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New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, 12/6/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Tips Week 13

by Guy Bruhn - 11/30/2021

nfl picks Josh Allen Buffalo Bills predictions best bet odds

Game: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Date: Monday, December 6, 2021

Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Bills (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 44

The Buffalo Bills (7-4) will take on the New England Patriots (8-4) at Highmark Stadium on Monday. New England opens this game as 3-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 44.

The New England Patriots head into this game 8-4 for this year. In their last contest, the Patriots stepped onto the field against the Titans and notched a win by a score of 36-13. Mac Jones went 23/32 with 310 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 123.2 and ended the game with no picks. Rhamondre Stevenson led the offense in rushing for the Patriots with 9 totes for 46 yards (5.1 yds per attempt). Jakobi Meyers held an average of 19.6 yds per reception by accumulating 98 yds on 5 receptions. The New England Patriots ran the rock 24 different times and had 105 yards, earning them an average of 4.4 yards per tote. Overall, they tallied 58 plays for 394 yds. New England relinquished 11 pass completions on 21 tries for a total of 85 yds, and a completion percentage of 52.4%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Patriots gave up 270 yds on 39 attempts, which is 6.9 yds per run allowed.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the New England Patriots are averaging 28.0 points per contest. As a team they average 115.3 yards in the run game which ranks them 12th in the NFL. The Patriots have tallied 4,264 total yards this season. New England has accounted for 141 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 67 infractions for 619 yds. They have turned the ball over 15 different times (8 picks and 7 fumbles). When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, New England has amassed 18 touchdowns through the air and 14 touchdowns via the ground.

The Patriots are sitting in 1st in the league concerning team defense, conceding 15.8 PPG. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 115.8 yards on the ground per contest for the season. During the season, they have allowed 1,389 yards via the ground game in 12 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Patriots have given up 2,411 yards which puts them in 7th in the NFL. They have conceded 200.9 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 59.3%. During the season, they have yielded 316.7 yards/game which has them ranked 4th in the National Football League. They have yielded 14 touchdowns by air as well as 6 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bills head into this matchup 7-4 this season. For their last game, the Bills got the victory with a final of 31-6 when they played the Saints. Devin Singletary ran the ball 15 times for 44 yards, ending the contest with 2.9 yds per carry for Buffalo. Stefon Diggs was featured in the passing game for the Bills, snagging 7 balls for 74 yds (10.6 yds per catch). Josh Allen (4 touchdowns) ended the game with 260 yds on 23/28 through the air while his QB rate was 115.2. He tossed 2 picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 9.29 yards. Buffalo relinquished 25 run attempts for 44 yards (1.8 yards per rush). The Bills pass defense conceded a completion rate of 56.7%, surrendering 146 yards on 17 out of 30 through the air. The Bills ended up finishing with 361 yds while they ran 62 plays (5.8 yds per play). Buffalo ran the ball for 3.5 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 113 yds on 32 attempts.

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The Buffalo Bills are averaging 389.3 yards/game which has them sitting 5th out of all teams in the league. They are averaging 118.3 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,301 yards in total. The Buffalo offense has totaled 696 yds of penalties on 79 violations, ranking them 8th in the NFL in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 11 picks while letting opponents recover 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 156 first downs. For the year so far, the Bills have compiled 2,981 yards through the air as well as an average of 271.0 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 7th in the league. Regarding how much they score, the Bills are ranked 2nd in the league with an average of 29.6 points per contest.

Buffalo has given up a total of 1,063 yards via the ground game (96.6 yards/game) in addition to 11 touchdowns on the ground for the year. They have allowed 8 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 178.5 yards/game, which has them sitting 2nd in football. They have 25 turnovers (9 fumbles recovered and 16 interceptions) this season. This year, they have given up 182 total points. The Bills defense has taken part in 661 plays, which is good for 3rd in the league. The Bills are conceding 16.5 PPG, which has them sitting 2nd in the NFL.

Who will win tonight's Patriots/Bills NFL game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Bills -3

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