Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

by Tony Sink - 11/21/2022

nfl picks Amon-Ra St. Brown detroit lions predictions best bet odds

Game: Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions

Date: Thursday, November 24, 2022

Location: Ford Field in Detroit, MI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Lions (+10)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

Ford Field is the location where the Detroit Lions (4-6) will try to beat the Buffalo Bills (7-3) on Thursday. Detroit opens this contest as 10-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 51.5.

The Buffalo Bills step onto the field holding a record of 7-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Bills played the Browns and took home the win by a score of 31-23. Josh Allen connected on 18/27 with 197 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 100.4 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. James Cook was the rushing leader for the Bills with 11 carries for 86 yds (7.8 yds per attempt). Dawson Knox had an average of 10.0 yards per catch by accumulating 70 yards on 7 catches. The Buffalo Bills ran the ball 33 different times and tallied 171 yards, earning them an average of 5.2 yards per attempt. For the game, they had 62 plays which gave them a total of 357 yds. Buffalo surrendered 28 pass completions on 41 attempts for 316 yds, and a completion rate of 68.3%. Against the rush, the Bills gave up 80 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 3.1 yds per rush surrendered.

The Bills currently have 4,174 total yards this season. Buffalo has earned 140 1st downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 58 penalties for 448 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Buffalo has compiled 21 passing touchdowns and 9 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 18 different times (10 picks and 8 fumbles lost). As a unit they hold an average of 134.0 yards via the ground game which ranks them 9th in the league. Regarding putting points on the board, the Buffalo Bills hold an average of 28.1 PPG.

Concerning passing yardage, the Bills have surrendered 2,208 yards which has them ranked 18th in football. They have yielded 220.8 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 64.8%. For the year, they are surrendering 327.4 yards per contest putting them at 13th in the NFL. They have conceded 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.3 yards per rushing attempt and 106.6 rushing yards per game for the year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,066 rushing yards through 10 games. The Bills are ranked 4th in the NFL in terms of team defense, conceding 17.4 PPG.

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The Lions head into this game 4-6 this season. The last time they stepped on the football field, the Lions took home the win by a final score of 31-18 when they played the Giants. Jared Goff ended the game with 165 yards on 17/26 through the air while his QB rate was 83. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 6.3 yds. Amon-Ra St. Brown was a featured target for the Lions, bringing in 7 throws for 76 yards (10.9 yds per reception). Justin Jackson ran the football 9 times for 66 yds, finishing the game with 7.3 yds per carry for Detroit. The Lions ended up finishing with 325 yards on 63 plays (5.2 yards per play). Detroit rushed the ball for 4.3 yards per tote, finishing with 160 yds on 37 attempts. Detroit conceded 26 running attempts for 89 yds (3.4 yds per rush). The Lions passing defense gave up a completion rate of 61.4%, relinquishing 324 yds on 27 for 44 through the air.

When discussing their ability to score points, the Lions currently sit 8th in the league averaging 25.0 PPG. For the year thus far, the Lions have compiled 2,338 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 233.8 throwing yards per outing, which ranks 11th in the league. They average 132.8 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,328 yards in total. The Detroit Lions average 366.6 yards/game which ranks them 6th out of all teams in the league. The Detroit offense has racked up 481 penalty yards on 58 violations, which ranks them 20th in the league in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 7 interceptions while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have earned 121 1st downs.

They have yielded 16 touchdowns from the passing game and 262.2 yards/game, which has them sitting 28th in the league. Detroit has allowed the opposition a total of 1,537 rushing yards (153.7 yards per game) and 17 touchdowns by ground for the season. Their defense has tallied 13 takeaways (5 fumbles recovered and 8 picks) so far this season. The Lions defense has been on the field for 652 plays, which is 24th in the league. This year, they have given up 282 points in total. The Lions are conceding 28.2 PPG, which has them sitting 32nd of all teams in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bills/Lions NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bills -10

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Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions Prediction, 11/24/2022 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 12

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