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Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, 12/16/2021 NFL Picks, Best Bets & Odds Week 15

by Tony Sink - 12/13/2021

nfl picks Justin Herbert los angeles chargers predictions best bet odds

Game: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Date: Thursday, December 16, 2021

Location: SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA

TV: FOX/NFLN

Odds/Point Spread: Chargers (+3.5)

Total/Over-Under: 51

The Los Angeles Chargers (8-5) will try to beat the Kansas City Chiefs (9-4) at SoFi Stadium on Thursday. Kansas City opens this contest as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is 51.

The Kansas City Chiefs step onto the field holding a record of 9-4 for this season. In their last contest, the Chiefs played against the Raiders and went home with a win by a final score of 48-9. Patrick Mahomes went 20/24 with 258 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 139.2 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Derrick Gore led the offense in rushing for the Chiefs with 9 carries for 66 yards (7.3 yds per attempt). Tyreek Hill left with an average of 19.0 yards per reception by accumulating 76 yds on 4 catches. The Kansas City Chiefs ran the football 30 times and compiled 132 yards, which is an average of 4.4 yards per attempt. In the game, they tallied 57 plays which gave them 372 yds. Kansas City surrendered 33 pass completions on 45 attempts for a total of 246 yards, and a completion percentage of 73.3%. In the running game, the Chiefs gave up 44 yds on 12 attempts, which averages out to 3.7 yards per rush allowed.

Regarding scoring, the Kansas City Chiefs have an average of 27.0 PPG. As a team they maintain an average of 111.7 yards on the ground ranking this team at 16th in the NFL. The Chiefs have tallied 5,065 total yards for this campaign. Kansas City has recorded 201 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 87 penalties for 720 yds. They have surrendered the football 23 times (12 picks and 11 fumbles lost). When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Kansas City has amassed 27 passing touchdowns and 12 touchdowns via the ground.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Chiefs have conceded 3,276 yards which puts them in 26th in football. They are giving up 252.0 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 66.5%. Over the course of this year, they have yielded 361.7 yards/contest ranking them 24th in the league. They have allowed 20 touchdowns through the air and 10 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing 4.6 yards per running attempt and 109.7 yards on the ground per game over the course of this year. During this campaign, they have conceded 1,426 yards via the ground game in 13 outings. The Chiefs are sitting in 6th in the NFL in terms of team defense, giving up 20.6 points per contest.

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The Chargers come into this matchup with a record of 8-5 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Chargers went home victorious with a score of 37-21 against the Giants. Justin Herbert (3 touchdowns) finished the game with 275 yards on 23/31 through the air while his QB rating was 133.1. He didn't toss any picks and his average yds per pass attempt was 8.87 yds. Austin Ekeler carried the football 12 times for 67 yards, ending the contest with 5.6 yards per carry for Los Angeles. Jalen Guyton was featured in the passing game for the Chargers, hauling in 3 footballs for 87 yds (29.0 yards per reception). Los Angeles ran the football for 4.1 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 152 yds on 37 carries. The Chargers finished the game with 423 yds while they ran 70 plays (6.0 yds per play). The Chargers pass defense conceded a completion rate of 45.9%, relinquishing 181 yards on 17 out of 37 passing. Los Angeles gave up 26 running attempts for 135 yds (5.2 yds per carry).

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When discussing how much they score, the Chargers rank 8th out of all teams in football with an average of 27.0 points per contest. During the season to this point, the Chargers have racked up 3,644 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 280.3 throwing yards per contest, which is ranked 5th in the NFL. They maintain an average of 104.9 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,364 yards for this year. The Los Angeles Chargers are averaging 385.2 yards per game which has them ranked 7th out of all teams in the NFL. The Los Angeles offense has accrued 770 yards of penalties on 91 infractions, which is good for 5th in the league in terms of hurting your team. They have tossed 11 picks while conceding 4 fumbles and they have earned 191 1st downs.

The Chargers are giving up 25.8 PPG, which has them in 26th in the NFL. Los Angeles has allowed a total of 1,829 rushing yards (140.7 yards per game) in addition to 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have given up 19 touchdowns through the air and 207.3 yards/game, which has them ranked 5th in the league. The Chargers defense has taken part in 841 plays, which has them ranked 24th in the league. This year, they have relinquished 336 total points. They have earned 18 turnovers (8 fumbles recovered and 10 interceptions) this season.

Who will win tonight's Chiefs/Chargers NFL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Chiefs -3.5

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