NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 7: Advice and Predictions
It’s incredible to think that we are nearly halfway through the 2021/22 NFL Season and yet we are so far away from understanding which teams are “legitimately good” and which teams are just pretenders. Don’t get me wrong, preseason favorites like Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Kansas City and Green Bay have played well enough to justify their ability and capability to win the Lombardi Trophy, but the only remaining unbeaten team is the Arizona Cardinals, who, are quite quickly becoming the “best team in the league” according to some. Then you have teams like the Ravens, Cowboys, Rams and Chargers and Raiders who all have major flaws that weaken the argument for them. Either way, we are a long way away from understanding which teams are major players this year, so we’ll continue to plug away and let the bigger picture unfold in due time.
As far as last week’s results go, we hit on 12 of 14 selections, which is crazy. However, when you look at the results, nearly every favorite won, which means that sportsbooks had a terrible weekend as the public crushed them. Favorites not only won outright, but they also covered the spread at a crazy rate, including OT wins from Minnesota and Dallas. Let’s try and keep the momentum going into Week 7.
Here are my survivor plays ranked from strongest to weakest for Week 6 of the National Football League Season. The team I list first is my selection.
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New Orleans Saints over Seattle Seahawks: Kudos to the Seahawks for battling back last week against the Steelers. They did lose in OT, but Geno Smith showed a few positive things. This week, however, the Saints will roll into town and win the game because they are a much deeper and more talented team that both the Seahawks, and their opponent last week, the Steelers.
Arizona Cardinals over Houston Texans: Any bet against the Texans is a good bet. The Cardinals may very well the best team in the league, and we don’t see them losing at home to the Texans.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers over Chicago Bears: I don’t want to bet against Tom Brady because it’s simply not a smart business decision. If you can avoid wagering the spread in this game, please do so. The spread may be close, but who will win will never be in doubt.
Kansas City Chiefs over Tennessee Titans: The Titans were flat out lucky to win Monday night against the Bills. If you replay that 4th and inches 100 times, Allen gets the half yard 99 percent of the time, and the Bills likely score a touchdown for the win. The Chiefs are the better team, and they finally put it all together last week. I expect them to keep it rolling here this week.
Los Angeles Rams over Detroit Lions: This is the Matthew Stafford/Jared Goff revenge game. Both QB’s face their former teams (they were traded for each other), but it will be Stafford who gets the last laugh. He should be able to shred the Lions defense and make them realize that it was the defense that was the cause of him wasting away the prime of his career. Rams by a landslide.
Indianapolis Colts over San Francisco 49ers: Maybe Jimmy G returns, maybe he doesn’t. Either way, I’m taking the Colts in this one as I’m so far over the 49ers and their inconsistent ways, it’s not even funny anymore.
Carolina Panthers over New York Giants: The Panthers showed a lot of resolve to fight back from an 11-point hole late in the fourth only to lose in overtime. The Giants were a complete no-show against the Rams and got booed off their home field. I’ll take the better coached team here – the Panthers, and the team with the better overall defense – the Panthers.
Green Bay Packers over Washington Football Team: Do you want to get in front of this Green Bay machine? I know I don’t. The Pack should have no issues winning this game on their home soil.
Cincinnati Bengals over Baltimore Ravens: Call this a hunch play, but I don’t think the Ravens are as good as they’ve shown over the last few weeks. They were catching the Chargers at the right time last week. However, now in a division showdown with a good Bengals team, I see a close game that could go either way. When all the chips are in, I’ll take Burrow to make one more accurate throw than Jackson.
New York Jets over New England Patriots: The Patriots gave it their best shot last week and failed to beat the Cowboys. Now they take on the lowly Jets, and I don’t see them getting up for this one considering both teams stink. The Jets did show a little bit of positive play in London. And with an extra week to prepare, we’ll take a shot with them here.
Philadelphia Eagles over Las Vegas Raiders: The Raiders were easy money last week over the Broncos. I just don’t see them coming out with that same authority against an NFC opponent. The Eagles went toe-to-toe with the Bucs for the most part and should have an easier time moving the ball up and down the field against the Raiders’ defense.
Atlanta Falcons over Miami Dolphins: Typically, when teams go to London, they have a bye week right after. That’s not the case for the Dolphins, and we are going to fade them here. You must think a rested Falcons team can win this game over a depleted Dolphins side that squandered a lead and lost on a last second field-goal.
Cleveland Browns over Denver Broncos: The status of Baker Mayfield is up in the air for this one, which is why it’s listed to low on the confidence order. However, Cleveland is still the far superior team, and they could probably beat the Broncos with either Case Keenum or Nick Mullens under center.
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