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Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, 10/10/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 5

by Tony Sink - 10/4/2022

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Game: Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Date: Monday, October 10, 2022

Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)

Total/Over-Under: 50.5

The Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) will go up against the Las Vegas Raiders (1-3) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday. Kansas City is 6.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 50.5.

The Las Vegas Raiders head into this matchup 1-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Raiders faced the Broncos and notched a win by a score of 32-23. Josh Jacobs was the leader on the ground for the Raiders with 28 attempts for 144 yds (5.1 yds per carry). Davante Adams had an average of 11.2 yards per reception by accounting for 101 yards on 9 receptions. Derek Carr finished 21/34 with 188 yds through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 76.6 and walked away from the game with no picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Raiders conceded 85 yds on 20 attempts, which calculates to 4.3 yards per rush allowed. Las Vegas gave up 17 completions on 25 attempts for a total of 214 yds, and a completion percentage of 68.0%. For the game, they ran 74 plays which gave them 385 yds. The Las Vegas Raiders ended up rushing 38 different times and totaled 212 yds, which is an average of 5.6 yds per attempt.

The Raiders have earned 1,425 total yards for this campaign. Las Vegas has accrued 56 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 23 infractions for 148 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Las Vegas has earned 6 touchdowns through the air and 2 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 5 times (4 interceptions and 1 fumble lost). As a team they maintain an average of 113.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 14th in the National Football League. In terms of scoring, the Las Vegas Raiders are sitting at 24.0 points per contest.

The Raiders are ranked 23rd in the NFL concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 25.0 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 3.9 yards per run and 103.3 yards on the ground per contest for the season. During the season, they have given up 413 rushing yards through 4 games. In terms of yards via the pass, the Raiders have conceded 1,015 yards which puts them in 22nd in the NFL. They have conceded 253.8 yards per contest via the pass in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 68.9%. During this campaign, they are granting 357.0 yards per game which has them ranked 22nd in the league. They have allowed 7 touchdowns via the pass as well as 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Chiefs head into this game 3-1 for this season. In their last game, the Chiefs walked away with a victory by a final of 41-31 when they faced the Buccaneers. Clyde Edwards-Helaire carried the rock 19 times for 92 yds, finishing the game with 4.8 yards per carry for Kansas City. Travis Kelce was one of the featured targets for the Chiefs, catching 9 balls for 92 yds (10.2 yards per reception). Patrick Mahomes (3 TDs) walked away from the contest with 249 yards on 23/37 through the air while his quarterback rating was 97.7. He had 1 pick and his avg yards per attempt was 6.7 yards. Kansas City conceded 6 run attempts for 3 yds (0.5 yds per rush). The Chiefs passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 75.0%, relinquishing 373 yds on 39 out of 52 passing. The Chiefs finished with a total of 417 yds while running 77 plays (5.4 yds per play). Kansas City ran the ball for 5.1 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 189 yds on 37 attempts.

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Regarding the points being put on the board, the Chiefs currently rank 2nd out of all teams in the NFL by scoring 32.3 PPG. During the season thus far, the Chiefs have compiled 1,071 yards through the air in addition to holding an average of 267.8 passing yards per contest, ranking them 7th in the NFL. They hold an average of 117.0 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 468 yards overall. The Kansas City Chiefs average 384.8 yards per contest which has them ranked 4th in football. The Kansas City offense has totaled 156 penalty yds on 19 infractions, which ranks 27th in the league in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 2 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 62 1st downs.

They have allowed the opposition 10 touchdowns via the pass and 263.8 yards/outing, which has them ranked 27th in the league. Kansas City has surrendered a total of 263 yards rushing (65.8 yards per outing) and 2 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have tallied 4 takeaways (3 fumbles recovered and 1 pick) on the year. The Chiefs defense has participated in 265 plays, which is 25th in football. This year, they have relinquished 96 total points. The Chiefs are allowing 24.0 PPG, which has them ranked 21st of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Raiders/Chiefs NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chiefs -6.5

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