NFL Office Pool Picks Week 11 with Expert Analysis and ATS Predictions
As we enter Week 11 of the 2021 National Football League season, it’s about that time that the herd starts to thin and we see the best teams in the league putting their best foot forward. The Bucs are still a force to be reckoned with, the Chiefs are starting to figure it out, the Packers and Cardinals are among the best teams in the league, and the Titans are quietly putting together a very good season. At the other end of the spectrum, the Lions and Texans are in a neck and neck battle for the No. 1 overall pick in next year’s draft. It’s imperative to keep an eye on who is in or out of the lineup on a weekly basis and judge a team’s motivation heading into the stretch drive.
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Week 11 Picks Against the Spread
New England Patriots -6.5 over Atlanta Falcons: It’s time to start believing in the Patriots. They are somehow in the thick of the AFC East race thanks to a four-game winning streak. Now they face a weak Falcons team, and they should be able to put up plenty of points on their weak defense. Patriots by double-digits.
San Francisco 49ers -6.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars: Just when you thought the Niners were done and dusted, they blow out a Super Bowl contender. Do we trust them again? Nope. But we know they are better than the Jags, and we see them winning this game easily and covering the spread.
Carolina Panthers -3.5 over Washington Football Team: The return of Cam Newton sparked the Panthers, and we see them winning again this week. Washington is off a win vs Tampa, but I don’t see them playing as well or getting as many breaks as they did in that one this week. Panthers win by a touchdown.
Green Bay Packers -2.5 over Minnesota Vikings: Any time you can get Aaron Rodgers as a favorite of less than three points, you have to take it. The Vikings have proven time and time again that they cannot win big games, and the Packers’ defense, which is third-best in the league, should limit a flaky Vikings’ offense.
Cleveland Browns -10 over Detroit Lions: The Lions didn’t lose last week, but they also didn’t win. The Browns were embarrassed vs the Patriots, and I expect a bounce-back from them. The Browns have the more talented roster, and I see a blowout imminent.
Indianapolis Colts +7 over Buffalo Bills: If you dig a little deeper into the Bills’ top-ranked defense, you will find that they’ve played a very favorable schedule, including a handful of terrible quarterbacks. I think the Colts are primed for a good game here, and their running game, which is ranked sixth, should be able to make some hay against the Bills’ defense. I’m looking for a close game in this one, and seven is too many points to be laying here.
Miami Dolphins -3 over New York Jets: No bet against the Jets is a bad bet. If they know what’s best for them, they lose this game so that they can get Miami out of their way en route to a high draft pick in next year’s draft. Tua is under center for the Fins, and they should be able to build off last week’s solid win vs Baltimore. Not to mention, Joe Flacco will get the start for the Jets for some strange reason.
Philadelphia Eagles -1 over New Orleans Saints: When everything lines up for the Eagles, they are a good team on both sides of the ball. They just went into Denver and dropped a 30-spot and now must take on a Saints team that has zero legit quarterbacks on the roster. This is a good spot for the Eagles to get another win.
Baltimore Ravens -6 over Chicago Bears: Despite how bad the Ravens looked last week against Miami; the Bears are just not good enough to beat this Ravens squad. The Bears have major issues on both sides of the ball. And If I know John Harbaugh, he’s going to have his team ready to play.
Tennessee Titans -10.5 over Houston Texans: No bet against the Texans is a bad bet. The Titans are a top three-team in the league, and I see them routing Houston in this contest.
Las Vegas Raiders +1 over Cincinnati Bengals: Three weeks ago, the Raiders were 5-2 and in first place in the division. I wrote about how it wouldn’t last because the Raiders are the Raiders. Since then, they’ve lost to the Giants and to the Chiefs and now sit in third spot. I do, however, trust them at home against a Bengals team that has dropped two straight and is just getting torched defensively.
Kansas City Chiefs -2 over Dallas Cowboys: This is like the Packers/Vikings game in the sense that any time you can get an elite QB at less than a field goal on their home soil, you have to take it. The Chiefs are starting to figure it out, and I don’t see Dallas rolling into Arrowhead and winning this football game.
Arizona Cardinals -2.5 over Seattle Seahawks: Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are expected back in the lineup for the Cardinals, and I see them routing the Seahawks in this contest.
Los Angeles Chargers -5 over Pittsburgh Steelers: Big Ben may not play in this one. And even if he does, I still like the Chargers. They are the better overall team and have more weapons to hurt the Steelers.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -11 over New York Giants: The last time we saw the Giants on Monday night, we took them to cover the +11-point spread against the Chiefs. They are in a similar spot here this time against the Bucs, and I’d be willing to bet they don’t repeat the feat. Tampa is off a loss, so they’ll be pissed off and ready to dominate.
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