Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 12/26/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

by Tony Sink - 12/19/2022

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Game: Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Date: Monday, December 26, 2022

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Colts (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 47

The Indianapolis Colts (4-9-1) will compete against the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday. Los Angeles opens this game as 3.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is 47.

The Los Angeles Chargers step onto the field holding a record of 8-6 for this year. The last time they stepped on the gridiron, the Chargers faced the Titans and walked away with a win by a score of 17-14. Austin Ekeler was the rushing leader for the Chargers with 12 attempts for 58 yards (4.8 yards per attempt). Keenan Allen held an average of 10.8 yds per catch by accounting for 86 yds on 8 catches. Justin Herbert connected on 28/42 with 313 yards through the air. He had a QB rate of 68.8 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Against the run, the Chargers gave up 127 yds on 27 tries, which is an average of 4.7 yards per run allowed. Los Angeles conceded 18 pass completions on 26 tries for a total of 157 yards, and a completion rate of 69.2%. When all was said and done, they ran 69 plays which converted into 365 yds. The Los Angeles Chargers rushed the ball a total of 24 different times and totaled 74 yards, earning them an average of 3.1 yds per attempt.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Los Angeles Chargers hold an average of 22.3 points per game. As a team they're holding an average of 83.7 yards via the ground game which ranks them 31st in the league. The Chargers have racked up 5,011 total yards for this campaign. Los Angeles has tallied 193 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 68 penalties for 522 yards. They have surrendered the football 15 times (9 picks and 6 fumbles lost). In terms of scoring touchdowns, Los Angeles has compiled 21 touchdowns through the air and 11 rushing touchdowns.

The Chargers are ranked 25th in the National Football League when it comes to team defense, conceding 24.3 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.3 yards per run and 145.6 yards on the ground per contest this season. Overall, they have conceded 2,038 rushing yards through 14 outings. Regarding yards via the pass, the Chargers have given up 2,925 yards which has them ranked 11th in the league. They have surrendered 208.9 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 62.1%. For the season, they have given up 354.5 yards per outing which puts them 21st in the National Football League. They have given up 21 touchdowns through the air and 15 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Colts head into this game 4-9-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Colts took a defeat with a final score of 39-36 against the Vikings. Matt Ryan (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 182 yards on 19/33 passing while his quarterback rating was 83.1. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his Y/A was 5.5 yds. Zack Moss ran the ball 24 times for 81 yds, finishing the game with 3.4 yds per carry for Indianapolis. Michael Pittman Jr. was the top contributor in the passing game for the Colts, hauling in 10 balls for 60 yds (6.0 yards per catch). Indianapolis ran for 4.0 yds per carry, finishing the game with 171 yds on 43 carries. The Colts finished the game with 341 yards and they ran 79 plays (4.3 yds per play). The Colts pass defense conceded a completion rate of 61.8%, surrendering 426 yds on 34 for 55 through the air. Indianapolis allowed 24 rushing attempts for 92 yds (3.8 yds per carry).

When looking at the points being put on the board, the Colts are sitting 29th in the NFL scoring 17.5 points per contest. For the season to this point, the Colts currently have a total of 3,002 passing yards as well as holding an average of 214.4 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 19th in the NFL. They hold an average of 105.2 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,473 yards overall. The Indianapolis Colts hold an average of 319.6 yards per contest ranking them 24th in football. The Indianapolis offense has 713 yards of penalties on 78 violations, which is good for 19th in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 14 picks while surrendering 13 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 167 first downs.

They have allowed the opposition 20 touchdowns from the passing game and 205.6 yards/outing, which has them ranked 10th out of all teams. Indianapolis has surrendered a total of 1,732 rushing yards (123.7 yards per game) as well as 16 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the year. They have 15 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions) so far this year. The Colts defense has been on the field for 900 plays, which ranks 22nd in football. This season, they have surrendered 337 total points. The Colts are conceding 24.1 PPG, which has them sitting 23rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Chargers/Colts NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Colts +3.5

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Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction, 12/26/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

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