 touchdowns via the pass and 9 touchdowns via the ground.

The Saints rank 20th in the National Football League in terms of team defense, allowing 23.3 points per game. The opposition is running for 4.5 yards per run and 129.1 rushing yards per contest over the course of this season. Overall, they have given up 1,549 rushing yards through 12 games. When talking about yards via the pass, the Saints have surrendered 2,368 yards which has them sitting in 10th in the NFL. They are conceding 197.3 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 62.2%. For the season, they have surrendered 326.4 yards per game putting them 11th in the league. They have relinquished 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 11 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Buccaneers head into this game 5-6 this season. In their last game, the Buccaneers went home defeated by a final of 23-17 against the Browns. Tom Brady (2 TDs) finished the game with 246 yards on 29/43 through the air while his QB rating was 97.6. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.7 yards. Rachaad White carried the ball 14 times for 64 yards, finishing the contest with 4.6 yards per attempt for Tampa Bay. Chris Godwin had the best day in terms of receiving for the Buccaneers, grabbing 12 passes for 110 yds (9.2 yds per catch). Tampa Bay ran for 4.8 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 96 yards on 20 carries. The Buccaneers finished the contest with a total of 325 yards on 66 plays (4.9 yds per play). The Buccaneers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 62.2%, relinquishing 178 yards on 23 for 37 passing. Tampa Bay allowed 34 running attempts for 189 yds (5.6 yards per rush).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are averaging 339.1 yards per outing which is good for 18th in the league. They are averaging 73.0 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 803 yards overall. The Tampa Bay offense has compiled 523 yds of penalties on 64 infractions, which is good for 17th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 3 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to tally 149 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Buccaneers have compiled 2,927 passing yards along with holding an average of 266.1 passing yards per contest, ranking them 5th in the league. When it comes to how much they score, the Buccaneers sit 27th in the NFL by scoring 18.2 points per outing.

The Buccaneers are surrendering 18.5 points per contest, which has them ranked 7th of all teams in the NFL. They have conceded 17 touchdowns through the air and 192.0 yards per contest, which puts them in 6th in the NFL. Over the course of the season, they have given up 203 total points. Tampa Bay has allowed a total of 1,355 yards rushing (123.2 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns by way of the ground game this season. The Buccaneers defense has been on the field for 694 plays, which is good for 11th in the league. They have compiled 11 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 7 picks) this season.

Who will win tonight's Saints/Buccaneers NFL game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Saints +3.5

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New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 12/5/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 13

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