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NFL Office Pool Picks Week 3 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions

by Chris Vasile - 9/22/2021

NFL office pool picks Week 3 Sam Darnold Carolina Panthers

It’s Week 3 of the National Football League season. And while we barely survived “overreaction week,” it’s time to move onwards and upwards into this weekend’s slate of games. There are a few great games on tap that I’m looking forward to, such as the Rams vs Bucs and Packers vs Niners, and then some duds such as the Thursday night contest between the Panthers and Texans. Nonetheless, I am here to offer up my opinion and free selections on every NFL game against the spread, and I wish you nothing but good fortune for Week 3.

Doc’s Sports offers NFL picks for every game on our NFL predictions page.

Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

Carolina Panthers -8 over Houston Texans: This line opened up at Panthers -3.5. However, with news that Tyrod Taylor is out for Houston, the line quickly jumped to over a touchdown. Not sure Davis Mills is ready to start an NFL game yet, so I’ll take the team with the better offense and defense. Panthers by double-digits in this one.

Baltimore Ravens -8 over Detroit Lions: The Lions have given it their all in two games and have nothing to show for it. Now they have to deal with Lamar Jackson and company, and I don’t see that ending well. Detroit will be chasing shadows, and the Ravens will cover this big number.

Arizona Cardinals -7.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars: This could be the trap game of the week, but I don’t see the Jaguars’ defense holding up against the Cardinals’ offense. Kyler Murray is playing out of his mind right now. And if there ever was a game for the Cards’ defense to step up and put together a good game, it would be against a poor Jaguars’ offense.

Atlanta Falcons +3 over New York Giants: I’ll take the team with the better quarterback in this one, and that’s the Falcons with Matt Ryan. The Giants just don’t seem to have “it” working right now. And while both teams desperately need a win, the Falcons might have the edge on defense.

New Orleans Saints +2.5 over New England Patriots: I believe this line is an overreaction to what we saw in Week 2. The Saints got blown out by the Panthers, while the Patriots beat the Jets. The Saints have the better talent on both sides of the ball, and I don’t believe Mac Jones will hold up well against the Saints’ front seven. Take the points.

Cleveland Browns -7 over Chicago Bears: Both teams got their first win of the season last week, but it’s the Browns who I trust more here. Baker Mayfield should be able to outplay Andy Dalton (or rookie Justin Fields), and the Browns should be able to run the ball against an overrated Bears’ defense.

Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 over Cincinnati Bengals: There are a lot of problems with the Steelers on offense, but I think those get corrected here against a poor Bengals defense. The Steelers need this game more than the Bengals do just based on reputation, and we see them coming out and hanging a big number here. Lay the points.

Tennessee Titans -5 over Indianapolis Colts: The Colts have done nothing worth nothing through two games this season, while the Titans will be fresh off their 14-point comeback win vs Seattle. They got back to basics by feeding Derrick Henry the ball as many times as possible, and they should do the same here and run the ball down the Colts’ throat. Rumors have it that Wentz is hobbled (surprise, surprise), so the Titans’ defense may actually have a good game here.

Buffalo Bills -8.5 over Washington Football Team: The Bills offense got rolling last week at Miami and should keep it going this week against a Washington side that let the Giants score 29 points on them. Buffalo’s defense should be able to contain Taylor Heinicke much better than the G-Men could. Lay the points here.

Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 over Los Angeles Chargers: I want to take the points with the Chargers, but how do you trust a team that continuously finds ways to lose football games? The Chiefs let last week’s showdown with the Ravens get away, so I expect them to come out focused and ready to lay a beating to a division rival.

Denver Broncos -10.5 over New York Jets: If you bet against the Jets, good things usually happen. While I’m not in love with laying 11-points with a Broncos’ side that’s played two cupcake teams this season, I don’t really have a choice. I’ll take the better defense and the QB that has NFL experience and that has been an ATS machine over his career.

Las Vegas Raiders -4 over Miami Dolphins: While Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t been ruled out yet for this game, it’s likely the Dolphins will turn to Jacoby Brissett for their Week 3 trip to Las Vegas. The Raiders have a ton of momentum after beating the Steelers in Week 2 and should be able to get to 3-0. I have the Raiders winning by seven points here.

Minnesota Vikings +2 over Seattle Seahawks: Both of these teams lost heartbreakers last week. So why am I picking the Vikings? Well, did you see what Derrick Henry did to Seattle’s run defense? Dalvin Cook should be able to do the same, and I think the Vikings need this game a hell of a lot more than the Seahawks do despite it being just Week 3.

Los Angeles Rams +1 over Tampa Bay Buccaneers: This game should be a doozy to watch. Both teams are playing solid on offense, and right now nobody is better than the Bucs. However, I’m taking the Rams because of their defense as I see them being able to put pressure on Brady and shut down the Bucs’ receiving weapons.

Green Bay Packers +3.5 over San Francisco 49ers: I don’t think Aaron Rodgers has forgotten what the Niners did to him and the Packers in the 2019 NFC Championship Game. The Packers righted the ship on Monday with a win over the Lions and should carry some momentum into this game vs the Niners. The Niners are a good team, but the Packers need this game more.

Dallas Cowboys -4 over Philadelphia Eagles: The Cowboys lucked into a win in Week 2 against the Chargers and are now laying four points against a division rival. I’ll bite. The Cowboys are better offensively and should be able to score more points than Philly despite the Cowboys’ below-average defense.

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