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Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 10/17/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 6

by Guy Bruhn - 10/11/2022

nfl picks Mike Williams los angeles chargers predictions best bet odds

Game: Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Monday, October 17, 2022

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Chargers (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) will compete against the Denver Broncos (2-3) at SoFi Stadium on Monday. Los Angeles opens this matchup as 4-point favorites. The betting total is set at 47.5.

The Denver Broncos step onto the field holding a record of 2-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Broncos faced off with the Colts and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 12-9. Russell Wilson went 21/39 with 274 yards passing. He had a QB rating of 54.9 and walked away from the contest with 2 interceptions. Melvin Gordon led the offense in rushing for the Broncos with 15 attempts for 54 yards (3.6 yds per carry). Eric Saubert averaged 7.2 yards per catch by tallying 36 yards on 5 catches. The Denver Broncos ran the rock 28 different times and compiled 125 yds, earning them an average of 4.5 yds per carry. In all, they tallied 71 plays which converted into 375 yds. Denver allowed 26 completions on 41 tries for 200 yards, and a completion rate of 63.4%. Against the run, the Broncos conceded 106 yards on 26 tries, which averages out to 4.1 yds per run allowed.

Regarding scoring, the Denver Broncos are sitting at 15.0 points per game. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 112.6 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 19th in the NFL. The Broncos have tallied 1,718 yards in total this season. Denver has earned 50 1st downs, and they have been hurt by 44 penalties for 335 yds. They have turned the football over 6 times (3 interceptions and 3 fumbles). In terms of notching touchdowns, Denver has totaled 4 touchdowns via the pass and 2 touchdowns via the ground.

The Broncos rank 4th in the NFL concerning team defense, conceding 16.0 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.7 yards per run and 112.4 rushing yards per game this season. Over the course of this year, they have given up 562 running yards through 5 games. When talking about passing yardage, the Broncos have allowed 883 yards which ranks them 1st in the league. They have conceded 176.6 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 62.9%. Overall, they are conceding 289.0 yards per game ranking them 3rd in the National Football League. They have surrendered 3 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Chargers come into this game with a record of 3-2 for this year. When they last took the field, the Chargers walked away with a victory by a final of 30-28 when they played the Browns. Justin Herbert (1 touchdown) ended the game with 228 yards on 22/34 through the air while his QB rate was 93.7. He didn't throw any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 6.7 yds. Austin Ekeler carried the football 16 times for 173 yards, finishing the contest with 10.8 yards per carry for Los Angeles. Mike Williams was one of the featured targets for the Chargers, bringing in 10 footballs for 134 yards (13.4 yds per reception). Los Angeles rushed for 7.0 yds per carry, finishing with 238 yards on 34 carries. The Chargers finished the game with 465 yards on 69 plays (6.7 yards per play). The Chargers secondary gave up a completion rate of 61.8%, surrendering 230 yds on 21 for 34 passing. Los Angeles surrendered 31 attempts on the ground for 213 yds (6.9 yds per rush).

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The Los Angeles Chargers are averaging 390.4 yards per outing which is good for 5th in the NFL. They are averaging 99.2 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 496 yards for this year. The Los Angeles offense has racked up 178 penalty yards on 25 violations, which is good for 26th in football in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 2 picks while conceding 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 68 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Chargers currently have a total of 1,456 yards through the air along with an average of 291.2 passing yards per contest, ranking them 2nd in football. When discussing their ability to score points, the Chargers are ranked 9th out of all teams in football holding an average of 24.4 PPG.

They have given up 10 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 237.8 yards/outing, which puts them in 20th in the league. Los Angeles has surrendered a total of 652 rushing yards (130.4 yards per contest) in addition to 5 touchdowns by ground this year. Their defense has 6 turnovers (0 fumbles recovered and 6 interceptions) over the course of the season. The Chargers defense taken the field for 303 plays, which is 7th in the NFL. This season, they have conceded 136 total points. The Chargers are surrendering 27.2 PPG, which has them in 30th of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Broncos/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Chargers -4

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