Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 12/27/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

by Tony Sink - 12/20/2021

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Game: Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Date: Monday, December 27, 2021

Location: Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Saints (-3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 40.5

Caesars Superdome is the location where the New Orleans Saints (7-7) will attempt to beat the Miami Dolphins (7-7) on Monday. Miami opens this contest as 3.5-point underdogs. The total is 40.5.

The Miami Dolphins head into this game 7-7 for this season. In their last contest, the Dolphins went up against the Jets and went home with a win by a final score of 31-24. Duke Johnson was the leader on the ground for the Dolphins with 22 carries for 107 yards (4.9 yards per attempt). DeVante Parker held an average of 17.0 yds per catch by accumulating 68 yds on 4 receptions. Tua Tagovailoa finished 16/27 with 196 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 75.5 and finished the game with 2 picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Dolphins conceded 102 yds on 24 attempts, which is 4.3 yards per run allowed. Miami relinquished 13 pass completions on 24 tries for 126 yds, and a completion rate of 54.2%. Once the final whistle blew, they had 70 plays which gave them a total of 379 yds. The Miami Dolphins ran the football 42 times and accumulated 183 yards, which earned them an average of 4.4 yards per attempt.

The Dolphins have earned 4,406 yards in total this season. Miami has 178 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 88 penalties for 672 yards. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Miami has amassed 19 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 23 times (12 picks and 11 fumbles). As a team they're holding an average of 86.6 yards on the ground ranking them 28th in the league. When it comes to scoring points, the Miami Dolphins hold an average of 20.4 PPG.

In terms of yards through the air, the Dolphins have conceded 3,437 yards which puts them in 24th in the National Football League. They have conceded 245.5 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.7%. During this campaign, they have allowed 349.2 yards/game which ranks them 17th in football. They have yielded 20 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 12 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.3 yards per attempt on the ground and 103.7 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,452 yards via the running game in 14 games. The Dolphins rank 15th in the league concerning team defense, allowing 22.3 PPG.

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The Saints come into this game with a record of 7-7 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Saints got the victory with a final of 9-0 when they played the Buccaneers. Alvin Kamara carried the ball 11 times for 18 yards, finishing the contest with 1.6 yards per carry for New Orleans. Marquez Callaway was the top contributor in the passing game for the Saints, snagging 6 throws for 112 yards (18.7 yards per reception). Taysom Hill finished the contest with 154 yds on 13/27 passing while his QB rate was 66. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.7 yards. New Orleans allowed 21 rush attempts for 118 yds (5.6 yds per rush). The Saints secondary conceded a completion percentage of 54.2%, surrendering 184 yds on 26 for 48 passing. The Saints finished the game with 212 yards while running 60 plays (3.5 yards per play). New Orleans ran for 2.0 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 61 yds on 31 carries.

The New Orleans Saints hold an average of 311.7 yards per outing which has them ranked 26th in football. They maintain an average of 117.1 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,640 yards in total. The New Orleans offense has accrued 676 yds of penalties on 82 infractions, ranking them 21st in football in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 11 picks while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have been able to record 141 1st downs. During this campaign to this point, the Saints currently sit at 2,724 passing yards in addition to an average of 194.6 throwing yards per contest, which has them sitting 30th in the NFL. When discussing this team's ability to score points, the Saints are sitting 17th out of all teams in football holding an average of 22.4 points per contest.

New Orleans has allowed the opposition a total of 1,353 yards via the ground game (96.6 yards per game) as well as 10 touchdowns by ground this year. They have allowed 18 touchdowns through the air in addition to 240.2 yards per contest, which has them ranked 17th in the NFL. They have earned 19 turnovers (4 fumbles recovered and 15 interceptions) on the campaign. This season, they have relinquished 285 total points. The Saints defense taken the field for 898 plays, which ranks them 23rd in the league. The Saints are allowing 20.4 PPG, ranking them 6th in football.

Who will win tonight's Dolphins/Saints NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Saints -3.5

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Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, 12/27/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 16

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